{"id":441421,"date":"2026-11-03T16:40:11","date_gmt":"2026-11-03T09:40:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/market-news\/gold-trims-gains-after-overnight-strikes-on-iran-as-the-focus-turns-to-the-us-midterm-elections-441421\/"},"modified":"2026-11-03T16:40:11","modified_gmt":"2026-11-03T09:40:11","slug":"gold-trims-gains-after-overnight-strikes-on-iran-as-the-focus-turns-to-the-us-midterm-elections","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/market-news\/gold-trims-gains-after-overnight-strikes-on-iran-as-the-focus-turns-to-the-us-midterm-elections-441421\/","title":{"rendered":"Gold trims gains after overnight strikes on Iran as the focus turns to the US midterm elections"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Gold spiked to the
\n upside yesterday as expectations for a US-Iran deal strengthened after Iran\u2019s
\n President said that the Supreme Leader granted the government certain authorities
\n regarding negotiations. <\/p>\n

The markets took
\n the news as a signal for greater flexibility to reach a deal since strategic
\n decisions remain under the authority of the Supreme Leader. <\/p>\n

The gains faded, though,
\n after the US struck sites on Iran\u2019s Qeshm Island overnight, with US officials
\n saying the strike was in response to Iran firing at a US aircraft and did not
\n mark the start of expanded US operations. <\/p>\n

Trump said that he\u2019s not looking to strike Iran after the midterm elections,
\n but officials confirmed that he\u2019s weighing all options. Moreover, Axios
\n reported that the CIA Director advised Trump to maintain a \u201cno war, no deal\u201d
\n approach and let economic pressure on Iran continue.<\/p>\n

Looking ahead, today we have the US midterm elections, although we will
\n get the first results very late in the day. The Democrats are widely expected
\n to take the House, so that should be already priced in. The more out of consensus
\n outcomes would be a red sweep and a blue sweep. <\/p>\n

In the first case, we could see gold coming under pressure amid further
\n tax cuts and higher defence spending potentially leading to a repricing in
\n Treasury yields to the upside. In the second scenario, we could see the
\n opposite of that as a Democratic victory would likely bring legislative gridlock
\n on the agenda. <\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

GOLD TECHNICAL
\n ANALYSIS \u2013 DAILY TIMEFRAME<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

On the daily chart, we can
\n see that gold<\/a>(CFD contract) bounced around
\n the key support zone around the 3,885 level before pilling back a bit. If we
\n get another retest of the support and the major upward trendline, we can expect
\n the buyers to step in, with a defined risk below the trendline, to position for
\n a rally into new record highs. The sellers, on the other hand, will look for a
\n break lower to increase the bearish bets into the 3,500 level next. <\/p>\n

GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS \u2013 4
\n HOUR TIMEFRAME<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

On the 4 hour chart, we have
\n a minor resistance zone around the 3,980 level. If the price gets there, we can
\n expect the sellers to step in around the resistance, with a defined risk above
\n it, to keep targeting a break below the upward trendline. The buyers, on the
\n other hand, will look for a break higher to increase the bullish bets into new
\n highs, with the major downward trendline as the first target.<\/p>\n

GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS \u2013 1
\n HOUR TIMEFRAME<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

On the 1 hour chart, we can
\n see the price broke above the trendline yesterday as expectations for an
\n imminent US-Iran deal strengthened but eventually gave back most of the gains after
\n the overnight setback. From a risk management perspective, the buyers will
\n continue to have a better risk to reward setup around the 3,885 support zone, while
\n the sellers will need a break below the upward trendline to open the door for
\n new lows. The red lines define the average daily range<\/a> for today.<\/p>\n

UPCOMING CATALYSTS<\/p>\n

Today<\/a>we
\n have the US Job Openings data and the US midterm elections, although we will
\n get the first results early tomorrow. Tomorrow, we have the US ADP and the US
\n ISM Services PMI. On Thursday, we get the latest US Jobless Claims data. On
\n Friday, we conclude the week with the US NFP report and the University of
\n Michigan Consumer sentiment survey.<\/p>\n

This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at investinglive.com.<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Gold spiked to the upside yesterday as expectations for a US-Iran deal strengthened after Iran\u2019s President said that the Supreme Leader granted the government certain authorities regarding negotiations. The markets took the…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":216,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[86],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-441421","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/441421","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/216"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=441421"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/441421\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=441421"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=441421"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=441421"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}