XTZ is currently trading at $2.08 right at the bottom of an ascending parallel channel formed on the daily chart. The digital asset is down 53% since its 2020-high at $4.47, established on August 12.
On the daily chart, the price of XTZ is bounded inside an ascending parallel channel. The current price at $2.08 is right above the lower trendline of the pattern at $2.07. Additionally, the MACD is on the verge of turning bearish for the first time since September 19.
A breakout below the critical support level at $2.07 can drive the price of Tezos down by 16%, which is the length from the bottom trendline to the top one. This would represent a price target of around $1.77.
On the 4-hour chart, XTZ lost the 50-SMA and the 100-SMA, but bulls are defending the critical support level at $2.07. The MACD is also slowly turning bullish after a rebound thanks to an oversold RSI.
A successful bounce can drive the price of XTZ up to the middle trendline of the ascending parallel channel at $2.3, turning the 50-SMA and 100-SMAs into support levels. A longer-term price target would be $2.5, the upper boundary of the ascending channel.