{"id":436183,"date":"2026-08-13T23:00:19","date_gmt":"2026-08-13T16:00:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/market-news\/feds-barkin-its-hard-to-know-whether-policy-is-restrictive-given-standard-errors-in-models-436183\/"},"modified":"2026-08-13T23:00:19","modified_gmt":"2026-08-13T16:00:19","slug":"feds-barkin-its-hard-to-know-whether-policy-is-restrictive-given-standard-errors-in-models","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/market-news\/feds-barkin-its-hard-to-know-whether-policy-is-restrictive-given-standard-errors-in-models-436183\/","title":{"rendered":"Fed&#8217;s Barkin: It&#8217;s hard to know whether policy is restrictive given standard errors in models"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<ul>\n<li>The more headline inflation continues to slow, that will help expectations<\/li>\n<li>Torn between the fact that inflation has been above target for more than 5 years versus focusing on the fact that it jumped in two separate episodes and is now slowing<\/li>\n<li>Businesses generally don&#8217;t like to do layoffs and would prefer to avoid it, even if they are cautious about hiring<\/li>\n<li>Fed is not in a forward-guidance place right now<\/li>\n<li>Do not think the labor market is as strong as data indicate, consider it vulnerable<\/li>\n<li>Businesses that sell to busienss are confident in pricing power, businesses that sell to consuemrs are less sure they can pass along costs<\/li>\n<li>AI use cases do not seem mature enough yet to lead to large reductions in head count<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Barkin doesn&#8217;t have much conviction and generally that leads to keeping policy unchanged.<\/p>\n<p>                            This article was written by Adam Button at investinglive.com.<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The more headline inflation continues to slow, that will help expectations Torn between the fact that inflation has been above target for more than 5 years versus focusing on the fact that&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":216,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[86],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-436183","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/436183","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/216"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=436183"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/436183\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=436183"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=436183"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=436183"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}