UOB Group’s FX Strategists suggested USD/CNH could edge higher and visit the 6.4070 level in the next weeks.
24-hour view: “USD traded between 6.3867 and 6.3984 yesterday, narrower than our expected sideway-trading range of 6.3800/6.4000. The underlying tone has improved somewhat and the bias for today is on the upside. A break of 6.4000 is not ruled but the major resistance at 6.4070 is unlikely to come under threat. Support is at 6.3890 followed by 6.3840.”
Next 1-3 weeks: “We have held the same view since Monday (22 Nov, spot at 6.3920) where ‘shorter-term momentum is beginning to build but any advance in USD is expected to face solid resistance at 6.4070’. However, USD has not been able to make any headway on the upside. That said, the underlying tone still appears to be a tad firm and we see chance for USD to edge higher to 6.4070. On the downside, a breach of 6.3750 would indicate that the current mild upward pressure has dissipated.”