US August CPI 3.4% vs 3.4% expected

  • Prior was 3.4%
  • Unrounded vs +3.365% prior
  • CPI m/m +0.4% vs +0.4% exp
  • Prior CPI was +0.1%
  • Unrounded CPI m/m % vs +0.074% prior

Core readings:

  • Core y/y 2.4% vs 2.4% expected
  • Prior core was 2.5%
  • Core m/m +0.3% vs +0.2% expected
  • Prior m/m +0.2%
  • Unrounded % m/m vs +0.215% prior
  •  Core-CPI services ex-Rent/OER (supercore) was vs +0.189% m/m prior
  • Core-CPI services ex-shelter vs +0.355% m/m prior
  • Core goods % m/m vs +0.2% prior

Ahead of the report, the market was pricing in a 68% chance of a rate hike in September and 43.7 bps in hikes this year. USD/JPY was trading at 154.01 ahead of the report.

Key sub-components:

  • Owners’ equivalent rent: % vs +0.3% prior
  • Rent of primary residence: % vs +0.3% prior
  • Motor vehicle insurance: -0.3% vs -0.3% prior
  • Airfares: % vs +2.2% prior
  • Used cars: % vs +0.4% prior
  • Apparel: % vs +0.1% prior
  • Medical care: % vs +0.4% prior
  • Lodging away from home: % vs -2.8% prior
  • Energy m/m: % vs -1.5% prior
  • Gasoline m/m: % vs -2.9% prior
  • Food m/m: +% vs +0.1% prior

    This article was written by Adam Button at investinglive.com.

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