Reports of unusual betting for the Nobel Peace prize

The Nobel Peace prize was awarded to Venezuelan opposition leader Maria Corina Machado. The five-member committee reportedly decided to nominate Machado by Oct. 6, according to earlier reports. Some sizeable bets were made late Thursday:

• Investigation launched: Norwegian officials are probing suspicious Polymarket trades tied to the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize announcement.

• Suspicious bets: At least three traders placed large wagers on Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado winning, just hours before the official announcement.

• Profits made: The trades generated about $90,000 in combined profit, with one account (“Trader 6741”) earning around $53,500.

• Market disruption: Machado’s odds spiked Thursday evening, shifting what had been a tight race with Yulia Navalnaya, Donald Trump, and Pope Leo XIV.

• Leak concerns: The timing raised fears of insider information leaks, as the committee reportedly made its decision by October 6.

• Official response: Nobel Institute spokesperson Erik Aasheim confirmed they are “looking into it.”

The White House has called the vote political. So far Pres. Trump has remained quiet but I can hear “rigged” and “political” along with the potential for more.

This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.