{"id":441839,"date":"2026-11-10T16:40:09","date_gmt":"2026-11-10T09:40:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/market-news\/gold-holds-near-recent-highs-as-markets-await-us-cpi-and-iran-breakthrough-441839\/"},"modified":"2026-11-10T16:40:09","modified_gmt":"2026-11-10T09:40:09","slug":"gold-holds-near-recent-highs-as-markets-await-us-cpi-and-iran-breakthrough","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/market-news\/gold-holds-near-recent-highs-as-markets-await-us-cpi-and-iran-breakthrough-441839\/","title":{"rendered":"Gold holds near recent highs as markets await US CPI and Iran breakthrough"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 8px;line-height: 110%;font-family: Aptos, sans-serif;font-size: 13px\">Gold edged higher<br \/>\n        yesterday but couldn\u2019t extend the gains above the recent highs as markets<br \/>\n        continue to wait for concrete US-Iran developments and the US CPI data. \u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 8px;line-height: 110%;font-family: Aptos, sans-serif;font-size: 13px\">On the US-Iran<br \/>\n        front, we got some positive headlines yesterday that led to an improvement in<br \/>\n        risk sentiment as hopes for a deal strengthened again. <\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 8px;line-height: 110%;font-family: Aptos, sans-serif;font-size: 13px\">It was reported that<br \/>\n        meetings between Trump, Vance and the Qatari PM were positive, and they<br \/>\n        discussed ways to progress talks with Iran.<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 8px;line-height: 110%;font-family: Aptos, sans-serif;font-size: 13px\">Trump said after<br \/>\n        talks with the Qatari PM that Qatar would rather see a peaceful solution with<br \/>\n        Iran, but the US is ready for strikes if necessary.<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 8px;line-height: 110%;font-family: Aptos, sans-serif;font-size: 13px\">Moreover, it was<br \/>\n        reported that the US has allowed a small uranium enrichment inside Iran, which Tehran<br \/>\n        agreed to, and preliminary agreement on reducing uranium enrichment is likely.<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 8px;line-height: 110%;font-family: Aptos, sans-serif;font-size: 13px\">On the US CPI<br \/>\n        side, the data today could seal a rate hike for the December FOMC meeting, with<br \/>\n        traders already pricing in an 84% probability. <\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 8px;line-height: 110%;font-family: Aptos, sans-serif;font-size: 13px\">If we get a hot<br \/>\n        report, we could see a downward spike in gold, but I would expect the losses to<br \/>\n        be faded. This is because rate hikes at this point should put even more<br \/>\n        downward pressure on the stock market and long-term Treasury yields amid growth<br \/>\n        concerns, barring an end to the Iran war. Soft data, on the other hand, should<br \/>\n        trigger an immediate rally on a dovish repricing. <\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 8px;line-height: 110%;font-family: Aptos, sans-serif;font-size: 13px\">Keep in mind that<br \/>\n        in the current context, if Trump decides to escalate the war, inflation<br \/>\n        expectations would rise alongside weakening growth outlook, creating a<br \/>\n        stagflationary environment. This should be bullish for gold. At the same time,<br \/>\n        if we get a de-escalation, we could see a dovish repricing on easing inflation<br \/>\n        concerns, which should also support gold in the short-term. <\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 8px;line-height: 110%;font-family: Aptos, sans-serif;font-size: 13px\">\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 8px;line-height: 110%;font-family: Aptos, sans-serif;font-size: 13px\">GOLD TECHNICAL<br \/>\n        ANALYSIS \u2013 DAILY TIMEFRAME<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 0;margin-left: 0;font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;, serif;font-size: 16px\">On the daily chart, we can<br \/>\n        see that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/XAUUSD\/\" style=\"text-decoration: underline\" rel=\"follow\">gold<\/a>(CFD contract) is still consolidating<br \/>\n            above the broken trendline. The buyers will likely continue to pile in around<br \/>\n            these levels, with a defined risk below the trendline, to keep targeting new<br \/>\n            highs. The sellers, on the other hand, will need to see the price breaking<br \/>\n            below the major upward trendline to open the door for new lows.<\/p>\n<p>GOLD<br \/>\n    TECHNICAL ANALYSIS \u2013 4 HOUR TIMEFRAME<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 0;margin-left: 0;font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;, serif;font-size: 16px\">On the 4 hour chart, we have<br \/>\n        a minor support zone around the 4,040 level. If we get another pullback, we can<br \/>\n        expect the buyers to step in around the support, with a defined risk below the<br \/>\n        minor upward trendline, to keep targeting the 4,500 level. The sellers, on the<br \/>\n        other hand, will look for a break below the upward trendline to extend the<br \/>\n        pullback into the major trendline next.<\/p>\n<p>GOLD<br \/>\n    TECHNICAL ANALYSIS \u2013 1 HOUR TIMEFRAME<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 0;margin-left: 0;font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;, serif;font-size: 16px\">On the 1 hour chart, we<br \/>\n        have another minor upward trendline that could act as support. We can expect<br \/>\n        the buyers to lean on the trendline, with a defined risk below it, to keep<br \/>\n        targeting the 4,500 level. The sellers, on the other hand, look for a break<br \/>\n        lower to extend the pullback into the 4,040 support next. The red lines define<br \/>\n        the <a href=\"https:\/\/investinglive.com\/Education\/trading-tip-know-the-average-daily-range-adr-20220207\/\" style=\"text-decoration: underline\" rel=\"follow\">average daily range<\/a> for today.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-right: 0;margin-left: 0;font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;, serif;font-size: 16px\">UPCOMING CATALYSTS<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"margin: 0 0 8px;font-family: Aptos, sans-serif;line-height: 103%;font-size: 13px\"><a href=\"https:\/\/investinglive.com\/EconomicCalendar\" style=\"text-decoration: underline\" rel=\"follow\">Today<\/a>we have<br \/>\n            the US CPI report. Tomorrow, we get the latest US Jobless Claims figures. On<br \/>\n            Friday, we conclude the week with the US PPI data. <\/p>\n<p>                            This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at investinglive.com.<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gold edged higher yesterday but couldn\u2019t extend the gains above the recent highs as markets continue to wait for concrete US-Iran developments and the US CPI data. \u00a0 On the US-Iran front,&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":216,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[86],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-441839","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/441839","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/216"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=441839"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/441839\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=441839"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=441839"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swingfish.trade\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=441839"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}