{"id":429513,"date":"2026-04-15T04:00:11","date_gmt":"2026-04-14T21:00:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/market-news\/2026\/04\/investinglive-americas-market-news-wrap-the-peace-dividend-continues-to-pay\/"},"modified":"2026-04-15T04:00:11","modified_gmt":"2026-04-14T21:00:11","slug":"investinglive-americas-market-news-wrap-the-peace-dividend-continues-to-pay","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/market-news\/2026\/04\/investinglive-americas-market-news-wrap-the-peace-dividend-continues-to-pay\/","title":{"rendered":"investingLive Americas market news wrap: The peace dividend continues to pay"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investinglive.com\/news\/trump-iran-talks-could-be-happening-over-next-two-days-in-pakistan-20260414\/\">Trump: Iran talks &#8216;could be happening over next two days&#8217; in Pakistan<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investinglive.com\/news\/imf-lowers-2026-global-gdp-growth-forecast-to-31-vs-33-prior-20260414\/\">IMF lowers 2026 global GDP growth forecast to 3.1% vs 3.3% prior<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investinglive.com\/news\/us-march-ppi-final-demand-40-yy-vs-47-expected-20260414\/\">US March PPI final demand 4.0% y\/y vs +4.7% expected<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investinglive.com\/news\/lebanon-ambassador-the-preliminary-meeting-with-israel-was-good-20260414\/\">Lebanon ambassador: The preliminary meeting with Israel was good<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investinglive.com\/news\/bessent-trump-hasnt-opted-to-raise-10-tariff-to-15-at-this-time-20260414\/\">Bessent: Trump hasn&#8217;t opted to raise 10% tariff to 15% &#8220;at this time&#8221;<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investinglive.com\/centralbank\/ecbs-lagarde-we-are-between-the-baseline-and-adverse-scenarios-20260414\/\">ECB&#8217;s Lagarde: We are between the baseline and adverse scenarios<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investinglive.com\/news\/iran-weighs-pausing-its-hormuz-shipping-to-avoid-derailing-talks-20260414\/\">Iran weighs pausing its Hormuz shipping to avoid derailing talks<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/investinglive.com\/centralbank\/ecbs-makhlouf-not-yet-seeing-changes-in-consumer-behaviour-from-higher-inflation-20260414\/\">ECB&#8217;s Makhlouf: Not yet seeing changes in consumer behaviour from higher inflation<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Markets:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>WTI crude oil down $6.84 to $92.24<\/li>\n<li>US 10-year yields down 4.9 bps to 4.248%<\/li>\n<li>Gold up $101 to $4840<\/li>\n<li>S&amp;P 500 up 1.2%<\/li>\n<li>NZD leads, USD lags<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>It was another big day for the peace trade as oil tumbled once again. All indications continue to point towards a deal with Trump talking about a second meeting in Pakistan and remaining positive on the contours of a deal. There wasn&#8217;t much news on Lebanon but the headlines were somewhat constructive and it&#8217;s not even clear if that&#8217;s a deal braker. Iran is reportedly not testing the US Hormuz blockade and that points to progress as well.<\/p>\n<p>The risk is that it could all fall apart with a volatile dealmaker like Trump but so far it remains on track and that&#8217;s why US stocks are now above where they were pre-war. Oil still has a long ways to go but the market is indicating that even if it doesn&#8217;t get all the way back the progress has been good enough for the broader economy.<\/p>\n<p>It was a fairly unified trade and the dollar was broadly weaker. In terms of data, PPI was soft and if you exclude the war impacts, there is a growing argument that we&#8217;re headed back to some kind of pre-2020 inflation regime where it&#8217;s stubbornly low, particularly as AI disrupts the labor market. I&#8217;d argue that if the US turns of the fiscal taps, then that is an even-more compelling argument.<\/p>\n<p>For now though, the data is secondary and all eyes remain on the Middle East.<\/p>\n<p>                            This article was written by Adam Button at investinglive.com.<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Trump: Iran talks &#8216;could be happening over next two days&#8217; in Pakistan IMF lowers 2026 global GDP growth forecast to 3.1% vs 3.3% prior US March PPI final demand 4.0% y\/y vs +4.7% expected Lebanon ambassador: The preliminary meeting with Israel was good Bessent: Trump hasn&#8217;t opted to raise 10% tariff to 15% &#8220;at this [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":216,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[86],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-429513","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/429513","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/216"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=429513"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/429513\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=429513"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=429513"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=429513"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}