{"id":437105,"date":"2026-08-28T15:52:32","date_gmt":"2026-08-28T08:52:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/market-news\/usd-jpy-extends-gains-as-focus-turns-to-fed-chair-warshs-speech-437105\/"},"modified":"2026-08-28T15:52:32","modified_gmt":"2026-08-28T08:52:32","slug":"usd-jpy-extends-gains-as-focus-turns-to-fed-chair-warshs-speech","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/market-news\/usd-jpy-extends-gains-as-focus-turns-to-fed-chair-warshs-speech-437105\/","title":{"rendered":"USD\/JPY extends gains as focus turns to Fed Chair Warsh&#8217;s speech"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 11px; line-height: 105%; font-family: Aptos, sans-serif; font-size: 15px\"><a name=\"_Hlk210039291\">FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 11px; line-height: 105%; font-family: Aptos, sans-serif; font-size: 15px\">\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p style='margin-right: 0; margin-left: 0; font-family: \"Times New Roman\", serif; font-size: 16px'>USD:<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 11px; font-family: Aptos, sans-serif; line-height: normal; font-size: 15px\">The US dollar has been mixed in the last couple of days, with traders<br \/>\n        likely taking profits and hedging ahead of today\u2019s Fed Chair Warsh speech at<br \/>\n        Jackson Hole. He\u2019s not expected to give forward guidance, but what traders will<br \/>\n        be more focused on is whether he leans against the easing in financial<br \/>\n        conditions following the Treasury buyback announcement and Bessent\u2019s \u201cverbal\u201d<br \/>\n        intervention to suppress long-term yields<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 11px; font-family: Aptos, sans-serif; line-height: normal; font-size: 15px\">If he doesn\u2019t, the US dollar will likely come under renewed pressure from<br \/>\n        further easing in financial conditions and the dovish repricing in near-term<br \/>\n        interest rate expectations. On the other hand, if he pushes back saying things<br \/>\n        like &#8220;recent easing in financial conditions, if sustained, could<br \/>\n        complicate the process of returning inflation to our target&#8221; or &#8220;if<br \/>\n        recent easing threatens progress toward price stability, we will not hesitate<br \/>\n        to respond appropriately&#8221; and so on, the market may retighten financial conditions<br \/>\n        and give the greenback a boost. <\/p>\n<p style='margin-right: 0; margin-left: 0; font-family: \"Times New Roman\", serif; font-size: 16px'>JPY:<\/p>\n<p style='margin-right: 0; margin-left: 0; font-family: \"Times New Roman\", serif; font-size: 16px'>On the JPY side, the<br \/>\n        currency continues to stay under pressure due to lack of changes on the<br \/>\n        fundamental side. The BoJ rate hike in September is largely priced in, so that\u2019s<br \/>\n        not going to change anything. The trend is unlikely to<br \/>\n        change without a dovish repricing in Fed interest rate expectations or a faster<br \/>\n        BoJ tightening pace.<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 11px; line-height: 105%; font-family: Aptos, sans-serif; font-size: 15px\">\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 11px; line-height: 105%; font-family: Aptos, sans-serif; font-size: 15px\">USDJPY TECHNICAL<br \/>\n        ANALYSIS \u2013 DAILY TIMEFRAME<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p style='margin-right: 0; margin-left: 0; font-family: \"Times New Roman\", serif; font-size: 16px'>On the daily chart, we can<br \/>\n        see that <a href=\"https:\/\/it.tradingview.com\/symbols\/USDJPY\/\" style=\"color: rgba(70, 120, 134, 1); text-decoration: underline\" rel=\"follow\">USDJPY<\/a>has been slowly recovering<br \/>\n            ground after the intervention, with the first major target being the resistance<br \/>\n            zone around the 160.50 level. If the price gets there, we can expect the<br \/>\n            sellers to step in with a defined risk above the resistance to position for a<br \/>\n            drop back into the 155.00 handle. The buyers, on the other hand, will look for<br \/>\n            a break to increase the bullish bets into new cycle highs.<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 11px; line-height: 105%; font-family: Aptos, sans-serif; font-size: 15px\">USDJPY TECHNICAL<br \/>\n        ANALYSIS \u2013 4 HOUR TIMEFRAME<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p style='margin-right: 0; margin-left: 0; font-family: \"Times New Roman\", serif; font-size: 16px'>On the 4 hour chart, we have<br \/>\n        a minor support zone around the 158.50 level. If we get another pullback into<br \/>\n        the support, we can expect the buyers to step in with a defined risk below it<br \/>\n        to keep pushing into new highs. The sellers, on the other hand, will look for a<br \/>\n        break to pile in for a drop into the 155.00 handle next.<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 11px; line-height: 105%; font-family: Aptos, sans-serif; font-size: 15px\">USDJPY TECHNICAL<br \/>\n        ANALYSIS \u2013 1 HOUR TIMEFRAME<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p style='margin-right: 0; margin-left: 0; font-family: \"Times New Roman\", serif; font-size: 16px'>On the 1 hour chart, we have<br \/>\n        an upward trendline defining the bullish momentum. The buyers will likely continue<br \/>\n        to lean on the trendline with a defined risk below it to keep pushing into new<br \/>\n        highs. The sellers, on the other hand, will look for a break to target a pullback<br \/>\n        into the 158.50 support. The red lines define the <a href=\"https:\/\/investinglive.com\/Education\/trading-tip-know-the-average-daily-range-adr-20220207\/\" style=\"color: rgba(70, 120, 134, 1); text-decoration: underline\" rel=\"follow\">average daily range<\/a> for today. <\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 11px; line-height: 105%; font-family: Aptos, sans-serif; font-size: 15px\">UPCOMING CATALYSTS<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 11px; line-height: 105%; font-family: Aptos, sans-serif; font-size: 15px\"><a href=\"https:\/\/investinglive.com\/EconomicCalendar\" style=\"color: rgba(70, 120, 134, 1); text-decoration: underline\" rel=\"follow\">Today<\/a>, all eyes will be<br \/>\n        on Fed Chair Warsh\u2019s speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium. The prepared remarks<br \/>\n        are typically released either moments before or simultaneously as the Fed Chair<br \/>\n        delivers his speech.<\/p>\n<p>                            This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at investinglive.com.<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW \u00a0 USD: The US dollar has been mixed in the last couple of days, with traders likely taking profits and hedging ahead of today\u2019s Fed Chair Warsh speech at Jackson&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":216,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[86],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-437105","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/437105","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/216"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=437105"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/437105\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=437105"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=437105"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=437105"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}