{"id":438749,"date":"2026-09-24T16:50:55","date_gmt":"2026-09-24T09:50:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/market-news\/crude-oil-extends-gains-as-expectations-for-an-earlier-end-to-the-iran-war-fade-whats-next-438749\/"},"modified":"2026-09-24T16:50:55","modified_gmt":"2026-09-24T09:50:55","slug":"crude-oil-extends-gains-as-expectations-for-an-earlier-end-to-the-iran-war-fade-whats-next","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/market-news\/crude-oil-extends-gains-as-expectations-for-an-earlier-end-to-the-iran-war-fade-whats-next-438749\/","title":{"rendered":"Crude oil extends gains as expectations for an earlier end to the Iran war fade. What’s next?"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

FUNDAMENTAL
\n OVERVIEW<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

Crude oil extended
\n the gains yesterday as short-covering continued after Trump poured cold water
\n on expectations of an earlier end to the Iran war. As a reminder, oil prices
\n have been on a sustained downtrend recently on growing expectations
\n of a de-escalation and improvements on Saudi Arabia oil pipeline and exports
\n side. At the UN General Assembly, though, Trump repeated that the US would make
\n a deal with Iran after the November elections. <\/p>\n

Traders started to reprice earlier expectations and oil prices began
\n rising again. This morning, we\u2019ve also got a key technical breakout on WTI oil
\n which increased the bullish momentum and opened the door for a move back above
\n the $100 level.<\/p>\n

Keep in mind that Trump is facing many constraints at
\n the moment, so an end to the war is more likely than not, but the only question
\n is the timeline. If the markets start to sense an earlier end or we get a
\n surprising breakthrough, then we can expect crude oil to resume the decline.
\n Conversely, if things remain unchanged or even re-escalate, we can expect WTI
\n oil to stay supported into new highs.<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

CRUDE OIL
\n TECHNICAL ANALYSIS \u2013 DAILY TIMEFRAME<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

On the daily chart, we can
\n see that crude oil<\/a>(CFD contract) rose back
\n above the major zone around the 93.00 level and it\u2019s now extending the gains. The
\n buyers will likely pile in around these levels with a defined risk below the
\n support to position for a rally back into the 105.00 resistance. The sellers,
\n on the other hand, will want to see the price falling back below the 93.00 zone
\n to pile in for a drop into the lower bound of the channel around the 85.00
\n level.<\/p>\n

CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL
\n ANALYSIS \u2013 4 HOUR TIMEFRAME<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

On the 4 hour chart, we can
\n see the price broke above the downward trendline that was defining the bearish
\n momentum. The buyers are piling in on the break to target a rally back into the
\n 105.00 resistance, while the sellers will need the price to fall back below the
\n trendline and the 93.00 zone to regain some control and target new lows.<\/p>\n

CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL
\n ANALYSIS \u2013 1 HOUR TIMEFRAME<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

On the 1 hour chart, we
\n have a minor upward trendline now defining the bullish momentum. If we get a
\n pullback, we can expect the buyers to lean on the trendline with a defined risk
\n below it to keep pushing into new highs. The sellers, on the other hand, will
\n look for a break lower to pile in for a drop into new lows. The red lines
\n define the average daily range<\/a> for today. <\/p>\n

UPCOMING CATALYSTS<\/p>\n

Today<\/a>, we have the Trump-Xi
\n meeting and the US Jobless Claims data, but the focus will remain on US-Iran developments.<\/p>\n

This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at investinglive.com.<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW \u00a0 Crude oil extended the gains yesterday as short-covering continued after Trump poured cold water on expectations of an earlier end to the Iran war. As a reminder, oil prices…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":216,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[86],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-438749","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/438749","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/216"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=438749"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/438749\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=438749"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=438749"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=438749"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}