{"id":440544,"date":"2026-10-21T16:40:05","date_gmt":"2026-10-21T09:40:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/market-news\/silver-whipsaws-on-conflicting-us-iran-deal-reports-as-markets-hope-for-breakthrough-ahead-of-midterms-440544\/"},"modified":"2026-10-21T16:40:05","modified_gmt":"2026-10-21T09:40:05","slug":"silver-whipsaws-on-conflicting-us-iran-deal-reports-as-markets-hope-for-breakthrough-ahead-of-midterms","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/market-news\/silver-whipsaws-on-conflicting-us-iran-deal-reports-as-markets-hope-for-breakthrough-ahead-of-midterms-440544\/","title":{"rendered":"Silver whipsaws on conflicting US-Iran deal reports as markets hope for breakthrough ahead of midterms"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"font-family: Aptos, sans-serif;margin: 7px 0;line-height: normal;font-size: 13px\">Silver spiked to the upside yesterday after some positive news on the US-Iran<br \/>\n        negotiations front. In fact, Al-Arabiya reported that Qatar And Pakistan<br \/>\n        presented a &#8220;compromise proposal&#8221; that met the demands of both the<br \/>\n        American and Iranian sides and that the Pakistan Army Chief carried a proposal<br \/>\n        with US and Iran approval. The new proposal also included partial response to<br \/>\n        Iran&#8217;s frozen funds demand.<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"font-family: Aptos, sans-serif;margin: 7px 0;line-height: normal;font-size: 13px\">The market cheered initially as expectations of an imminent deal grew stronger<br \/>\n        but then reversed after a diplomat involved in US-Iran talks said that<br \/>\n        negotiations continue and that reports of a deal being close were wrong.<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"font-family: Aptos, sans-serif;margin: 7px 0;line-height: normal;font-size: 13px\">Nevertheless, the markets retain some hope given the sudden increase of positive<br \/>\n        reports and the proximity to the midterm elections. Trump might want to secure<br \/>\n        at least a short-term deal to bring energy prices and Treasury yields lower,<br \/>\n        while boosting the stock market. <\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"font-family: Aptos, sans-serif;margin: 7px 0;line-height: normal;font-size: 13px\">If we do get a breakthrough, we can expect silver to rally in the<br \/>\n        short-term on easing inflation and rate hike concerns.<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"font-family: Aptos, sans-serif;margin: 7px 0;line-height: normal;font-size: 13px\">Another potential catalyst could be the US Flash PMIs data on Friday. Given<br \/>\n        the recent growth concerns, a disappointing report could strengthen those fears<br \/>\n        and lead to a drop in long-term Treasury yield, likely supporting silver in the<br \/>\n        short-term. Strong data, on the other hand, could quell the concerns and put<br \/>\n        some pressure on silver as real yields will likely rise. <\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"font-family: Aptos, sans-serif;margin: 7px 0;line-height: normal;font-size: 13px\">\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"font-family: Aptos, sans-serif;margin: 7px 0;line-height: normal;font-size: 13px\">SILVER TECHNICAL<br \/>\n        ANALYSIS \u2013 DAILY TIMEFRAME<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 7px 0;font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;, serif;font-size: 16px\">On the daily chart, we can<br \/>\n        see that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/XAGUSD\/\" style=\"text-decoration: underline\" rel=\"follow\">silver<\/a>rejected the trendline as the<br \/>\n            sellers stepped in to position for a drop into new lows. We can expect the<br \/>\n            sellers to continue to lean on the trendline, with a defined risk above it, to<br \/>\n            keep pushing into new lows. The buyers will need a break above the trendline to<br \/>\n            open the door for new highs and target a correction into the next trendline<br \/>\n            around the 62.00 handle. <\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 7px 0;font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;, serif;font-size: 16px\">\u00a0<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 7px 0;font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;, serif;font-size: 16px\">SILVER TECHNICAL ANALYSIS \u2013<br \/>\n        4 HOUR TIMEFRAME<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 7px 0;font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;, serif;font-size: 16px\">On the 4 hour chart, we have<br \/>\n        an upward trendline defining the recent pullback. We can expect the buyers to<br \/>\n        lean on the trendline, with a defined risk below it, to position for a rally<br \/>\n        into the next major trendline around the 62.00 handle. The sellers, on the other<br \/>\n        hand, will look for a break lower to increase the bearish bets into new lows,<br \/>\n        with the 54.75 level as the first target.\u00a0\n        <\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 7px 0;font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;, serif;font-size: 16px\">\u00a0<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 7px 0;font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;, serif;font-size: 16px\">SILVER TECHNICAL ANALYSIS \u2013<br \/>\n        1 HOUR TIMEFRAME<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 7px 0;font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;, serif;font-size: 16px\">On the 1 hour chart, there\u2019s<br \/>\n        not much we can add here as the buyers will have a better risk to reward setup<br \/>\n        around the upward trendline, while the sellers will look for a break to extend<br \/>\n        the drop into new lows. The red lines define the <a href=\"https:\/\/investinglive.com\/Education\/trading-tip-know-the-average-daily-range-adr-20220207\/\" style=\"text-decoration: underline\" rel=\"follow\">average daily range<\/a> for today.<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 8px;line-height: 110%;font-family: Aptos, sans-serif;font-size: 13px\">UPCOMING CATALYSTS<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 8px;font-family: Aptos, sans-serif;line-height: 103%;font-size: 13px\"><a href=\"https:\/\/investinglive.com\/EconomicCalendar\" style=\"text-decoration: underline\" rel=\"follow\">On Thursday<\/a> we get the latest US Jobless Claims figures, while on<br \/>\n        Friday we conclude the week with the US Flash PMIs.<\/p>\n<p>                            This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at investinglive.com.<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Silver spiked to the upside yesterday after some positive news on the US-Iran negotiations front. In fact, Al-Arabiya reported that Qatar And Pakistan presented a &#8220;compromise proposal&#8221; that met the demands of&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":216,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[86],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-440544","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/440544","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/216"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=440544"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/440544\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=440544"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=440544"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=440544"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}