{"id":441229,"date":"2026-10-30T17:40:12","date_gmt":"2026-10-30T10:40:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/market-news\/italy-q3-preliminary-gdp-0-0-vs-0-1-q-q-expected-441229\/"},"modified":"2026-10-30T17:40:12","modified_gmt":"2026-10-30T10:40:12","slug":"italy-q3-preliminary-gdp-0-0-vs-0-1-q-q-expected","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/market-news\/italy-q3-preliminary-gdp-0-0-vs-0-1-q-q-expected-441229\/","title":{"rendered":"Italy Q3 preliminary GDP +0.0% vs +0.1% q\/q expected"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<ul style=\"font-style: normal;font-weight: 400;font-stretch: inherit;font-size: 16px;line-height: inherit;font-size-adjust: inherit;vertical-align: baseline;border: 0;margin: 0 0 20px;padding: 0 0 0 19px;font-family: Inter, InterFallback, serif;text-indent: -3px;letter-spacing: normal;text-transform: none;word-spacing: 0;white-space: normal\">\n<li style=\"font-size-adjust: inherit;vertical-align: baseline;border: 0;margin: 0 0 4px;padding: 0\">Prior +0.2%<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-size-adjust: inherit;vertical-align: baseline;border: 0;margin: 0 0 4px;padding: 0\">GDP Y\/Y +0.8% vs +0.9% y\/y expected<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-size-adjust: inherit;vertical-align: baseline;border: 0;margin: 0 0 4px;padding: 0\">Prior +1.0%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Italy&#8217;s economy unexpectedly stalled in the third quarter of 2026, with GDP remaining unchanged q\/q, following 0.2% growth in the previous quarter. On an annual basis, GDP increased by 0.8%, pointing to a relatively modest pace of economic expansion.<\/p>\n<p>On the supply side, services and agriculture provided positive contributions to growth, while industrial activity declined. The weakness in industry remains a concern, particularly given the sector&#8217;s importance to Italy&#8217;s export-oriented economy.<\/p>\n<p>On the demand side, domestic demand, including changes in inventories, supported economic activity, while net foreign demand acted as a drag. This suggests that domestic spending continues to provide some resilience, but external demand and trade flows remain a source of weakness.<\/p>\n<p>The carry-over growth rate for 2026 stands at 0.8% on a calendar-adjusted basis. This means that even if GDP remains unchanged in the fourth quarter, annual growth would still be around 0.8%, although the final annual figure may differ due to the three additional working days in 2026 compared with 2025.<\/p>\n<p>The report is mildly negative for the growth outlook. The stagnation in quarterly GDP, combined with industrial weakness and a negative contribution from net exports, highlights structural growth challenges. Domestic demand remains the main source of resilience, but the economy is still struggling to generate broader-based growth.<\/p>\n<p>                            This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at investinglive.com.<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Prior +0.2% GDP Y\/Y +0.8% vs +0.9% y\/y expected Prior +1.0% Italy&#8217;s economy unexpectedly stalled in the third quarter of 2026, with GDP remaining unchanged q\/q, following 0.2% growth in the previous&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":216,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[86],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-441229","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/441229","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/216"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=441229"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/441229\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=441229"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=441229"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=441229"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}