{"id":438760,"date":"2026-09-24T20:40:09","date_gmt":"2026-09-24T13:40:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/market-news\/silver-falls-back-to-the-key-63-support-as-real-yields-surge-amid-rising-oil-prices-and-strong-us-pmis-438760\/"},"modified":"2026-09-24T20:40:09","modified_gmt":"2026-09-24T13:40:09","slug":"silver-falls-back-to-the-key-63-support-as-real-yields-surge-amid-rising-oil-prices-and-strong-us-pmis","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/market-news\/silver-falls-back-to-the-key-63-support-as-real-yields-surge-amid-rising-oil-prices-and-strong-us-pmis-438760\/","title":{"rendered":"Silver falls back to the key $63 support as real yields surge amid rising oil prices and strong US PMIs"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 8px; line-height: 110%; font-family: Aptos, sans-serif; font-size: 13px\">FUNDAMENTAL<br \/>\n        OVERVIEW<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"font-family: Aptos, sans-serif; margin: 7px 0; line-height: normal; font-size: 13px\">\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"font-family: Aptos, sans-serif; margin: 7px 0; line-height: normal; font-size: 13px\">Silver has benefited recently from the sharp decline in oil prices as<br \/>\n        expectations of a de-escalation and an earlier end to the conflict increased.<br \/>\n        Lower energy prices eased inflation concerns and reduced expectations for more<br \/>\n        aggressive tightening, creating a supportive environment for silver.<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"font-family: Aptos, sans-serif; margin: 7px 0; line-height: normal; font-size: 13px\">However, those expectations faded after the UN General Assembly, where<br \/>\n        Trump reiterated that the US would make a deal with Iran after the November<br \/>\n        elections. His remarks reduced optimism over a near-term resolution and<br \/>\n        contributed to a renewed rise in oil prices.<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"font-family: Aptos, sans-serif; margin: 7px 0; line-height: normal; font-size: 13px\">Risk sentiment subsequently deteriorated, with silver coming under<br \/>\n        additional pressure yesterday after the <a href=\"https:\/\/investinglive.com\/news\/investinglive-americas-market-news-wrap-strong-us-services-pmi-leads-to-a-big-breakdown-in-bonds\/\" style=\"color: rgba(70, 120, 134, 1); text-decoration: underline\" rel=\"follow\">US Flash PMIs<\/a> showed significantly stronger<br \/>\n        than expected growth. The data triggered another hawkish repricing, sending real<br \/>\n        yields higher and weighing on the precious metal.<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"font-family: Aptos, sans-serif; margin: 7px 0; line-height: normal; font-size: 13px\">The focus will remain on interest rate expectations and developments in the<br \/>\n        Middle East. If markets begin to sense an earlier end to the conflict, or there\u2019s<br \/>\n        a surprise breakthrough in US-Iran negotiations, oil prices will resume the<br \/>\n        decline, trigger a dovish repricing and providing support to silver.<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"font-family: Aptos, sans-serif; margin: 7px 0; line-height: normal; font-size: 13px\">Conversely, if the situation remains unresolved or things re-escalate,<br \/>\n        crude oil will likely continue to move higher. This would reinforce<br \/>\n        expectations for tighter monetary policy and higher real yields, creating<br \/>\n        additional headwinds for silver.<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"font-family: Aptos, sans-serif; margin: 7px 0; line-height: normal; font-size: 13px\">\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"font-family: Aptos, sans-serif; margin: 7px 0; line-height: normal; font-size: 13px\">SILVER TECHNICAL<br \/>\n        ANALYSIS \u2013 DAILY TIMEFRAME<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p style='margin: 7px 0; font-family: \"Times New Roman\", serif; font-size: 16px'>On the daily chart, we can<br \/>\n        see that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/XAGUSD\/\" style=\"color: rgba(70, 120, 134, 1); text-decoration: underline\" rel=\"follow\">silver<\/a>\u00a0(CFD contract)\u00a0pulled once again back to the<br \/>\n            key 63.00 support. We can expect the buyers to step in around the support, with<br \/>\n            a defined risk below it, to position for a rally into the 71.50 level. The<br \/>\n            sellers, on the other hand, will want to see the price breaking lower to pile<br \/>\n            in for a drop into the 55.00 handle next.<\/p>\n<p style='margin: 7px 0; font-family: \"Times New Roman\", serif; font-size: 16px'>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p style='margin: 7px 0; font-family: \"Times New Roman\", serif; font-size: 16px'>SILVER TECHNICAL ANALYSIS \u2013<br \/>\n        4 HOUR TIMEFRAME<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p style='margin: 7px 0; font-family: \"Times New Roman\", serif; font-size: 16px'>On the 4 hour chart, we<br \/>\n        have a minor resistance zone around the 65.00 level. If the price rebounds and<br \/>\n        pulls back into the resistance, we can expect the sellers to step in there,<br \/>\n        with a defined risk above the resistance, to position for a break below the<br \/>\n        support. The buyers, on the other hand, will want to see the price breaking<br \/>\n        higher to increase the bullish bets into the 71.50 level next, with the 68.00<br \/>\n        level as the first target.<\/p>\n<p style='margin: 7px 0; font-family: \"Times New Roman\", serif; font-size: 16px'>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p style='margin: 7px 0; font-family: \"Times New Roman\", serif; font-size: 16px'>SILVER TECHNICAL ANALYSIS \u2013<br \/>\n        1 HOUR TIMEFRAME<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p style='margin: 7px 0; font-family: \"Times New Roman\", serif; font-size: 16px'>On the 1 hour chart, we<br \/>\n        have a minor downward trendline defining the bearish momentum. We can expect<br \/>\n        the sellers to lean on the trendline with a defined risk above it to keep<br \/>\n        pushing into new lows. The buyers, on the other hand, will look for a break<br \/>\n        higher to increase the bullish bets into the 65.00 resistance next. The red<br \/>\n        lines define the <a href=\"https:\/\/investinglive.com\/Education\/trading-tip-know-the-average-daily-range-adr-20220207\/\" style=\"color: rgba(70, 120, 134, 1); text-decoration: underline\" rel=\"follow\">average daily range<\/a> for today.<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 8px; line-height: 110%; font-family: Aptos, sans-serif; font-size: 13px\">UPCOMING CATALYSTS<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 8px; font-family: Aptos, sans-serif; line-height: 103%; font-size: 13px\"><a href=\"https:\/\/investinglive.com\/EconomicCalendar\" style=\"color: rgba(70, 120, 134, 1); text-decoration: underline\" rel=\"follow\">Today<\/a>, we have the Trump-Xi meeting and the US Jobless Claims data, but the<br \/>\n        focus will remain on US-Iran developments.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p>                            This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at investinglive.com.<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW \u00a0 Silver has benefited recently from the sharp decline in oil prices as expectations of a de-escalation and an earlier end to the conflict increased. Lower energy prices eased inflation&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":216,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[86],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-438760","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/438760","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/216"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=438760"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/438760\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=438760"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=438760"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=438760"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}