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A look at markets as the opening dust settles

By now, everyone knows what's happening as the US and Israel strike Iran. Here is the state of play one hour into futures trading:

  • WTI crude up $5.37 to $72.40 (about 8%)
  • Gold up 2% to $5385
  • The US dollar leads in FX, narrowly ahead of CHF
  • AUD/USD is the biggest mover, down 60 pips (or 0.82%) to 0.7054
  • Nikkei 225 opens down 1.5%
  • Bitcoin flat near $66K

The latest war headline: Israeli military says it continues to carry out large-scale strikes against targets across Tehran.

I'm somewhat surprised that USD/JPY is up 65 pips to 156.68. It's creeping up on last week's high.

I think many things are trading off oil and trying to figure out if that reverberates back into inflation or fades. There is certainly going to be something of a shock at the…

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Trump: We have hit hundreds of targets

Comments from Trump in a newly-released video:

  • On Iran: We have hit hundreds of targets including Revolutionary Guard facilities, air defense systems and nine ships plus naval building

  • On Iran: Combat operations continue

  • On Iran: Military operations will continue until all of our objectives are achieved

  • There will likely be more U.S. casualties

  • Iranian regime armed with long range missiles and nuclear weapons would be a dire threat to every American

  • U.S. will avenge the deaths of Americans

  • US lawmakers see no plan for Iran following strikes

  • Urge Revolutionary Guard, Iranian military and police to lay down arms and receive immunity or face certain death

  • Call on Iranians to seize this moment take back your country

  • To Iranians: America is with you

An…

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