Forex Market News .. collected from serval sources, all in one place for you to review.
[most entries here, will be auto-removed after 90 days]
I'll have details and implications posted separately.
Consumer Price Index (YoY) (Aug) 4%
Consumer Price Index (MoM) (Aug) 0.4%
Trimmed Mean CPI (YoY) (Aug) 3.6%
Trimmed Mean CPI (MoM) (Aug) 0.2%
---
Background:
This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.The PBOC allows the yuan to fluctuate within a +/- 2% range, around this reference rate. More here on this.
For the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, the key message is that inflation expectations did not move as oil prices jumped, which ANZ described as encouraging while stressing it is early. Against that, wage expectations edged up and ANZ says spare capacity may be getting used up faster than the central bank assumed in its recent Monetary Policy Statement, a mild upside risk to its wage forecasts. The weaker late-month activity readings suggest the oil price rise is starting to weigh on sentiment, which could temper the case for tighter policy. New Zealand dollar and rates traders will be watching whether the late-month softness persists in the October survey.
---
New Zealand firms stayed cautiously upbeat in September, but activity readings…
Note, China is closed for a week begininng Thursday, October 1, 2026 for holidays.
---
The fixing mechanism matters most right now because its message has shifted over the past month. For nearly a year, the PBOC has set its daily guidance weaker than market expectations, which traders read as an effort to slow the yuan's appreciation, and in late August that gap reached its widest since February, shortly after the yuan touched a three-and-a-half-year high. Through September, however, the midpoint has strengthened at a faster pace, narrowing its gap with market expectations and suggesting the central bank has eased its resistance to yuan gains. The fixing is still set weaker than models imply, so this looks like a loosening of the brakes…The industrial production miss and the softer retail print complicate the case for the Bank of Japan to move again quickly, and traders will weigh them against the strength implied by manufacturers' own projections for September and October. A former BoJ executive director has put the chance of an October hike at around 20% to 30%, so soft data could nudge that view lower, although the bank's shift toward preventing an inflation overshoot argues against reading too much into one month. The yen is the natural place for any repricing to show up, with hawkish BoJ expectations having been part of the recent backdrop. The next tests are September data and the Tankan business survey, which will show whether August was a blip.
-
Japan's August…
BlackRock, the world's largest asset manager, has published a research paper arguing that artificial intelligence could become an overlooked source of demand for digital assets. The paper, titled The Machine-Native Economy, comes from the firm's digital assets team, including Robert Mitchnick and Will Su. It is a research thesis, not a purchase, a filing or a product launch, and it does not claim the demand has already arrived.
What BlackRock is arguing
The paper describes AI as machine-native intelligence and digital assets as machine-native money. The idea is that autonomous AI agents, meaning software that can plan and complete multi-step tasks with little human input, will need to buy data, pay for services and rent computing power.…
A rollover is unlikely to move crude much on its own, given delegates have flagged the outcome, and the bigger price driver remains the physical flow of Middle East oil. Brent settled Tuesday around $103 after recovering exports pulled prices lower, and Kpler data showed regional exports at around 16 million barrels per day in September, the highest since the war began. Quota targets matter less while the Iran war holds actual output well below them, so any change in tone on 2027 baselines or a signal about resuming increases would carry more weight than the decision itself. The risk to watch is a stall in the diplomatic track, which would keep supply disruption in the price whatever OPEC+ decides.
--
OPEC+ is expected to roll over its…
Westpac's base case that the RBA hikes again in November leaves the Australian outlook heavily tied to energy prices and the Middle East conflict, since only a lasting resolution or a sharp fall in energy-related costs is seen as likely to change it. The bank sees a much higher bar for hikes beyond November, which suggests the market debate may shift from whether the RBA tightens again to when it stops. Softer labour market and housing signals are the main counterweights to the hawkish tone. Australian inflation data due later today will test how much of the energy shock is filtering through to prices.
---
The RBA's unanimous hike to 4.6% was driven by energy prices and firmer data, and Westpac now sees a November follow-up as the base…
Citi's long-term target implies a valuation of around $12 trillion against a current market capitalisation of around $2 trillion, which shows how much of the bull case rests on years of rapid growth and flawless execution. The near-term targets from Citi, UBS and RBC cluster between $200 and $225, so Tuesday's gain suggests investors are treating the launch as a confidence boost rather than a re-rating on its own. The technical issues flagged by Deutsche Bank are the main counterweight, since any delay in fixing engine problems could push back the reuse and launch-cadence goals that underpin the forecasts. The next Starship flight, and whether SpaceX attempts to catch the vehicle, is the next test for sentiment.
---
Info comes via Dow Jones…
Stalled diplomacy tends to keep a risk premium in crude, and the reported US view that major combat could resume after the midterms gives oil a longer-dated supply risk to price even as physical flows recover. Part of Tuesday's early softening in crude was linked to signs that diplomacy remained possible, so a stall removes some of that support. The US naval blockade sits at the centre of Iran's demands, which means any movement on it would matter for shipping and export flows. The swing between optimism and denial within a single day on Monday also points to headline-driven volatility, with traders likely to react to each new statement from Washington and Tehran.
---
A week of Qatari shuttle diplomacy has left the US and Iran no closer,…
Boeing rose circa 2.5% in after-hours trading, while Northrop Grumman slipped by nearly 5%, so the market is treating the award as a clear relative win for Boeing. Lockheed Martin keeps its F-35 franchise but is shut out of the next generation, which leaves the sector split into a Boeing-led fighter business and Northrop's bomber and space franchises. Newsquawk commentary cautioned that reactions to awards like this are often muted, because development work has historically been fixed-price and Boeing's record on such programs includes overruns and charges, so the split between development and later production margins matters. The next signals are defence appropriations and manufacturing execution, given the program's history of funding…
Crude settling at session lows after a sell-off through the US session suggests near-term momentum favours supply relief, although a double-digit monthly gain for Brent shows the war risk premium is still firmly in the price. One trading executive noted that the more oil flows out of the Middle East, the less bargaining power Iran holds in talks with the US, a framing that ties the physical recovery directly to the diplomatic track. Diesel is drawing the most policy attention, with US futures firmer even as European futures edged lower, and any regulatory relief or emergency stock releases could keep pressure on the diesel complex. The risk for bulls is that additional policy supply arrives while exports normalise, and the risk for bears…