{"id":439336,"date":"2026-10-05T15:26:56","date_gmt":"2026-10-05T08:26:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/market-news\/bitcoin-whipsaws-after-the-nfp-report-as-the-focus-remains-on-the-middle-east-developments-439336\/"},"modified":"2026-10-05T15:26:56","modified_gmt":"2026-10-05T08:26:56","slug":"bitcoin-whipsaws-after-the-nfp-report-as-the-focus-remains-on-the-middle-east-developments","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/market-news\/bitcoin-whipsaws-after-the-nfp-report-as-the-focus-remains-on-the-middle-east-developments-439336\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin whipsaws after the NFP report as the focus remains on the Middle East developments"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 11px; line-height: 106%; font-family: Aptos, sans-serif; font-size: 15px\">FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 11px; line-height: 106%; font-family: Aptos, sans-serif; font-size: 15px\">\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 11px; line-height: 106%; font-family: Aptos, sans-serif; font-size: 15px\">Bitcoin couldn\u2019t extend the gains on Friday despite a soft <a href=\"https:\/\/investinglive.com\/news\/us-september-non-farm-payrolls-29k-vs-90k-expected\/\" style=\"color: rgba(70, 120, 134, 1); text-decoration: underline\" rel=\"follow\">NFP report<\/a>and<br \/>\n            the cryptocurrency eventually ended the day negative. <\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 11px; line-height: 106%; font-family: Aptos, sans-serif; font-size: 15px\">There wasn\u2019t any bearish catalyst for the downside move, it\u2019s just that<br \/>\n        the NFP report didn\u2019t matter much in the bigger picture since the totality of<br \/>\n        the US data continues to be strong and the US-Iran negotiations remain at a<br \/>\n        stalemate. <\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 11px; line-height: 106%; font-family: Aptos, sans-serif; font-size: 15px\">Over the weekend, Bitcoin recovered Friday\u2019s losses and it\u2019s now trading<br \/>\n        at pre-NFP levels. Given a very light calendar this week, the focus will likely<br \/>\n        remain on US-Iran developments.<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 11px; line-height: 106%; font-family: Aptos, sans-serif; font-size: 15px\">If we get a breakthrough, we can expect oil prices to drop significantly<br \/>\n        and give Bitcoin a boost on lower rate hike expectations and positive risk<br \/>\n        sentiment. Another escalation, on the other hand, will likely send crude oil<br \/>\n        higher and weigh on the crypto market.<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 11px; line-height: 106%; font-family: Aptos, sans-serif; font-size: 15px\">\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 11px; line-height: 106%; font-family: Aptos, sans-serif; font-size: 15px\">BITCOIN TECHNICAL<br \/>\n        ANALYSIS \u2013 DAILY TIMEFRAME<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p style='margin-right: 0; margin-left: 0; font-family: \"Times New Roman\", serif; font-size: 16px'>On the daily chart, we can<br \/>\n        see that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/BITCOIN\/\" style=\"color: rgba(70, 120, 134, 1); text-decoration: underline\" rel=\"follow\">Bitcoin<\/a>is trading near the monthly highs.<br \/>\n            If the price pulls back into the trendline, we can expect the buyers to lean on<br \/>\n            it, with a defined risk below it, to position for a rally into the 98,000<br \/>\n            level. The sellers, on the other hand, will want to see the price breaking<br \/>\n            below the trendline and the 82,500 support to pile in for a correction into the<br \/>\n            76,000 level next. <\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 11px; line-height: 106%; font-family: Aptos, sans-serif; font-size: 15px\">BITCOIN TECHNICAL<br \/>\n        ANALYSIS \u2013 4 HOUR TIMEFRAME<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p style='margin-right: 0; margin-left: 0; font-family: \"Times New Roman\", serif; font-size: 16px'>On the 4 hour chart, we can<br \/>\n        see the recent rangebound price action. The price broke above the minor 85,000<br \/>\n        resistance on Friday but eventually move back below it before recovering the<br \/>\n        losses. This noise suggests for more caution, so the buyers might want to wait<br \/>\n        for the price to break above the monthly high or a pullback into the upward trendline<br \/>\n        to start positioning for a move into the 98,000 level. The sellers, on the<br \/>\n        other hand, will need a break below the trendline and the 82,500 support to<br \/>\n        open the door for new lows.<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 11px; line-height: 106%; font-family: Aptos, sans-serif; font-size: 15px\">BITCOIN TECHNICAL<br \/>\n        ANALYSIS \u2013 1 HOUR TIMEFRAME<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p style='margin-right: 0; margin-left: 0; font-family: \"Times New Roman\", serif; font-size: 16px'>On the 1 hour chart, we<br \/>\n        have a minor upward trendline defining the current bulling momentum. The buyers<br \/>\n        will likely continue to lean on it, with a defined risk below it, to keep<br \/>\n        pushing into new highs. The sellers, on the other hand, will look for a break<br \/>\n        lower to start positioning for a pullback into the major upward trendline. The<br \/>\n        red lines define the <a href=\"https:\/\/investinglive.com\/Education\/trading-tip-know-the-average-daily-range-adr-20220207\/\" style=\"color: rgba(70, 120, 134, 1); text-decoration: underline\" rel=\"follow\">average daily range<\/a> for today.<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 11px; line-height: 106%; font-family: Aptos, sans-serif; font-size: 15px\">UPCOMING CATALYSTS<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 11px; font-family: Aptos, sans-serif; line-height: 103%; font-size: 15px\"><a href=\"https:\/\/investinglive.com\/EconomicCalendar\" style=\"color: rgba(70, 120, 134, 1); text-decoration: underline\" rel=\"follow\">Today<\/a>we get<br \/>\n            the US ISM Services PMI. On Wednesday, we have the FOMC meeting minutes. On<br \/>\n            Thursday, we get the latest US Jobless Claims figures. On Friday, we conclude<br \/>\n            the week with the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment survey.<\/p>\n<p>                            This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at investinglive.com.<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW \u00a0 Bitcoin couldn\u2019t extend the gains on Friday despite a soft NFP reportand the cryptocurrency eventually ended the day negative. There wasn\u2019t any bearish catalyst for the downside move, it\u2019s&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":216,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[86],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-439336","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/439336","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/216"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=439336"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/439336\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=439336"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=439336"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=439336"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}