{"id":440039,"date":"2026-10-14T15:14:10","date_gmt":"2026-10-14T08:14:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/market-news\/gold-gets-hit-again-by-a-jump-in-oil-prices-as-the-focus-turns-to-us-cpi-what-to-watch-440039\/"},"modified":"2026-10-14T15:14:10","modified_gmt":"2026-10-14T08:14:10","slug":"gold-gets-hit-again-by-a-jump-in-oil-prices-as-the-focus-turns-to-us-cpi-what-to-watch","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/market-news\/gold-gets-hit-again-by-a-jump-in-oil-prices-as-the-focus-turns-to-us-cpi-what-to-watch-440039\/","title":{"rendered":"Gold gets hit again by a jump in oil prices as the focus turns to US CPI. What to watch?"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Gold got once again hit by another jump in oil prices, with WTI reaching
\n a new weekly high yesterday. <\/p>\n

The Houthis are intensifying attacks on Saudi Arabia, leading to renewed
\n supply disruption risks. The negotiations between the US and Iran remain at a
\n stalemate, and there isn\u2019t any energy ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine as
\n Russia reportedly struck an oil facility in western Ukraine.<\/p>\n

The Middle East crisis and lack of some relief from the Russian front,
\n has been keeping oil prices supported and limiting the upside in gold due to
\n persistent inflationary pressures and hawkish expectations. <\/p>\n

Today, all eyes will be on the US CPI report. The focus will be mainly
\n on the core m\/m measure as Fed members have been focusing on the monthly pace
\n of core inflation to determine how many rate hikes will be needed and how
\n quickly they should tighten policy.<\/p>\n

The probabilities for a
\n rate hike in October currently sit around 21% because traders have been waiting
\n for the CPI data to completely rule out a hike at the upcoming meeting despite
\n the pushback from Fed members. <\/p>\n

I feel like an uptick
\n to 0.3% might not be enough for the market to fully expect a hike in October,
\n but a jump to 0.4% should do it. In such a case, we will likely see a selloff
\n in gold on a hawkish repricing. An in-line or even lower than expected figure,
\n on the other hand, could lead to a short-term relief rally in the precious
\n metal.<\/p>\n

\n

GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS \u2013 DAILY TIMEFRAME<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

On the daily chart, we can
\n see that gold<\/a>(CFD contract) couldn\u2019t reach
\n the downward trendline, as it started to roll over earlier due to another jump
\n in oil prices. The sellers will likely continue to lean on the trendline, with
\n a defined risk above it, to keep targeting a drop into the 3,885 level. The
\n buyers, on the other hand, will want to see the price breaking higher to pile
\n in for a rally into the 4,700 level next, with the 4,500 level as the first
\n target.<\/p>\n

GOLD
\n TECHNICAL ANALYSIS \u2013 4 HOUR TIMEFRAME<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

On the 4 hour chart, we can
\n see that as soon as the price fell back below the upward trendline, the bearish
\n momentum accelerated as the sellers piled in for a move into new lows. The
\n 4,110 level could still act as support. If the price gets there, we can expect
\n the buyers to step in, with a defined risk below it, to position for a rally into
\n the 4,228 resistance. The sellers, on the other hand, will want to see the
\n price breaking lower to increase the bearish bets into the 3,885 level next.<\/p>\n

GOLD
\n TECHNICAL ANALYSIS \u2013 1 HOUR TIMEFRAME<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

On the 1 hour chart, we
\n have a minor downward trendline that could act as resistance in case we get a
\n pullback. The sellers will likely lean on the trendline, with a defined risk
\n above it, to keep pushing into new lows. The buyers, on the other hand, will
\n look for a break to extend the pullback into the 4,228 resistance. <\/p>\n

From a risk management perspective,
\n though, it would be better to wait for the US CPI as surprises could trigger
\n big moves and make technical levels useless. The red lines define the average daily range<\/a> for today.<\/p>\n

UPCOMING CATALYSTS<\/p>\n

Today<\/a> we have the US CPI
\n report. Tomorrow, we get the US PPI, the US Retail Sales and the latest US
\n Jobless Claims figures.<\/p>\n

This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at investinglive.com.<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Gold got once again hit by another jump in oil prices, with WTI reaching a new weekly high yesterday. The Houthis are intensifying attacks on Saudi Arabia, leading to renewed supply disruption…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":216,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[86],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-440039","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/440039","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/216"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=440039"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/440039\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=440039"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=440039"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=440039"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}