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US Dollar Index bounces off lows around 92.40
US Dollar Index bounces off lows around 92.40

US Dollar Index bounces off lows around 92.40

165208   August 31, 2021 22:17   FXStreet   Market News  

  • DXY meets support in the 92.40 region on Tuesday.
  • US 10-year yields briefly retest the 1.30% level.
  • US Consumer Confidence came in at 113.8 in August.

The greenback, when gauged by the US Dollar Index (DXY), manages to rebound from earlier multi-week lows around 92.40.

US Dollar Index offered on month-end flows, risk-on mood

The index exacerbated the Powell-induced selloff to the 92.40 area earlier in the session, levels last seen in early August.

The combination of month-end flows with some profit taking keep weighing on the dollar in the first half of the week, all amidst the recalibration of tapering expectations by market participants.

Yields of the key US 10-year reference, in the meantime, managed to re-visit the 1.30% level, just to lose the grip soon afterwards.

In the US calendar, the always-relevant Consumer Confidence tracked by the Conference Board came in at 113.8, missing estimates. In addition, the Chicago PMI eased to 66.8 in the current month.

US Dollar Index relevant levels

Now, the index is losing 0.19% at 92.52 and faces the next down barrier at 92.40 (weekly low Aug.31) followed by 91.78 (monthly low Jul.30) and finally 91.60 (100-day SMA). On the flip side, a break above 93.72 (2021 high Aug.20) would open the door to 94.00 (round level) and then 94.30 (monthly high Nov.4 2020).

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USD/CHF struggles near daily lows amid weaker USD, softer risk tone
USD/CHF struggles near daily lows amid weaker USD, softer risk tone

USD/CHF struggles near daily lows amid weaker USD, softer risk tone

165207   August 31, 2021 22:09   FXStreet   Market News  

  • A combination of factors prompted fresh selling around USD/CHF on Tuesday.
  • Fading hopes for an early Fed lift-off continued acting as a headwind for the USD.
  • A softer risk tone benefitted the safe-haven CHF and contributed to the selling bias.

The USD/CHF pair maintained its offered tone through the early North American session and dropped to fresh daily lows, around the 0.9115 region in the last hour.

The pair met with some fresh supply on Tuesday and reversed a major part of the previous day’s goodish recovery move from over three-week lows, around the 0.9100 round-figure mark. The US dollar continued losing ground amid fading hopes for an earlier Fed lift-off.

The Fed Chair Jerome Powell – during the highly-anticipated speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium on Friday – reassured that the US central bank is in no hurry to raise interest rates. Powell also fell short of providing any specific timeline for the Fed’s tapering plan.

Apart from this, a turnaround in the risk sentiment benefitted the safe-haven Swiss franc and exerted downward pressure on the USD/CHF pair. That said, a goodish rebound in the US Treasury bond yields acted as a tailwind for the USD and helped limit losses for the USD/CHF pair.

Market participants now look forward to the US economic docket, featuring the releases of Chicago PMI and the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index. This, along with the broader market risk sentiment, might produce some trading opportunities around the USD/CHF pair.

The key focus, however, will remain on the US monthly jobs data, scheduled for release on Friday. The closely-watched NFP report will now play a key role in influencing the USD price dynamics in the near term and provide a fresh directional impetus to the USD/CHF pair.

Technical levels to watch

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XRP price shows two crucial price level that will define its fate
XRP price shows two crucial price level that will define its fate

XRP price shows two crucial price level that will define its fate

165206   August 31, 2021 22:05   FXStreet   Market News  

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

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United States Chicago Purchasing Managers’ Index below forecasts (68) in August: Actual (66.8)
United States Chicago Purchasing Managers’ Index below forecasts (68) in August: Actual (66.8)

United States Chicago Purchasing Managers’ Index below forecasts (68) in August: Actual (66.8)

165205   August 31, 2021 22:05   FXStreet   Market News  

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.




Feed news

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US August consumer confidence 113.8 vs 124.0 expected

US August consumer confidence 113.8 vs 124.0 expected

165203   August 31, 2021 22:02   Forexlive Latest News   Market News  

US August consumer confidence 113.8 vs 124.0 expected

US August consumer confidence data from The Conference Board

US August consumer confidence data from The Conference Board
  • Prior was 129.1 (highest since the start of the pandemic)
  • This is the lowest since Feb
  • Estimates ranged from 110.0 to 131.0

Details:

  • Expectations 91.4vs 108.4 prior
  • Present situation 147.3 vs 160.3 prior
  • Jobs hard to get  vs 10.5 prior
  • 1 year inflation expectations % vs 6.6% prior

“Consumer confidence retreated in August to its lowest level since February 2021(95.2),” said Lynn Franco, Senior Director of Economic Indicators at The Conference Board. “Concerns about the Delta variant-and, to a lesser degree, rising gas and food prices-resulted in a less favorable view of current economic conditions and short-term growth prospects. Spending intentions for homes, autos, and major appliances all cooled somewhat; however, the percentage of consumers intending to take a vacation in the next six months continued to climb. While the resurgence of COVID-19 and inflation concerns have dampened confidence, it is too soon to conclude this decline will result in consumers significantly curtailing their spending in the months ahead.”

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EUR/USD: Upside falters near 1.1850, looks to US data
EUR/USD: Upside falters near 1.1850, looks to US data

EUR/USD: Upside falters near 1.1850, looks to US data

165202   August 31, 2021 22:02   FXStreet   Market News  

  • EUR/USD advances to fresh tops near 1.1850.
  • EMU flash headline CPI climbed to a decade high at 3.0%.
  • CB’s Consumer Confidence next of relevance in the US docket.

The sharp recovery in EUR/USD appears to have met a decent resistance near the 1.1850 level on Tuesday.

EUR/USD capped by 1.1850… for now

EUR/USD advances further north of the 1.1800 mark following Friday’s bullish “outside day” and Monday’s inconclusive price action. The move, however, faltered ahead of 1.1850 so far on Tuesday.

The pair trades in new multi-week tops on the back of the renewed offered stance in the greenback, as investors keep digesting Powell’s post-Jackson Hole statement and cautious message while month-end flows also add to the pessimism surrounding the buck.

Data results in the euro area also lend support to the single currency after the German Unemployment Rate edged lower to 5.5% in August and flash inflation figures in Euroland see the CPI rising to 3.0% YoY in August, levels last seen in 2011.

In the US data space, the House Price Index rose 1.7% MoM and house prices tracked by the S&P/Case-Shiller index rose 18.5% YoY, both prints for the month of June. Later, the Chicago PMI, the CB Consumer Confidence and the API report will close the daily calendar.

EUR/USD levels to watch

So far, spot is gaining 0.19% at 1.1819 and faces the next up barrier at 1.1845 (monthly high Aug.31) followed by 1.1908 (monthly high Jul.30) and finally 1.1954 (100-day SMA). On the downside, a break below 1.1663 (2021 low Aug.20) would target 1.1612 (monthly low Oct.20 2020) en route to 1.1602 (monthly low Nov.4 2020).

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S&P 500 Index to accelerate its race higher beyond 4600 – Credit Suisse
S&P 500 Index to accelerate its race higher beyond 4600 – Credit Suisse

S&P 500 Index to accelerate its race higher beyond 4600 – Credit Suisse

165201   August 31, 2021 22:02   FXStreet   Market News  

The S&P 500 has broken the much-tested trend resistance from April. Analysts at Credit Suisse now expect the index to continue higher, with resistance seen next at 4552, before the more important 4600 and eventually 4657.

See: S&P 500 to hit the 5,000 level by the end of next year – UBS

More positive near-term outlook

“Due to the strong move higher though and the clear break of the trend resistance from April, we now expect the trend to extend directly higher, with resistance seen next at 4550/52, ahead of 4565.” 

“We do not see the market at the upper end of its ‘typical’ extreme though until it reaches 15% above its 200-day average, which is still some considerable distance away at 4657. 

“Immediate support is seen at 4500 and then 4469, the recent 26th August daily low, before the price gap at 4450/42, a close below which can also see the 13-day exponential average removed to suggest a false breakout and instead suggest a pullback towards 4419, potentially 4407/06.”

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Cardano price will make new all-time highs if ADA overcomes this obstacle
Cardano price will make new all-time highs if ADA overcomes this obstacle

Cardano price will make new all-time highs if ADA overcomes this obstacle

165200   August 31, 2021 21:56   FXStreet   Market News  

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

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US: ISM Chicago PMI declines to 66.8 in August vs. 68 expected
US: ISM Chicago PMI declines to 66.8 in August vs. 68 expected

US: ISM Chicago PMI declines to 66.8 in August vs. 68 expected

165199   August 31, 2021 21:56   FXStreet   Market News  

  • ISM Chicago PMI came in lower than expected in August.
  • US Dollar Index stays in the negative territory near 92.50.

The Chicago Purchasing Managers Index released by ISM-Chicago dropped to 66.8 in August from 73.4 in July, showing deteriorating business conditions across Illinois, Indiana and Michigan. This reading came in lower than the market expectation of 68.

Market reaction

This report doesn’t seem to be having a significant impact on the USD’s performance against its major rivals. As of writing, the US Dollar Index was down 0.2% on the day at 92.51.

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Here’s what Bitcoin needs to do to target $57,000
Here’s what Bitcoin needs to do to target $57,000

Here’s what Bitcoin needs to do to target $57,000

165198   August 31, 2021 21:49   FXStreet   Market News  

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

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Copper to reassert long-term uptrend on a break above June high at 10365 – Commerzbank
Copper to reassert long-term uptrend on a break above June high at 10365 – Commerzbank

Copper to reassert long-term uptrend on a break above June high at 10365 – Commerzbank

165197   August 31, 2021 21:49   FXStreet   Market News  

Copper (LME) has bounced off the 8800/8570 support area. The commodity still targets the 9620/9629.60 region, Axel Rudolph, Senior FICC Technical Analyst at Commerzbank, reports.

All-time high was made at 10747.50

“Copper’s recovery from the 8800/8570 March to early April lows has taken it close to the four-month resistance line at 9569.90 above which beckons the 9924 July peak. En route is the mid-August high at 9620.”  

“Minor resistance above the July high at 9924 can be spotted at the June 11 high at 10120 and still further resistance at the 10365 June high.” 

“The 10365 June high would need to be exceeded for the resumption of the long-term uptrend to ensue. If so, the May peak at 10747.50 would be back in the picture.”

“Good support is to be found between the June and July lows at 9131/9011. Only unexpected failure at 8570 would lead to the January high at 8238 being eyed.”

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Why US consumer confidence today could be another big surprise

Why US consumer confidence today could be another big surprise

165195   August 31, 2021 21:45   Forexlive Latest News   Market News  

The shock drop in the UMich survey could be repeated

The shock drop in the UMich survey could be repeated

I think the market is sleeping on the risks around an ongoing pullback from the US consumer.

US total consumer spending on goods way overshot during the pandemic and just to normalize would be a contraction. Add in delta, evictions and the end of supplementary employment benefits next week and there are far larger risks than almost anyone is talking about.

So far, we’ve had two big disappointing readings in the latest retail sales numbers and the shocking fall in the UMich consumer sentiment report to below the worst of the pandemic.

Today, we get another view on the consumer, this time in the Conference Boards’ consumer confidence data for August. The consensus is a fall to 123.0 or 124.0 (depending on the survey) from 129.1, but if it tracks the UMich survey it could be much worse.

Ashraf Laidi talks about the potential for a disappointing reading here and some trades around it.

I agree that risks are to the downside and this reading could finally get the market focused on the weakening US consumer. As a trade, I worry it might get lost in month-end flows but the US dollar could be vulnerable here — particularly USD/JPY if it comes with risk aversion and falling Treasury yields.

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