NZD/USD Price Analysis: Moves around 0.6050 with a bullish sentiment

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  • NZD/USD trades higher on the expectation that the Fed has ended its rate-hike cycle.
  • Technical indicators suggest a bullish sentiment to explore the psychological resistance around 0.6100.
  • 23.6% Fibonacci retracement at 0.6004 could act as the support aligned with the nine-day EMA.

NZD/USD extends gains around three-month highs, trading around 0.6050 during the early European session on Tuesday. The selling pressure on the US Dollar (USD) continues, as there is increasing consensus that the Federal Reserve (Fed) has concluded its policy-tightening campaign. Market sentiment is now leaning towards the likelihood of rate cuts by the Fed starting in March 2024.

The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is above the 50 level, indicating a bullish sentiment for the NZD/USD pair. This could encourage bullish moves towards the psychological resistance level around 0.6100.

Moreover, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line, situated above the centerline and diverging above the signal line, is suggestive of a bullish momentum in the market.

On the downside, the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement at 0.6004 may serve as a crucial support level, followed by the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 0.5988. A decisive break below the EMA could potentially pave the way for the pair to test the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at 0.5960, aligning with the significant level at 0.5950.

NZD/USD: Daily Chart