XTZ price has been on a slow downtrend since its all-time high on October 4. This descent has pushed Tezos down to a crucial support floor which will decide its fate going forward.
XTZ price rose 71% from September 29 to October 4, setting up an all-time high at $9.17. Since this point, Tezos underwent a correction that is stabilizing around the $7.18 support floor. Going forward, it is crucial that XTZ price stays above the $7.18 support barrier to have any shot at an uptrend.
Assuming the buyers step in and win this battle of control, XTZ price will rally 22% to take a jab at $8.73. Clearing the said barrier will allow Tezos to continue its ascent toward the next hurdle at $10.27, a new all-time high.
In special cases, XTZ price could extend toward the 261.8% trend-based Fibonacci extension level at $13.32. This move would represent an 83% climb from the $7.18 demand level.
XTZ/USDT 6-hour chart
While the bullish assumption is plausible, it is based on the assumption that XTZ price wil stay above $7.18. Failing to do so will decrease the chances of a bull rally and knock Tezos down to $6.56.
If the buyers fail to defend this level and produce a lower low below it, it will invalidate the bullish thesis. This development could trigger an 11% descent to $5.8.