NZD/JPY closes its worst week in 2023, bears rejected at the 100-day SMA


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  • NZD/JPY tallied a 2.60% weekly decline, its worst since December 2022.
  • On the daily chart, indicators favor the bears in the short term.
  • On the four-hour chart, bears stepped out to consolidate their recent movements.

At the end of the week, the NZD/JPY declined to 88.75, seeing nearly 0.25% losses, after reaching a low of around 87.95 at the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA).

Overall, the outlook is bearish for the short term, but bulls dominate the larger time frames. The daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) printed a negative slope below 50, while the rising red bars on the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicate that the bears are gaining ground. 

Concerning Simple Moving Averages (SMAs), the cross stands below the 20-day average but above the 100-day and 200-day SMAs which indicates that on the broader scale, the bulls are still in command in the broader scale, and as long as the bears fail to conquer those averages their momentum won’t be enough to reverse the overall trend.
 
Zooming, the four-hour chart indicators flattened in negative territory. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands neutral just above the oversold threshold, while the MACD prints flat red bars which suggest that bears seem to be consolidating the recent downward movements.

Support Levels: 88.55, 88.15 (100-day SMA), 87.70.
Resistance Levels: 89.25, 89.80, 90.00 (20-day SMA).

NZD/JPY daily chart