{"id":438847,"date":"2026-09-25T17:14:06","date_gmt":"2026-09-25T10:14:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/market-news\/crude-oil-falls-on-reports-of-potential-phased-us-iran-deal-that-would-reopen-the-strait-of-hormuz-438847\/"},"modified":"2026-09-25T17:14:06","modified_gmt":"2026-09-25T10:14:06","slug":"crude-oil-falls-on-reports-of-potential-phased-us-iran-deal-that-would-reopen-the-strait-of-hormuz","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/market-news\/crude-oil-falls-on-reports-of-potential-phased-us-iran-deal-that-would-reopen-the-strait-of-hormuz-438847\/","title":{"rendered":"Crude oil falls on reports of potential phased US-Iran deal that would reopen the Strait of Hormuz"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

FUNDAMENTAL
\n OVERVIEW<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

Crude oil fell
\n yesterday after reports of US and Iran discussing a phased deal to reopen the Strait
\n of Hormuz and end the US blockade. Iran has put an offer on the table, promising to
\n reopen the Strait of Hormuz within seven days if the US meets its terms. Iran’s
\n Foreign Minister Araghchi is staying in New York over the weekend to await a US
\n response. <\/p>\n

It goes without
\n saying that a breakthrough in negotiations would send oil prices quickly lower,
\n while a prolonged stalemate or even a re-escalation should keep the market
\n supported into new highs. \u00a0<\/p>\n

Keep in mind that Trump is facing many constraints at
\n the moment, so an end to the war is more likely than not. The only question is
\n the timeline and that\u2019s what\u2019s been driving the price action recently. <\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

CRUDE OIL
\n TECHNICAL ANALYSIS \u2013 DAILY TIMEFRAME<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

On the daily chart, we can
\n see that crude oil<\/a>(CFD contract) pulled back to
\n the major 93.00 zone on renewed hopes for a US-Iran deal. The buyers will
\n likely pile in around these levels with a defined risk below the zone to
\n position for a rally into the 110.00 resistance. The sellers, on the other
\n hand, will look for short positions below the 93.00 zone to target a drop into
\n the lower bound of the channel around the 85.00 handle.<\/p>\n

CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL
\n ANALYSIS \u2013 4 HOUR TIMEFRAME<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

On the 4 hour chart, we can
\n see more clearly the price action around the 93.00 zone which might get
\n choppier as we head into the weekend due to gap risks. Again, the buyers will likely
\n step in around these levels to target new highs, while the sellers will look for
\n short positions below the zone to keep pushing into new lows.<\/p>\n

CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL
\n ANALYSIS \u2013 1 HOUR TIMEFRAME<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

On the 1 hour chart, we can
\n see the price broke below the minor upward trendline that was defining the bullish
\n momentum. If the price pulls back to retest the trendline, we can expect the
\n sellers to step in with a defined risk above the trendline to position for a drop
\n into the 85.00 level. The buyers, on the other hand, will want to see the price
\n rising back above the trendline to increase the bullish bets into the 110.00
\n level next. The red lines define the average daily range<\/a> for today. <\/p>\n

UPCOMING CATALYSTS<\/p>\n

Today<\/a> we don\u2019t have anything
\n on the agenda, but traders will keep a close eye on US-Iran developments after
\n yesterday\u2019s proposal of reopening the Strait of Hormuz under certain
\n conditions.<\/p>\n

This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at investinglive.com.<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW \u00a0 Crude oil fell yesterday after reports of US and Iran discussing a phased deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and end the US blockade. Iran has put an…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":216,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[86],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-438847","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/438847","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/216"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=438847"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/438847\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=438847"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=438847"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=438847"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}