{"id":436443,"date":"2026-08-18T17:19:56","date_gmt":"2026-08-18T10:19:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/market-news\/ecb-policymaker-lane-says-inflation-outlook-is-highly-dependent-on-us-iran-war-436443\/"},"modified":"2026-08-18T17:19:56","modified_gmt":"2026-08-18T10:19:56","slug":"ecb-policymaker-lane-says-inflation-outlook-is-highly-dependent-on-us-iran-war","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/market-news\/ecb-policymaker-lane-says-inflation-outlook-is-highly-dependent-on-us-iran-war-436443\/","title":{"rendered":"ECB policymaker Lane says inflation outlook is highly dependent on US-Iran war"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">Speaking to Irish broadcaster RT\u00c9, ECB&#8217;s Lane said inflation could remain around 3% for the rest of the year, although he stressed that the outlook is highly dependent on how the US-Iran conflict develops. Eurozone inflation already accelerated to 2.9% in July, moving further away from the ECB\u2019s target.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">Lane declined to comment directly on whether the ECB would raise interest rates again, reiterating that policymakers would respond to the economic data rather than pre-commit to a specific rate path. Markets, on the other hand, are pricing in 41 bps of tigthening by year-end, with 87% chance of a rate hike in September.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">He said that\u00a0the Eurozone economy is doing \u201cokay-ish\u201d, suggesting that growth is currently strong enough to withstand tighter monetary conditions. He also added that inflation risks may extend beyond energy. Lane warned that food prices could become an important source of inflation in 2027, with weather-related disruptions, including the potential impact of El Ni\u00f1o, adding further pressure.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">He stressed that the ECB\u2019s priority is to prevent inflation from remaining too high for too long and added that they will have a clearer picture in September, when the ECB will release its updated macroeconomic projections. Future rate decisions will dependent on developments in the US-Iran war, energy prices, and the broader inflation outlook.<\/p>\n<p>                            This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at investinglive.com.<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Speaking to Irish broadcaster RT\u00c9, ECB&#8217;s Lane said inflation could remain around 3% for the rest of the year, although he stressed that the outlook is highly dependent on how the US-Iran&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":216,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[86],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-436443","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/436443","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/216"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=436443"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/436443\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=436443"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=436443"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=436443"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}