Market News

This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.

Pres. Trump is ranting to start the week. On Truth Social he posts:

Iran is officially a Failed Nation. IT IS DEAD! They have no Navy, they have no Air Force, they have no currency, they are not paying their soldiers or police, Inflation is at 300%, and their leadership is in total disarray and incapable of properly representing the country. The only thing they have is FAKE NEWS from the USA, a willingness to kill their protesters (now over 100,000 people dead. They must be tried for war crimes against humanity!), and a good line of “BULLSHIT.” Thank you for your attention to this matter! President DONALD J.TRUMP

Trump first made that specific claim (no Navy. no Air Force) on March 3, 2026, during an Oval Office meeting with German…

Headlines:

• Oil prices jump as US and Iran exchange strikes; prolonged stalemate keeps the downside limited
• Iran says US must bear full responsibility for consequences of escalation
• IRGC claims that a supertanker has caught fire after being struck by naval mines in Strait of Hormuz
• US futures keep lower to start the new week
• This gold analysis may be showing new gold buyers coming in today
• Gold erases most of the Treasury-led gains as Fed Chair Warsh retightens financial conditions
• German states see higher inflation prints in August
• Heads up: Month-end flows might factor into play in the day ahead

Markets:

• WTI crude oil up 3.7% to $86.50
• JPY leads, USD lags on the day
• Gold up 0.1% to $4,457
• European indices mixed; S&P 500 futures -0.2%
• US 10-year yields…

Weltrade, the retail brokerage marking its 20th year in business, has opened the SYNTX World Cup 2026: a global trading championship with a prize fund of $100,000 in cash plus 100 million Welcoins, and no entry fee for any participant.

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Gold Price Outlook: Intraday Buyers Regain Control, but Major Resistance Remains

Gold futures are showing a mildly bullish intraday recovery after reclaiming the developing session VWAP near 4,488 and returning to the 4,490 high-volume area. The short-term prediction score is now +2 / +10, but gold still needs to clear 4,500, 4,513 and eventually 4,530-4,540 before the larger bearish structure can be considered reversed.

Key takeaways from today's gold futures outlook

• Short-term prediction score: +2 / +10, with medium confidence.
• Intraday bias: Mildly bullish while gold holds the 4,488-4,490 VWAP and high-volume pivot.
• First breakout test: 4,495-4,500.
• Main intraday confirmation level: 4,513.
• Intraday failure level: Sustained trade below…

FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW

 

USD:

The US dollar strengthened across the board on Friday after Fed Chair Warsh delivered a hawkish speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium.

The key passage was him saying "I would be hard pressed to describe broad financial conditions as restrictive". The market interpreted that as him leaning against the recent easing in financial conditions and, therefore, retightened them.

This process has, of course, extended the corrections in the "debasement" trades, with the US dollar returning to pre-US Treasury announcement levels. The rate hike probabilities for the September meeting have also increased, with the market now seeing a 60%…

All things considered, the drop in Wall Street on Friday last week wasn't too bad. Fed chair Warsh surprised with his communique and that spooked markets a fair bit. But if not for the fact that we all know that Trump might still have his hand in the Fed cookie jar, markets might have reacted much more strongly.

In case you missed it: Fed's Warsh: Numbers on price stability are 'more concerning'

US stocks retreated and finished near the lows but all in all, it wasn't that bad. In fact, the S&P 500 still closed up by 0.5% for the week.

So far today, S&P 500 futures are down 0.2% but there's also month-end trading to deal with. So, there's that.

We are likely to only get a better indication of underlying flows in the days after, but the focus…

Hong Kong will become a major meeting point for the global online trading, fintech and financial services industry this October as iFX EXPO Asia 2026 arrives at the Hong Kong Convention and Exhibition Centre.

More than 5,000 attendees from over 130 countries are expected to join 150+ exhibitors and 120+ speakers for three days of business, networking and industry discussions from 7–9 October.

With just over a month to go, brokers, liquidity providers, payments companies, banks, exchanges, technology providers, digital asset businesses, affiliates and IBs are preparing to meet in Hong Kong to build partnerships, enter new markets and explore opportunities across Asia.

Global brands confirmed for Hong Kong

The exhibition will bring…

Artificial intelligence is rapidly becoming part of the modern trader’s toolkit. Most AI-powered trading tools, however, remain focused primarily on analysing the market, from interpreting technical setups to summarising economic data and identifying broader market developments.

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According to AIFO Funding, this combination makes AIFO AI Coach the first AI Trading Coach developed specifically around the trading, behavioural, and account-risk environment of proprietary…

IC – Europe Fundamental Forecast | 31 August 2026

What happened in the Asia session?

The Asia session was dominated by a risk-off environment, with oil bullish, Asian equities bearish, and the yen volatile. For traders, the key themes to monitor into the European and U.S. sessions are whether the Hormuz conflict escalates further, whether Brent can sustain levels around $90+, and how markets continue to price the Fed and BoJ given the combination of higher energy prices, inflation risks and currency intervention concerns.

What does it mean for the Europe & US sessions?

European and U.S. markets are entering the week with a strong risk-off bias as escalating U.S.–Iran tensions push oil higher and reignite inflation concerns. Brent around…

FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW

 

Gold sold off on Friday after Fed Chair Warsh delivered a hawkish speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium.

The key passage was him saying "I would be hard pressed to describe broad financial conditions as restrictive". The market interpreted that as him leaning against the recent easing in financial conditions and, therefore, retightened them.

This process has, of course, extended the corrections in the "debasement" trades, with gold basically returning to pre-US Treasury announcement levels. The rate hike probabilities for the September meeting have also increased, with the market now seeing roughly a 60% chance of a hike.

Warsh has also…