{"id":439960,"date":"2026-10-13T15:00:21","date_gmt":"2026-10-13T08:00:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/market-news\/oil-price-volatility-takes-gold-for-a-ride-as-focus-turns-to-us-cpi-next-what-to-watch-439960\/"},"modified":"2026-10-13T15:00:21","modified_gmt":"2026-10-13T08:00:21","slug":"oil-price-volatility-takes-gold-for-a-ride-as-focus-turns-to-us-cpi-next-what-to-watch","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/market-news\/oil-price-volatility-takes-gold-for-a-ride-as-focus-turns-to-us-cpi-next-what-to-watch-439960\/","title":{"rendered":"Oil price volatility takes gold for a ride as focus turns to US CPI next. What to watch?"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

\n

Gold has come under renewed pressure yesterday after oil prices surged
\n to new weekly highs. Overall, the situation in the Middle East hasn\u2019t changed
\n much as the Houthis continue to attack Saudi Arabia, while the US-Iran negotiations
\n remain at a stalemate. <\/p>\n

This is going to continue to cap the upside in gold unless the Fed turns
\n more dovish than market\u2019s expectations, leading to a fall in real yields. <\/p>\n

Looking ahead, the focus will remain on US-Iran developments, but we
\n also have the US CPI report tomorrow as a key near-term catalyst. \u00a0<\/p>\n

A hotter than expected core reading could raise the probabilities for a
\n Fed rate hike in October, putting downward pressure on gold. A soft report, on
\n the other hand, will likely ease rate hike concerns further and provide another
\n boost to the precious metal.<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS \u2013 DAILY TIMEFRAME<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

On the daily chart, we can
\n see that gold<\/a>(CFD contract) is approaching
\n the downward trendline. The sellers will likely lean on the trendline, with a
\n defined risk above it, to position for a drop into the 3,885 level. The buyers,
\n on the other hand, will want to see the price breaking higher to pile in for a
\n rally into the 4,700 level next, with the 4,500 level as the first target.<\/p>\n

GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS \u2013 4
\n HOUR TIMEFRAME<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

On the 4 hour chart, it
\n looks like we got a fakeout yesterday as the price fell below the upward trendline
\n and then rose back above it. From a risk management perspective, the sellers
\n will have a better risk to reward setup around the downward trendline, with a
\n defined risk above the 4,228 level, to target a drop into the 3,885 level. The
\n buyers, on the other hand, will need a break above the trendline and the 4,228
\n level to open the door for a rally into the 4,400 level next.<\/p>\n

GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS \u2013 1
\n HOUR TIMEFRAME<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

On the 1 hour chart, there\u2019s
\n not much we can add here as the sellers will be better off waiting for the
\n price to come into the trendline, while the buyers will need a break. The red
\n lines define the average daily range<\/a> for today.<\/p>\n

UPCOMING CATALYSTS<\/p>\n

Tomorrow<\/a> we have the US CPI
\n report. On Thursday, we get the US PPI, the US Retail Sales and the latest US
\n Jobless Claims figures.<\/p>\n

This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at investinglive.com.<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Gold has come under renewed pressure yesterday after oil prices surged to new weekly highs. Overall, the situation in the Middle East hasn\u2019t changed much as the Houthis continue to attack Saudi…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":216,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[86],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-439960","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/439960","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/216"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=439960"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/439960\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=439960"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=439960"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=439960"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}