{"id":440459,"date":"2026-10-20T15:40:09","date_gmt":"2026-10-20T08:40:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/market-news\/gold-rejects-a-key-trendline-as-higher-oil-prices-and-yields-weigh-growth-concerns-remain-in-focus-440459\/"},"modified":"2026-10-20T15:40:09","modified_gmt":"2026-10-20T08:40:09","slug":"gold-rejects-a-key-trendline-as-higher-oil-prices-and-yields-weigh-growth-concerns-remain-in-focus","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/market-news\/gold-rejects-a-key-trendline-as-higher-oil-prices-and-yields-weigh-growth-concerns-remain-in-focus-440459\/","title":{"rendered":"Gold rejects a key trendline as higher oil prices and yields weigh; growth concerns remain in focus"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 8px;font-family: Aptos, sans-serif;line-height: normal;font-size: 13px\">Gold rejected a key trendline yesterday as a minor<br \/>\n        increase in oil prices and Treasury yields weighed on the precious metal. There<br \/>\n        was no catalyst for the move as the price just continues to range amid lack of<br \/>\n        meaningful developments. <\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 8px;font-family: Aptos, sans-serif;line-height: normal;font-size: 13px\">The geopolitical situation is mostly unchanged,<br \/>\n        although there was a <a href=\"https:\/\/investinglive.com\/news\/a-breakthrough-in-us-iran-negotiations-is-expected-to-be-announced-this-week-according-to-al-arabiya\/\" style=\"text-decoration: underline\" rel=\"follow\">report<br \/>\n            yesterday from Al-Arabiya<\/a> saying that a breakthrough in US-Iran negotiations<br \/>\n        is expected to be announced this week. It\u2019s not the first time we\u2019ve had such<br \/>\n        vague reports that eventually failed to live up to expectations, so take it<br \/>\n        with a pinch of salt. <\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 8px;font-family: Aptos, sans-serif;line-height: normal;font-size: 13px\">I think that growth concerns are starting to take<br \/>\n        centre stage, so the most important event this week will likely be the release<br \/>\n        of the US Flash PMIs on Friday, barring of course a surprising breakthrough in<br \/>\n        US-Iran negotiations.<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 8px;line-height: 110%;font-family: Aptos, sans-serif;font-size: 13px\">If the data<br \/>\n        surprises to the downside, growth concerns might increase and we could see a<br \/>\n        dovish repricing further out the curve. In this scenario, we should see gold rising<br \/>\n        as real yields fall. Stronger than expected data, on the other hand, could<br \/>\n        quell growth fears and drag the precious metal lower again. <\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 8px;line-height: 110%;font-family: Aptos, sans-serif;font-size: 13px\">\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 8px;font-family: Aptos, sans-serif;line-height: normal;font-size: 13px\">GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS \u2013 DAILY TIMEFRAME<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 0;margin-left: 0;font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;, serif;font-size: 16px\">On the daily chart, we can<br \/>\n        see that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/XAUUSD\/\" style=\"text-decoration: underline\" rel=\"follow\">gold<\/a>(CFD contract) rejected the<br \/>\n            downward trendline as the sellers stepped in, with a defined risk above the<br \/>\n            trendline, to target a drop into the 3,885 level. The buyers will need a break<br \/>\n            above the trendline to start positioning for a rally into the 4,700 level next,<br \/>\n            with the 4,500 level as the first target.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 0;margin-left: 0;font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;, serif;font-size: 16px\">GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS \u2013 4<br \/>\n        HOUR TIMEFRAME<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 0;margin-left: 0;font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;, serif;font-size: 16px\">On the 4 hour chart, we can<br \/>\n        see the price has been consolidating in a relatively wide range. We can expect<br \/>\n        the market participants to continue to play the range by buying at support and<br \/>\n        selling at resistance until we get a breakout on either side. On the upside,<br \/>\n        the buyers will likely target the 4,400 level next, while on the downside, the<br \/>\n        sellers will keep targeting the 3,885 level. <\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 0;margin-left: 0;font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;, serif;font-size: 16px\">GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS \u2013 1<br \/>\n        HOUR TIMEFRAME<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 0;margin-left: 0;font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;, serif;font-size: 16px\">On the 1 hour chart, we can<br \/>\n        see the price pulled back into the minor support zone around the 4,130 level,<br \/>\n        but probed below it a couple of times. The price action inside ranges is always<br \/>\n        very messy, so ideally, traders should always wait for a breakout unless there\u2019s<br \/>\n        a catalyst pointing to an imminent breakout. <\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 0;margin-left: 0;font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;, serif;font-size: 16px\">Nevertheless, if the price<br \/>\n        breaks above the most recent swing high around the 4,150 level, we can expect<br \/>\n        aggressive buyers to pile in to target a break above the 4,228 resistance. The sellers,<br \/>\n        on the other hand, will look for a break below the daily low to extend the drop<br \/>\n        into the 4,070 support next. The red lines define the <a href=\"https:\/\/investinglive.com\/Education\/trading-tip-know-the-average-daily-range-adr-20220207\/\" style=\"text-decoration: underline\" rel=\"follow\">average daily range<\/a> for today.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 0;margin-left: 0;font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;, serif;font-size: 16px\">UPCOMING CATALYSTS<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 8px;font-family: Aptos, sans-serif;line-height: 103%;font-size: 13px\"><a href=\"https:\/\/investinglive.com\/EconomicCalendar\" style=\"text-decoration: underline\" rel=\"follow\">On<br \/>\n            Thursday<\/a> we get the latest US Jobless Claims figures, while on Friday we<br \/>\n        conclude the week with the US Flash PMIs.<\/p>\n<p>                            This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at investinglive.com.<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gold rejected a key trendline yesterday as a minor increase in oil prices and Treasury yields weighed on the precious metal. There was no catalyst for the move as the price just&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":216,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[86],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-440459","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/440459","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/216"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=440459"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/440459\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=440459"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=440459"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=440459"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}