Goldman Sachs now expects the ECB to hike by 75 bps in September


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Today’s eurozone preliminary CPI was up 9.1% y/y compared to 9.0% expected led by a 38% rise in energy prices. That was the final straw for Goldman Sachs, which also cited ‘upside risks to near-term growth(?)’.

Even as the odds of a 75 bps hike have risen, policymakers are continuing to deliver hawkish talk. That’s a strong sign that an agressive hike is coming.

The decision is Sept 8 and will be the highlight on next week’s economic calendar.