USD/MXN Technical Analysis: Outlook for Mexican peso improves after recovery from 5-month lows

  • The USD/MXN hit earlier today at 20.65, the highest level since June but then pulled back making a reversal. The momentum indicator turned to the downside and price dropped to test the 20-day moving average, showing lack of strength so far for a move above 20.65. 
  • A daily close above 20.50 could reinforce the bullish trend, but a breakout on top of 20.65 is needed to open the doors to further gains. 
  • After today’s reversal and the failure at 20.60, the Mexican peso could recover further, particularity if the pair drops firmly under 20.35 (20-day moving average). The next support to watch is 20.20; below the 20.00 area would be exposed. 
  • The main trend still points to the upside in USD/MXN, but the US dollar positive tone in the short-term eased after today’s reversal, and now the bias is skewed toward an extension of the bearish correction. 

USD/MXN Daily Chart

USD/MXN

USD/MXN

Overview:
    Today Last Price: 20.3748
    Today Daily change %: -0.657%
    Today Daily Open: 20.5096
Trends:
    Previous Daily SMA20: 20.349
    Previous Daily SMA50: 19.724
    Previous Daily SMA100: 19.3117
    Previous Daily SMA200: 19.2546
Levels:
    Previous Daily High: 20.6183
    Previous Daily Low: 20.417
    Previous Weekly High: 20.6355
    Previous Weekly Low: 20.156
    Previous Monthly High: 20.6355
    Previous Monthly Low: 19.576
    Previous Daily Fibonacci 38.2%: 20.4939
    Previous Daily Fibonacci 61.8%: 20.5414
    Previous Daily Pivot Point S1: 20.4117
    Previous Daily Pivot Point S2: 20.3137
    Previous Daily Pivot Point S3: 20.2103
    Previous Daily Pivot Point R1: 20.613
    Previous Daily Pivot Point R2: 20.7163
    Previous Daily Pivot Point R3: 20.8143