{"id":439675,"date":"2026-10-08T14:20:23","date_gmt":"2026-10-08T07:20:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/market-news\/gold-hunts-stops-under-4110-support-and-rebounds-the-bias-remains-neutral-bearish-as-oil-rises-439675\/"},"modified":"2026-10-08T14:20:23","modified_gmt":"2026-10-08T07:20:23","slug":"gold-hunts-stops-under-4110-support-and-rebounds-the-bias-remains-neutral-bearish-as-oil-rises","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/market-news\/gold-hunts-stops-under-4110-support-and-rebounds-the-bias-remains-neutral-bearish-as-oil-rises-439675\/","title":{"rendered":"Gold &#8216;hunts&#8217; stops under $4,110 support and rebounds: The bias remains neutral\/bearish as oil rises"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 8px; line-height: 110%; font-family: Aptos, sans-serif; font-size: 13px\">FUNDAMENTAL<br \/>\n        OVERVIEW<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 8px; font-family: Aptos, sans-serif; line-height: normal; font-size: 13px\">\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 8px; line-height: 110%; font-family: Aptos, sans-serif; font-size: 13px\">Gold briefly spiked below the 4,110 support yesterday, although there<br \/>\n        was no clear catalyst behind the move. It may have simply been a case of stops<br \/>\n        being triggered after the price pierced the support level. Nevertheless, the<br \/>\n        losses were quickly erased, and gold is now trading back above 4,110.<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 8px; line-height: 110%; font-family: Aptos, sans-serif; font-size: 13px\">The bias remains neutral to bearish given the lack of any meaningful<br \/>\n        improvement in the fundamental picture. Gold could come under renewed pressure<br \/>\n        in the coming days as oil prices have been steadily rising following reports<br \/>\n        from The Atlantic that the White House asked the Pentagon to develop military<br \/>\n        options for strikes against Iranian targets, potentially before the midterm<br \/>\n        elections.<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 8px; line-height: 110%; font-family: Aptos, sans-serif; font-size: 13px\">Moreover, the Pentagon has reportedly instructed the US Central Command<br \/>\n        (CENTCOM) to complete preparations for potentially resuming major combat<br \/>\n        operations, according to Axios.<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 8px; line-height: 110%; font-family: Aptos, sans-serif; font-size: 13px\">No final decision has been made yet, but the renewed escalation risks<br \/>\n        are supporting the oil market again. If this continues, Treasury yields could<br \/>\n        extend their gains while rate hike expectations strengthen further.<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 8px; line-height: 110%; font-family: Aptos, sans-serif; font-size: 13px\">If the situation does not de-escalate soon, we could see another flush<br \/>\n        lower in gold. However, if the Fed continues to sound more dovish than markets,<br \/>\n        real yields could decline and provide a floor under gold prices.<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 8px; line-height: 110%; font-family: Aptos, sans-serif; font-size: 13px\">\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 8px; font-family: Aptos, sans-serif; line-height: normal; font-size: 13px\">GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS \u2013 DAILY TIMEFRAME<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p style='margin-right: 0; margin-left: 0; font-family: \"Times New Roman\", serif; font-size: 16px'>On the daily chart, we can<br \/>\n        see that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/XAUUSD\/\" style=\"color: rgba(70, 120, 134, 1); text-decoration: underline\" rel=\"follow\">gold<\/a>(CFD contract) is still<br \/>\n            consolidating near the lows. If we get a pullback into the major downward<br \/>\n            trendline, we can expect the sellers to lean on the trendline, with a defined<br \/>\n            risk above it, to position for a drop into the 3,885 level. The buyers, on the<br \/>\n            other hand, will want to see the price breaking higher to pile in for a rally<br \/>\n            into the 4,700 level next, with the 4,400 level as the first target. <\/p>\n<p style='margin-right: 0; margin-left: 0; font-family: \"Times New Roman\", serif; font-size: 16px'>GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS \u2013 4<br \/>\n        HOUR TIMEFRAME<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p style='margin-right: 0; margin-left: 0; font-family: \"Times New Roman\", serif; font-size: 16px'>On the 4 hour chart, we can<br \/>\n        see that yesterday the price probed below the weekly low but eventually erased<br \/>\n        all the losses. From a risk management perspective, the sellers will have a<br \/>\n        better risk to reward setup around the trendline to keep targeting new lows,<br \/>\n        while the buyers will need a break higher to start targeting the 4,400 level<br \/>\n        next. <\/p>\n<p style='margin-right: 0; margin-left: 0; font-family: \"Times New Roman\", serif; font-size: 16px'>GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS \u2013 1<br \/>\n        HOUR TIMEFRAME<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p style='margin-right: 0; margin-left: 0; font-family: \"Times New Roman\", serif; font-size: 16px'>On the 1 hour chart, we can<br \/>\n        see more clearly the spike to the downside yesterday which might have been<br \/>\n        caused by stops getting hit after the break of the 4,110 support. The buyers<br \/>\n        will likely continue to lean on the 4,110 support to keep targeting a pullback<br \/>\n        into the trendline, while the sellers will look for a break to pile in for a<br \/>\n        drop into the 3,885 level next. The red lines define the <a href=\"https:\/\/investinglive.com\/Education\/trading-tip-know-the-average-daily-range-adr-20220207\/\" style=\"color: rgba(70, 120, 134, 1); text-decoration: underline\" rel=\"follow\">average daily range<\/a> for today.<\/p>\n<p style='margin-right: 0; margin-left: 0; font-family: \"Times New Roman\", serif; font-size: 16px'>UPCOMING CATALYSTS<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 8px; font-family: Aptos, sans-serif; line-height: 103%; font-size: 13px\"><a href=\"https:\/\/investinglive.com\/EconomicCalendar\" style=\"color: rgba(70, 120, 134, 1); text-decoration: underline\" rel=\"follow\">Today<\/a>we<br \/>\n            have Fed\u2019s Waller speaking and the latest US Jobless Claims figures. Tomorrow,<br \/>\n            we conclude the week with the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment survey.<\/p>\n<p>                            This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at investinglive.com.<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW \u00a0 Gold briefly spiked below the 4,110 support yesterday, although there was no clear catalyst behind the move. It may have simply been a case of stops being triggered after&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":216,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[86],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-439675","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/439675","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/216"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=439675"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/439675\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=439675"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=439675"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=439675"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}