Israel: We Destoryed One-Third of Iranian Regime’s Missile Launchers

Investor Update –

8:55 AM, Greenwich Mean Time (GMT)

Monday, June 16, 2025

Israel’s military spokesperson announced that the IDF has destroyed approximately one-third of Iran’s missile launchers, targeting critical assets tied to the Iranian regime.

This is not only a tactical blow but also a strategic signal, indicating a possible turning point in the pace and direction of the broader conflict.

What This Means if the Trend Continues:

1. Iran’s Retaliatory Capability May Be Eroding:

   • The reported scale of destruction has already slowed the pace of Iran’s response, signaling potential disruption in their operational capacity.

   • With fewer launch capabilities, Iran may lose leverage in further escalation scenarios and find itself under increasing pressure to return to the negotiating table sooner than expected.

2. Potential De-escalation Window Opens:

   • If the missile launcher degradation continues, Tehran may opt for strategic restraint to avoid further losses, opening the door for diplomatic engagement under pressure.

   • This dynamic could reduce the probability of a full-scale regional war, at least in the short term.

3. Oil Prices Could Rebalance:

   • While initial fears drove energy prices higher, a reduction in Iran’s strike capabilities could cool market anxieties, easing upward pressure on oil and related commodities, unless a new actor escalates.

4. Markets May Shift Focus to Political Resolution:

   • Equities in energy, defense, and emerging markets may stabilize if investors begin pricing in a de-escalation phase or negotiations.

   • Risk-on appetite could return selectively, like it has already today on the futures market, especially in sectors hit hardest by initial war concerns.

Strategic Takeaway:

If Israel continues to degrade Iran’s missile infrastructure while avoiding direct provocation of a wider war and increased civilian casualties, this may accelerate diplomatic pressure on Tehran, and curb Iran’s ability to continue symmetrical retaliation. For investors, this could mark a shift from hedging geopolitical risk to positioning for potential relief rallies, especially if backchannel talks or global mediation efforts emerge.

As always, stay vigilant. Even with signs of military degradation, unexpected escalation, by Iran or its proxies, remains a wildcard. And no one has a crystal ball so watch the price action.

This article was written by Itai Levitan at www.forexlive.com.