Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD seems vulnerable near $22.30, two-week low

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  • Silver loses ground for the third straight day and drops to over a two-week low.
  • The technical setup favours bears and supports prospects for additional losses.
  • A sustained move above the 200-day SMA is needed to negate the negative bias.

Silver (XAG/USD) remains under heavy selling pressure for the third successive day on Wednesday – also marking the fifth day of a negative move in the previous six and drops to over a two-week low during the first half of the European session. The white metal currently trades around the $22.30 region and seems vulnerable to prolonging its recent downfall witnessed over the past two weeks or so.

From a technical perspective, the recent failure to find acceptance above the very important and significant 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the subsequent decline validate the near-term negative outlook. Moreover, oscillators on the daily chart have just started gaining negative traction and further suggest that the path of least resistance for the XAG/USD remains to the downside.

Hence, some follow-through weakness towards retesting sub-$22.00 levels, or the two-month low touched in January, looks like a distinct possibility. A convincing break below the latter will be seen as a fresh trigger for bearish traders and pave the way for additional losses, dragging the XAG/USD towards the $21.40-$21.35 support zone.

On the flip side, the daily swing high, around the mid-$22.00s, now seems to act as an immediate hurdle ahead of the $22.70-$22.75 region. This is closely followed by the $23.00 round figure, which if cleared decisively might trigger a short-covering rally, though is likely to attract fresh sellers near the 200-day SMA, currently pegged around the $23.30 zone, and remain capped near mid-$23.00, or the monthly peak.

Silver daily chart