{"id":433303,"date":"2026-07-07T22:03:37","date_gmt":"2026-07-07T15:03:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/market-news\/one-year-inflation-expectations-hit-the-highest-since-2023-in-new-york-fed-survey-433303\/"},"modified":"2026-07-07T22:03:37","modified_gmt":"2026-07-07T15:03:37","slug":"one-year-inflation-expectations-hit-the-highest-since-2023-in-new-york-fed-survey","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/market-news\/one-year-inflation-expectations-hit-the-highest-since-2023-in-new-york-fed-survey-433303\/","title":{"rendered":"One-year inflation expectations hit the highest since 2023 in New York Fed survey"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p>Highlights of the latest NY Fed survey:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Three-year inflation expectations 3.3% vs 3.1% prior &#8212; highest since June 2022<\/li>\n<li>Five year inflation expectations unchanged at 3%<\/li>\n<li>Gasoline price expectations ease to lowest since Aug 2022<\/li>\n<li>Households more upbeat about current and expected personal finances<\/li>\n<li>Labor market expectations improved<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Well this is decisively hawkish. The data has been rolling in and everything (including the stock market) is ticking higher. It has to be worrisome for the Fed that inflation expectations rose even as gasoline prices fell.<\/p>\n<p>My belief is that Kevin Warsh is more<br \/>\nworried about inflation then he\u2019s letting on and is trying to talk tough so he<br \/>\ndoesn\u2019t have to hike. It\u2019s increasingly clear there will be inflationary<br \/>\nimpacts from the insane capex spree in AI and how it will reverberate into<br \/>\ncosts. The boom in equities is going to reverberate as well and it\u2019s steadily<br \/>\nshowing up among consumers, at least in the mid-to-high incomes. <\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\">Another way of putting it is that Warsh is in denial that he\u2019s going to have to hike. He can play for time<br \/>\nfor awhile and the latest non-farm payrolls report is helpful but the data<br \/>\nabout a strong consumer and inflation is adding up. <\/p>\n<p>                            This article was written by Adam Button at investinglive.com.<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Highlights of the latest NY Fed survey: Three-year inflation expectations 3.3% vs 3.1% prior &#8212; highest since June 2022 Five year inflation expectations unchanged at 3% Gasoline price expectations ease to lowest&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":216,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[86],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-433303","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/433303","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/216"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=433303"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/433303\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=433303"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=433303"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=433303"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}