{"id":440422,"date":"2026-10-20T12:40:10","date_gmt":"2026-10-20T05:40:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/market-news\/ai-stocks-rebound-on-wall-street-but-treasury-yields-could-pour-cold-water-on-the-recovery-440422\/"},"modified":"2026-10-20T12:40:10","modified_gmt":"2026-10-20T05:40:10","slug":"ai-stocks-rebound-on-wall-street-but-treasury-yields-could-pour-cold-water-on-the-recovery","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/market-news\/ai-stocks-rebound-on-wall-street-but-treasury-yields-could-pour-cold-water-on-the-recovery-440422\/","title":{"rendered":"AI stocks rebound on Wall Street but Treasury yields could pour cold water on the recovery"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\" class=\"text-align-justify\">It didn&#8217;t take long for US equities to seek out a bit of a breather, with the bounce yesterday looking fairly decent after tech stocks were trounced in the week before.\u00a0The Nasdaq climbed by 1.1% on Monday, recovering some ground after last week&#8217;s heavy selloff, while the S&amp;P 500 added 0.4%.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\" class=\"text-align-justify\">Sure, it&#8217;s a decent start to the week. However, let&#8217;s not forget how poorly things played out last week for tech stocks even as Treasury yields fell. That definitely left investors questioning whether <a href=\"https:\/\/investinglive.com\/stocks\/us-stocks-might-have-a-bigger-problem-than-just-hotter-inflation\/\" rel=\"follow\">the struggling market breadth and momentum<\/a> is finally catching up or whether\u00a0the enormous spending behind the AI boom is beginning to fail to justify lofty valuations.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\" class=\"text-align-justify\">In any case, I would argue that the\u00a0bond market will still have a big say in how all of this plays out.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\" class=\"text-align-justify\">10-year Treasury yields are still keeping above 5% and nudged a little higher overnight to 5.12%. That is hardly a comfortable backdrop for tech stocks as <a href=\"https:\/\/investinglive.com\/education\/what-does-higher-for-longer-actually-mean-in-the-bond-market\/\" rel=\"follow\">the &#8220;higher for longer&#8221; environment<\/a>\u00a0means investors will likely have to get used to elevated interest rates sticking around. In turn, that will make\u00a0future earnings less valuable today while raising financing costs.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\" class=\"text-align-justify\">And even if Treasury yields were to retreat a little as we saw last week,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/investinglive.com\/education\/macro-pulse-treasury-yields-may-be-falling-for-now-but-borrowing-costs-are-still-painfully-high\/\" rel=\"follow\">borrowing costs across the economy are still painfully high<\/a>.\u00a0That makes it harder to justify aggressive spending, particularly for companies relying heavily on debt.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\" class=\"text-align-justify\">As such, don&#8217;t discount the potential impact from the bond market in trading this week even though things have been a bit quieter since the second half of last week. It will not take much to stoke the flames and reignite the jitters among broader markets.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\" class=\"text-align-justify\">Until the bond market settles down, I&#8217;d be careful about taking this little rebound for the start of another sustained rally in AI stocks.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\" class=\"text-align-justify\">Besides that, do keep a watchful eye on key tech earnings this week. In particular, <a href=\"https:\/\/investinglive.com\/stocks\/stock-earnings-pick-of-the-week-meta-faces-a-145-billion-question-after-the-tech-rout\/\" rel=\"follow\">I&#8217;d be watching Meta<\/a> but not just for the earnings numbers and financial results. What I&#8217;ll be keeping a close eye on is whether\u00a0all that AI spending is starting to deliver meaningful returns.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\" class=\"text-align-justify\">\n<p>                            This article was written by Justin Low at investinglive.com.<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It didn&#8217;t take long for US equities to seek out a bit of a breather, with the bounce yesterday looking fairly decent after tech stocks were trounced in the week before.\u00a0The Nasdaq&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":216,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[86],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-440422","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/440422","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/216"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=440422"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/440422\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=440422"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=440422"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=440422"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}