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The argument that rates matter more than economic growth is increasingly compelling for US equities. The terminal Fed rate has come down to 3.5% this week from +4% last week and it’s coincided with a bounce.
Today we got more news suggesting an economic slowdown as the S&P Global US PMIs sank but it didn’t matter to stocks.
Tomorrow will be an important day with the Nasdaq approaching the mid-June ‘gap’ on the chart: