{"id":435587,"date":"2026-08-06T17:00:37","date_gmt":"2026-08-06T10:00:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/market-news\/s-focus-shifts-to-us-cpi-data-435587\/"},"modified":"2026-08-06T17:00:37","modified_gmt":"2026-08-06T10:00:37","slug":"s-focus-shifts-to-us-cpi-data","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/market-news\/s-focus-shifts-to-us-cpi-data-435587\/","title":{"rendered":"S&P 500 soars to record highs as geopolitical risks ease; focus shifts to US CPI data"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

FUNDAMENTAL
\n OVERVIEW<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

The S&P 500 has finally broken out of the range and extended the gains
\n into new record highs following positive US-Iran developments. In fact, the
\n market opened with a positive gap on Monday after Trump called off the planned weekend
\n strikes on Iran. <\/p>\n

On Tuesday, Qatari mediators said that the language for a possible US-Iran
\n agreement had been drafted and the momentum then gathered pace when US Treasury
\n Secretary Bessent confirmed that an Iran deal could have come as soon as yesterday
\n and would have included the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. The market kept
\n on surging on easing inflation concerns and reduced Fed tightening risk. <\/p>\n

The gains started to get trimmed late yesterday probably because the anticipated timeline for the deal passed without
\n an announcement. Nevertheless, the hopes for a deal will likely keep the market
\n supported for now unless we get another escalation. <\/p>\n

The next test will come next week with the release of the US CPI report.
\n The data will be critical for the September FOMC decision and the Jackson Hole
\n Symposium. <\/p>\n

\u00a0A hot report will likely trigger a selloff
\n in the short-term, with traders increasing rate hike bets. A soft report, on
\n the other hand, should reduce further the risk of Fed tightening and give the
\n S&P 500 another boost.<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

S&P 500 TECHNICAL
\n ANALYSIS \u2013 DAILY TIMEFRAME<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

On
\n the daily chart, <\/a>we can see <\/a>the S&P 500 broke above the 7,640 resistance and extended the gains
\n into the 7,800 level before pulling back a bit. We might have an ascending
\n channel here and the price got rejected around the top trendline. The sellers
\n will likely continue to step in around these levels with a defined risk above
\n the recent high to position for a drop into the bottom trendline. The buyers,
\n on the other hand, will want to see the price breaking higher to increase the
\n bullish bets into new highs. <\/p>\n<\/p>\n

S&P 500
\n TECHNICAL ANALYSIS \u2013 4 HOUR TIMEFRAME<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

On
\n the 4 hour chart,<\/a> we have an
\n upward trendline defining the bullish momentum. If we get a pullback, we can
\n expect the buyers to lean on the trendline with a defined risk below it to position
\n for a rally into new record highs. The sellers, on the other hand, will want to
\n see the price breaking below the trendline and the 7,640 support to increase
\n the bearish bets into the lower bound of the channel around the 7,350 level.<\/a><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

S&P 500 TECHNICAL
\n ANALYSIS \u2013 1 HOUR TIMEFRAME<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

On the 1 hour chart, there\u2019s
\n not much we can add here as from a risk management perspective the buyers will
\n have a better risk to reward setup around the trendline, while the sellers will
\n need a break below the trendline and the support to open the door for new lows.
\n The red lines define the average daily range<\/a> for today. <\/p>\n

UPCOMING CATALYSTS<\/p>\n

Today<\/a>, we get the latest
\n US Jobless Claims figures. Tomorrow, we conclude the week with the US NFP
\n report.<\/p>\n

This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at investinglive.com.<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW \u00a0 The S&P 500 has finally broken out of the range and extended the gains into new record highs following positive US-Iran developments. In fact, the market opened with a…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":216,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[86],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-435587","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/435587","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/216"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=435587"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/435587\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=435587"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=435587"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=435587"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}