{"id":432008,"date":"2026-06-12T13:38:17","date_gmt":"2026-06-12T06:38:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/market-news\/2026\/06\/general-market-analysis-12-06-26\/"},"modified":"2026-06-12T13:38:17","modified_gmt":"2026-06-12T06:38:17","slug":"general-market-analysis-12-06-26","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.icmarkets.com\/blog\/general-market-analysis-12-06-26\/","title":{"rendered":"General Market Analysis \u2013 12\/06\/26"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p><strong>US Stocks Surge as Trump Advises Peace Deal is Imminent \u2013 Nasdaq up 2.5%<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>US markets staged a strong rebound overnight as sentiment shifted sharply on renewed hopes of de-escalation in the Middle East. President Trump said a peace agreement with Iran could potentially be signed as early as this weekend, reversing the more aggressive rhetoric seen only a day earlier when he warned the US would respond \u201cvery hard\u201d to further escalation.<\/p>\n<p>The change in tone sparked a broad risk-on rally across global markets. The Dow Jones climbed 1.86% to close at 50,848, the S&amp;P 500 gained 1.75% to 7,394, and the Nasdaq surged 2.54% to 25,809 as investors moved back into growth and technology stocks.<\/p>\n<p>The easing in geopolitical fears also hit safe-haven trades. The US Dollar Index fell 0.26% to 99.69, while Treasury yields dropped sharply as traders unwound defensive positions. The 2-year Treasury yield fell 8.1 basis points to 4.062%, and the 10-year yield declined 9.1 basis points to 4.461%.<\/p>\n<p>Oil prices reversed recent gains as concerns about potential supply disruptions in the Middle East eased. Brent crude fell 4.30% to $89.10 per barrel, while WTI crude dropped 2.58% to $87.71. Gold, however, continued to attract strong demand despite the broader improvement in risk sentiment, rising 3.37% to a fresh record high of $4,210.63 an ounce.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Another Day, Another U-Turn in Sentiment<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Traders are waking up to yet another turn in sentiment for the final trading day of the week today as, once again, updates on the war in the Middle East have revolved 180 degrees and taken markets with them. Many market participants are becoming increasingly frustrated with the sharp turns, with President Trump now having claimed to have closed a peace deal with Iran 37 times, according to some sources. These about-turns have made trading any trend in most major products a tough job, with volatility so high, but now it does feel that a resolution, one way or the other, has to come about for markets in the next couple of days. Without some certainty in the market, we will see \u2018news fatigue\u2019 increase significantly, and traders will push towards safety trades as less and less credibility will be given to those updates coming out of the US in general, and the Oval Office in particular.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Middle East Updates to Dominate Markets into Weekend<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Markets are likely to remain highly sensitive to headlines out of the Middle East throughout the day. While the scheduled UK and US data releases may generate short-term volatility, geopolitical developments are expected to remain the dominant driver of sentiment heading into the weekend. There is little scheduled on the Asian event calendar again today; however, a big data drop out of the UK on the London open will have traders focussing on sterling markets, with GDP (exp -0.1% m\/m) the highlight of the releases. It\u2019s a quiet calendar day in the New York session as well today; however, traders will take notice of key University of Michigan data midway through the session, with the Consumer Sentiment (exp 46.1) and Inflation Expectations (last 4.8%) figures due out. However, once again, expect whippy moves in the thin final session if fresh updates on the Middle East emerge.<\/p>\n<p>Explore all upcoming market events in the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/economic-calendar\/\" title=\"\">Economic Calendar.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>The post <a href=\"https:\/\/www.icmarkets.com\/blog\/general-market-analysis-12-06-26\/\">General Market Analysis \u2013 12\/06\/26<\/a> first appeared on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.icmarkets.com\/blog\">IC Your Trading Edge | Official Blog<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>US Stocks Surge as Trump Advises Peace Deal is Imminent \u2013 Nasdaq up 2.5% US markets staged a strong rebound overnight as sentiment shifted sharply on renewed hopes of de-escalation in the Middle East. President Trump said a peace agreement with Iran could potentially be signed as early as this weekend, reversing the more aggressive [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":202,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[86],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-432008","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/432008","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/202"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=432008"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/432008\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=432008"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=432008"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=432008"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}