Cardano is currently in an uptrend, and the altcoin is likely to extend its gains according to on-chain metrics. The Cardano Foundation recently committed to using its 11.42 million ADA token wallet to vote in favor of the goals of Cardano Improvement Proposal (CIP) 1694.
Cardano’s weekly gains of 6.11% are likely to be sustained, and ADA price could extend its rally, riding on two bullish catalysts. The first is on-chain metrics, Network realized profit/loss (NPL) and Market Value to Realized Value ratio (MVRV), flashing bullish signals and the second is developments in the ADA ecosystem.
An independent not-for-profit, the Cardano Foundation, is focused on decentralizing the Cardano network and supporting ADA in its advancement and application in enterprise. The Foundation announced early on Tuesday that it would utilize its 11.42 million ADA tokens to vote in favor of improvements on the Cardano blockchain.
The Cardano Foundation is unwavering in its commitment to furthering the goals of CIP-1694 and steering #Cardano towards a fully decentralized on-chain governance system. Explore the specifics of our involvement in the Cardano ballot. #CIP1694
— Cardano Foundation (@Cardano_CF) November 20, 2023
Based on data from crypto intelligence tracker, Santiment, there is a spike in net realized losses of wallets that acquired ADA tokens in the past thirty days. This marks capitulation in Cardano and following periods of capitulation, typically, there is a rally in the asset’s price, seen in the chart below.
NPL on Cardano and price
The MVRV ratio for seven days reveals that addresses selling ADA tokens at the current price of $0.3786 are realizing losses. Typically, market participants are less likely to shed their assets and realize losses, implying a low selling pressure on the asset across exchanges. This supports ADA’s recent gains and presents a neutral to bullish outlook on the asset.
MVRV ratio (7-days) and price
At the time of writing, ADA price is above the 0.61 Fibonacci level of the decline from the April 15 top of $0.46 to the June 4 bottom of $0.22, and is trading at $0.3786. The asset is likely to extend its gains as long as it sustains above the 0.50 Fibonacci level at $0.3408. A candlestick close below this level could invalidate the bullish thesis for Cardano price.
ADA/USDT 1-day chart
Cardano price is likely to find support at the 10-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.3730, in the event of a decline.