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Optimism about an end to the Iran war faded as Trump went back to his post-midterms timeline for peace. That ran against positive headlines about Saudi Arabia scheduling loadings from its Red Sea port as it repairs pipeline damage.
The result was small gains for European markets, though Italy and the UK were lower.
Gold is caught between two retracement levels
CFD gold has been mired in a range since September 10. The lower boundary is the 61.8% retracement at $4,230.70 of the rally from the end-of-June low to the August 24 high. On the topside, the 38.2% retracement at $4,408.80 marks the other extreme.
Those are the larger levels to watch, but the first battle is taking place in the middle of the range.
Moving averages are the near-term barometer
The 100-day moving average at $4,326.50, the 200-hour moving average at $4,336.90, and the 100-hour moving average at $4,344 are clustered together. With the price trading within that cluster, neither buyers nor sellers have been able to take clear control.
A move above $4,344 that can stay above would give…
The Nasdaq indices are extending yesterday’s gains, with the Nasdaq Composite up 0.43% and the Nasdaq 100 up 0.5%. The S&P 500, meanwhile, is trading on both sides of unchanged.
Both Nasdaq indices have traded above their previous record closing levels today. The Composite closed at a record high yesterday, while the Nasdaq 100 finished just shy of its own record close.
The question now is whether buyers can keep the momentum going and deliver another pair of record closes. In the video above, I walk through the technical levels driving each index and what would strengthen—or weaken—the bullish bias.
This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.Trump at the United Nations repeated that he believes there will be an Iran deal right after the midterm elections. He floated this before and oil hit Q3 high shortly afterwards, in part due to the Saudi pipeline attacks. He later said a deal would come 'soon' and now he's back to the midterms timeline. I don't think there's any real analysis behind this other than him thinking that his enemies conspire around his election chances.
Trump also repeated that he has a decision to make on Iran and that the Iranian regime is weak and desperate.
On net, I would take the post-election comment as bullish for oil.
This article was written by Adam Button at investinglive.com.This is a mixed bag relative to the prior numbers but none of it is good, as all the main indexes are at zero or below.
This article was written by Adam Button at investinglive.com.The European Commission’s Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN) reports that euro area consumer confidence fell 1.0 point in September. The decline was slightly larger than expected and ended four months of recovery. Confidence across the broader EU also weakened.
Quick analysis: Consumers had been feeling gradually better, but September’s reading suggests that improvement has stalled. Weaker confidence may weigh on household spending and is a growth consideration for the European Central Bank. The euro could face some pressure from the softer reading,…
So that begs the question, what is 'somewhat more restrictive'. The Fed funds curve prices in a bit more than three further rates hikes, basically at the cadence of every second meeting. The October 28 meeting is priced at just over 50%.
This article…investingLive and Base Markets will bring traders a practical session on market noise, gold, risk management, and the checks that matter before depositing with a broker.
As financial markets respond to headlines, changing sentiment, and sharp price moves, traders face a constant challenge: separating useful information from the noise.
On Tuesday, 13 October 2026, investingLive and Base Markets will host Substance Over Noise: How to Trade Without Falling for the Gimmicks, a free online webinar designed for traders who want to make more informed decisions in volatile markets and take a closer look at the real costs and risks of trading.
The free…
Bitcoin surged nearly 7% on Monday, reaching a high of $87,374 late in the day. Some profit-taking has followed today, but the correction has been modest compared with the size of the move. Bitcoin is currently trading near $85,980, down 0.68% on the day, after trading between $85,094 and $86,602.
The question for traders now is whether Monday’s break can hold.
Looking at the chart above (and watching the video), Bitcoin moved above a key swing area between $81,517 and $82,833. That area was defined by different swing highs and lows going back to November and December 2025. More recently, it had acted as a ceiling since February 2026. Buyers had approached that area before, but they had not been able to sustain a move above it.
On Monday,…
This is a second-tier survey, but some of the internals are striking. The full-time employment index jumped 17 points to its best level in more than four years, with 27% of firms adding staff, up from 14% in August. That doesn't fit…
MSTR stock outlook: Bitcoin-linked breakout puts pullback levels in focus
Strategy stock (NASDAQ: MSTR) looks bullish in my September 22 analysis, but after a sharp rally, the question is where a patient buyer might find a more attractive entry. I am watching three possible pullback levels, with a defined point where the bullish idea would fail. Those lower prices may never arrive.
MSTR stock video analysis and opinion by Itai Levitan, investingLive. This analysis reflects the September 22, 2026 pre-market snapshot described in the video transcript, with MSTR quoted at $165.72. It is a long-term technical opinion, potentially requiring a couple of years to play out.
Why the MSTR breakout caught my attention
On the weekly chart discussed in my…