Ripple (XRP) climbed to a high of $0.55 on Tuesday following the publication of its response to the allegations from the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). In its filing, Ripple addressed the SEC’s request for $2 billion in penalties and remedies-related opening brief, dismissing most of the claims from the US regulator and asking the judge to impose the firm a penalty of no more than $10 million.
XRP holders have awaited Ripple’s response to the SEC throughout April, with the altcoin gaining nearly 7% from Monday’s low of $0.52.
Our opposition to the SEC’s request for $2B in penalties for legacy institutional sales is now public. In a case that had no allegations (or findings) of recklessness or fraud, and in which Ripple won on significant issues, the SEC’s ask is just more evidence of its ongoing… https://t.co/GLcdsyInZW
— Stuart Alderoty (@s_alderoty) April 23, 2024
The Court should deny the SEC’s request for an injunction, for disgorgement and for pre-judgement interest, and should impose a civil penalty of no more than $10 million.
XRP climbed to a high of $0.55 on Tuesday, extending an upward trend that started on April 14. The next key resistance is the psychologically important $0.60 level. Once above there, the next target is the April 9 top of $0.6431.
The Chaikin Money Flow indicator, a volume indicator that measures the amount of Money Flow Volume over a particular period, reads 0.21 on Tuesday. The indicator typically fluctuates above or below the zero line, similar to other oscillators. When the CMF value is above the zero line, it signals strength in XRP’s uptrend.
The CMF climbed above zero on April 16, confirming the direction of Ripple’s breakout. The indicator therefore supports a bullish thesis for XRP.
The volatility indicator Donchain Channel is used to determine opportunities to take profits by opening long or short positions in an asset. When applied to XRP/USDT 1-day chart, the asset has broken above the midpoint of the Channel. Traders typically use the middle line as an indicator of when to open or close their position.
XRP price has moved above the middle line, climbing towards the upper band, signaling an opportunity for holders to open a long position in XRP. The target for this trade can be the upper band, which aligns with the April 9 top of $0.6431 in the case of XRP.
XRP/USDT 1-day chart
A daily candlestick close below $0.5310, or the 50% Fibonacci retracement of XRP price decline from the April 9 top of $0.6431 to the April 13 low of $0.4188, could invalidate the bullish thesis. In case of a price decline, XRP could find support at the April 20 low of $0.4981, a level that has acted as support for over two months on the daily chart.
It depends on the transaction, according to a court ruling released on July 14: For institutional investors or over-the-counter sales, XRP is a security. For retail investors who bought the token via programmatic sales on exchanges, on-demand liquidity services and other platforms, XRP is not a security.
The United States Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC) accused Ripple and its executives of raising more than $1.3 billion through an unregistered asset offering of the XRP token. While the judge ruled that programmatic sales aren’t considered securities, sales of XRP tokens to institutional investors are indeed investment contracts. In this last case, Ripple did breach the US securities law and will need to keep litigating over the around $729 million it received under written contracts.
The ruling offers a partial win for both Ripple and the SEC, depending on what one looks at. Ripple gets a big win over the fact that programmatic sales aren’t considered securities, and this could bode well for the broader crypto sector as most of the assets eyed by the SEC’s crackdown are handled by decentralized entities that sold their tokens mostly to retail investors via exchange platforms, experts say. Still, the ruling doesn’t help much to answer the key question of what makes a digital asset a security, so it isn’t clear yet if this lawsuit will set precedent for other open cases that affect dozens of digital assets. Topics such as which is the right degree of decentralization to avoid the “security” label or where to draw the line between institutional and programmatic sales are likely to persist.
The SEC has stepped up its enforcement actions toward the blockchain and digital assets industry, filing charges against platforms such as Coinbase or Binance for allegedly violating the US Securities law. The SEC claims that the majority of crypto assets are securities and thus subject to strict regulation. While defendants can use parts of Ripple’s ruling in their favor, the SEC can also find reasons in it to keep its current strategy of regulation by enforcement.
The court decision is a partial summary judgment. The ruling can be appealed once a final judgment is issued or if the judge allows it before then. The case is in a pretrial phase, in which both Ripple and the SEC still have the chance to settle.