{"id":439019,"date":"2026-09-29T16:00:11","date_gmt":"2026-09-29T09:00:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/market-news\/ethereum-is-coiling-for-a-breakout-amid-us-iran-tensions-where-will-it-go-439019\/"},"modified":"2026-09-29T16:00:11","modified_gmt":"2026-09-29T09:00:11","slug":"ethereum-is-coiling-for-a-breakout-amid-us-iran-tensions-where-will-it-go","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/market-news\/ethereum-is-coiling-for-a-breakout-amid-us-iran-tensions-where-will-it-go-439019\/","title":{"rendered":"Ethereum is coiling for a breakout amid US-Iran tensions: Where will it go?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 11px; line-height: 106%; font-family: Aptos, sans-serif; font-size: 15px\">FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 11px; line-height: 106%; font-family: Aptos, sans-serif; font-size: 15px\">\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"font-family: Aptos, sans-serif; margin: 7px 0; line-height: normal; font-size: 15px\">Ethereum has<br \/>\n        come under some pressure recently as US-Iran tensions dominated the price<br \/>\n        action. \u00a0\u00a0The negative sentiment started last Wednesday when<br \/>\n        Trump poured cold water on expectations of an earlier end to<br \/>\n        the Iran war after he repeated that the US would make a deal with Tehran after<br \/>\n        the November elections. <\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 11px; line-height: 106%; font-family: Aptos, sans-serif; font-size: 15px\">Heading into the weekend though, the hopes for a<br \/>\n        US-Iran deal returned after Iran sent a proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz<br \/>\n        within seven days on certain conditions. Unfortunately, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/world\/middle-east\/trump-rejects-iran-ceasefire-expects-renewed-bombing-after-midterms-5982ee50\" style=\"color: rgba(70, 120, 134, 1); text-decoration: underline\" rel=\"follow\">Trump rejected the proposal on Saturday and told reporters that he expected<br \/>\n            to resume bombing Iran after the midterms<\/a>. That has kept a lid on the crypto market. <\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 11px; line-height: 106%; font-family: Aptos, sans-serif; font-size: 15px\">Yesterday, we<br \/>\n        started to get some positive headlines during the American session pointing to<br \/>\n        possible US concessions. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.axios.com\/2026\/09\/28\/trump-iran-war-sanctions-blockade-nuclear\" style=\"color: rgba(70, 120, 134, 1); text-decoration: underline\" rel=\"follow\">According to Axios<\/a>, Trump reportedly offered Iran sanctions relief and<br \/>\n        access to frozen funds in exchange for progress on nuclear program, although<br \/>\n        the US President later denied such reports. <\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 11px; line-height: 106%; font-family: Aptos, sans-serif; font-size: 15px\">He did confirm<br \/>\n        though that the American and Iranian negotiators are engaged in talks through<br \/>\n        mediators. Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi said he expected a formal answer today<br \/>\n        to Tehran&#8217;s proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. <\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 11px; line-height: 106%; font-family: Aptos, sans-serif; font-size: 15px\">With the lack of Ethereum-specific catalysts on<br \/>\n        the horizon, the focus will remain on the Middle East and the Fed. A<br \/>\n        breakthrough would be positive for Ethereum as the aggressive rate hike bets<br \/>\n        will likely get pared back. A negative outcome, on the other hand, will likely<br \/>\n        continue to weigh on the cryptocurrency.<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 11px; line-height: 106%; font-family: Aptos, sans-serif; font-size: 15px\">\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 11px; line-height: 106%; font-family: Aptos, sans-serif; font-size: 15px\">ETHEREUM TECHNICAL<br \/>\n        ANALYSIS \u2013 DAILY TIMEFRAME<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p style='margin-right: 0; margin-left: 0; font-family: \"Times New Roman\", serif; font-size: 16px'>On the daily chart, we can<br \/>\n        see that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/ETHUSD\/\" style=\"color: rgba(70, 120, 134, 1); text-decoration: underline\" rel=\"follow\">Ethereum<\/a>is consolidating near the<br \/>\n            major upward trendline. If the price gets there, we can expect the buyers to<br \/>\n            lean on the trendline, with a defined risk below it, to position for a rally<br \/>\n            into the 3,000 level. The sellers, on the other hand, will want to see the<br \/>\n            price breaking lower to pile in for a drop into the 2,360 level next. <\/p>\n<p>ETHEREUM TECHNICAL<br \/>\n    ANALYSIS \u2013 4 HOUR TIMEFRAME<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p style='margin-right: 0; margin-left: 0; font-family: \"Times New Roman\", serif; font-size: 16px'>On the 4 hour chart, we have<br \/>\n        a resistance zone around the 2,720 level where the price got rejected from<br \/>\n        several times in the past days. The sellers will likely continue to step in<br \/>\n        around the resistance, with a defined risk above it, to keep targeting the<br \/>\n        major trendline. The buyers, on the other hand, will look for a break higher to<br \/>\n        pile in for a rally into the 3,000 level next.<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 11px; line-height: 106%; font-family: Aptos, sans-serif; font-size: 15px\">ETHEREUM TECHNICAL<br \/>\n        ANALYSIS \u2013 1 HOUR TIMEFRAME<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p style='margin-right: 0; margin-left: 0; font-family: \"Times New Roman\", serif; font-size: 16px'>On the 1 hour chart, there\u2019s<br \/>\n        not much we can add here as the sellers will have a better risk to reward setup<br \/>\n        around the resistance and on the break of the trendline, while the buyers will look<br \/>\n        for a rejection around the trendline or a break above the resistance to<br \/>\n        position for new highs.<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 11px; line-height: 106%; font-family: Aptos, sans-serif; font-size: 15px\">UPCOMING CATALYSTS<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 11px; font-family: Aptos, sans-serif; line-height: 103%; font-size: 15px\"><a href=\"https:\/\/investinglive.com\/EconomicCalendar\" rel=\"follow\">Today<\/a>, we get the US<br \/>\n        Consumer Confidence report and the US Job Openings data. Tomorrow, we have the<br \/>\n        US ADP and the US PCE price index. On Thursday, we get the US ISM Manufacturing<br \/>\n        PMI and the latest US Jobless Claims figures. On Friday, we conclude the week<br \/>\n        with the US NFP report. The focus, though, will remain on US-Iran developments.<\/p>\n<p>                            This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at investinglive.com.<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW \u00a0 Ethereum has come under some pressure recently as US-Iran tensions dominated the price action. \u00a0\u00a0The negative sentiment started last Wednesday when Trump poured cold water on expectations of an&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":216,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[86],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-439019","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/439019","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/216"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=439019"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/439019\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=439019"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=439019"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=439019"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}