{"id":441713,"date":"2026-11-06T19:40:13","date_gmt":"2026-11-06T12:40:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/market-news\/us-iran-uncertainty-keeps-the-downside-in-oil-limited-as-markets-await-further-developments-441713\/"},"modified":"2026-11-06T19:40:13","modified_gmt":"2026-11-06T12:40:13","slug":"us-iran-uncertainty-keeps-the-downside-in-oil-limited-as-markets-await-further-developments","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/market-news\/us-iran-uncertainty-keeps-the-downside-in-oil-limited-as-markets-await-further-developments-441713\/","title":{"rendered":"US-Iran uncertainty keeps the downside in oil limited as markets await further developments"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Crude oil trimmed some losses yesterday as the market seems to have
\n realised that Trump can still legally continue military operations
\n against Iran even if Democrats control Congress. <\/p>\n

The US-Iran situation remains mostly unchanged. Trump said that he has to
\n decide whether to take further action against Tehran, while adding that he
\n would prefer not to destroy the rest of Iran.<\/p>\n

According to Axios, Trump met with his national security team before making
\n the comments, while CENTCOM is reportedly finalising preparations for
\n potentially resuming major combat operations. However, no new directive has
\n been issued.<\/p>\n

Meanwhile, the diplomatic efforts continue. Iran reportedly submitted a new
\n nuclear proposal to the US through Qatar, but a senior Iranian official said
\n Tehran would only discuss it once Washington meets its seven demands. Fars News
\n also reported that Iran does not envisage further diplomatic steps until their
\n conditions are met.<\/p>\n

The New York Times reported that Iran is reviewing proposals from mediators
\n concerning its nuclear programme, with Vice President Vance reportedly emerging
\n as a key supporter of Qatar-led mediation efforts.<\/p>\n

Nevertheless, US military strikes remain an option as Trump could consider
\n limited strikes against Iranian nuclear facilities rather than broader attacks
\n on energy infrastructure.<\/p>\n

Looking ahead, the focus will remain on US-Iran developments. A
\n breakthrough would increase the bearish momentum significantly and take oil
\n prices back to pre-war levels relatively quickly. An escalation, on the other
\n hand, could trigger another rally on a rising risk premium, although there\u2019s
\n also a chance that it could be short-lived if Trump launches limited strikes
\n just to save face before exiting the war.\u00a0\n <\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

CRUDE OIL
\n TECHNICAL ANALYSIS \u2013 DAILY TIMEFRAME<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

On the daily chart, we can
\n see that crude oil<\/a>(CFD contract) extended the
\n gains after bouncing from the key 87.00 handle. The broken channel could act as
\n resistance in case the price retests the bottom trendline. We can expect the
\n sellers to step in around the broken trendline, with a defined risk above it,
\n to target a drop below the 87.00 handle, targeting the 80.00 level. The buyers,
\n on the other hand, will want to see the price breaking higher to increase the bullish
\n bets into the 110.00 resistance next.<\/p>\n

CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL
\n ANALYSIS \u2013 4 HOUR TIMEFRAME<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

On the 4 hour chart, we have
\n a downward trendline defining the bearish momentum. We haven\u2019t got neither a
\n rejection nor a clean breakout, so it became useless. If we get another
\n pullback into the 87.00 handle, we can expect the buyers to step in around that
\n level, with a defined risk below it, to keep targeting the 110.00 resistance.
\n The sellers, on the other hand, will look for a break lower to increase the
\n bearish bets into the 80.00 handle next.<\/p>\n

CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL
\n ANALYSIS \u2013 1 HOUR TIMEFRAME<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

On the 1 hour chart, we have
\n a minor support zone around the 89.00 level where the price got rejected from a
\n few times in the past days. The buyers stepped in around the support, with a
\n defined risk below it, to keep pushing into new highs. The sellers will want to
\n see the price breaking lower to position for a drop below the 87.00 level next.
\n The red lines define the average daily range<\/a> for today. <\/p>\n

UPCOMING CATALYSTS<\/p>\n

Today<\/a>we
\n conclude the week with the US NFP report and the University of Michigan
\n Consumer sentiment survey, but the focus will remain on US-Iran developments.<\/p>\n

This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at investinglive.com.<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Crude oil trimmed some losses yesterday as the market seems to have realised that Trump can still legally continue military operations against Iran even if Democrats control Congress. The US-Iran situation remains…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":216,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[86],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-441713","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/441713","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/216"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=441713"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/441713\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=441713"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=441713"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=441713"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}