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The U.S. dollar is mixed as North American traders arrive. It spiked higher across the board during the European morning, but has given back much of that move. The greenback is still higher against the GBP, CAD and AUD, lower against the JPY, CHF and NZD, and little changed against the EUR.

Oil is the main story. Saudi Arabia has restarted its East–West pipeline, which carries crude to the Red Sea port of Yanbu. Exports from Yanbu could resume later Tuesday, although the pipeline is initially operating at a reduced rate. The restart has eased some immediate supply concerns and helped push crude lower.

There is also talk of renewed U.S.–Iran diplomacy during the UN General Assembly. Reuters cited a senior Iranian official saying the Strait…

Headlines:

• Fars news denies reports of Iran ready to reopen Strait of Hormuz if the US eases blockade
• Oil prices extend decline as Saudi Arabia restarts East-West pipeline, prepares to resume crude exports
• Silver remains supported amid growing Middle East de-escalation hopes as Iran offers to reopen Hormuz
• Oil prices hover near $100 ahead of potential US-Iran talks, what happens if Brent crude breaks lower?
• Iran offers to reopen Strait of Hormuz within seven days if US eases blockade
• 10-year Treasury yields stay near 5%, what would trigger the next break higher?
• What day traders must know: Elev8 explains the basics
• Substance Over Noise: Free Trading Webinar
• Building a Global Presence: The Story Behind ACCM
• Bitcoin extends gains as short-covering…

Reports of potential negotiations between Iran and the US and the possibility of the Strait of Hormuz reopening pushed oil prices lower earlier in the session, but Iranian sources are now denying the claims via Fars News. 

Kyodo and Reuters reported earlier, citing Iranian sources, that Tehran could be prepared to reopen the Strait of Hormuz within seven days if the US reduced military pressure and lifted its blockade of Iranian ports. The reports triggered extended the decline in oil prices as markets priced in the possibility of a gradual normalization of crude flows.

However, Iranian sources cited by Fars News dismissed the reports as inaccurate and said they did not reflect Tehran's position. The conflicting reports come as markets…

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The basics of day trading

Day trading means opening and closing positions on the same trading…

FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW

Silver has remained supported since the FOMC decision as the market has faded the hawkish overreaction. As a reminder, the Fed projected a less hawkish path for interest rates than the market was pricing and Fed Chair Warsh mostly repeated the points from his Jackson Hole speech.

Moreover, the recent fall in oil prices amid expectations of de-escalation has helped ease inflation and rate hike concerns, offering further support for precious metals. Just earlier, Kyodo reported that Iran offered to reopen the Strait of Hormuz within seven days if the US eases its naval blockade.

The timing is particularly important. Trump…

Saudi Arabia is preparing to resume crude oil exports from the Red Sea port of Yanbu as early as Tuesday, according to people familiar with the matter, in another sign that the kingdom is gradually restoring its disrupted oil export infrastructure. Several Asian refiners have reportedly been informed by Saudi Aramco that they will soon be able to collect crude from Yanbu again.

The development follows the shutdown of Saudi Arabia’s East-West oil pipeline after drone attacks earlier this month. The pipeline connects the kingdom’s major oil-producing areas in the east with Yanbu on the Red Sea coast, allowing Saudi Arabia to export crude without relying on the Strait of Hormuz. Its maximum capacity is around 7 million barrels per day.

The…

IC – Asia Fundamental Forecast | 22 September 2026

What happened in the U.S. session?

Falling oil prices, helped by improving supply flows and hopes for U.S.–Iran diplomacy, reduced immediate inflation concerns and helped push Treasury yields lower. That combination supported U.S. equities and technology stocks. At the same time, the Fed’s hawkish policy outlook kept the U.S. dollar relatively strong, which pressured gold and some dollar-denominated commodities.

What does it mean for the Asia Session?

Bullock’s comments could influence expectations for the RBA’s September 28–29 decision and therefore create movement in AUD pairs. Japan’s holiday means JPY liquidity may be thinner, while traders should closely monitor the developing…

IC – Europe Fundamental Forecast | 22 September 2026

What happened in the Asia session?

Falling oil prices, hopes for U.S.–Iran diplomacy and optimism around the upcoming Trump–Xi meeting have supported Asian equities, particularly technology stocks. At the same time, central-bank policy remains a counterweight: hawkish RBA expectations are supporting the Australian dollar, while expectations of further Fed tightening are supporting the U.S. dollar and weighing on gold and the yen.

What does it mean for the Europe & US sessions?

Traders should watch Lagarde’s comments for EUR volatility, then weekly ADP employment, Richmond Fed data and speeches from Williams, Jefferson and Barkin for clues about the Fed’s rate path. At the same time, oil…

●         Asian Stock Markets : Nikkei up 1.38%, Shanghai Composite up 0.22% Hang Seng up 0.34% ASX up 0.18%

●        Commodities : Gold at $4,378.65 (-0.11%) Silver at $66.455 (0.06%), Brent Oil at 101.19 (0.84%), WTI Oil at 92.94 (0.62%)

●        Rates : US 10-year yield at 4.927, UK 10-year yield at 5.2159, Germany 10-year yield at 3.4536

●        (EUR)     ECB President Lagarde Speaks

        0.1% to 0.1%   expected

U.S. equity futures were little changed Monday night after a strong rally in artificial intelligence-related stocks lifted the major averages.

S&P 500 futures edged up 0.02%, while Nasdaq-100 futures gained 0.2%. In Asia, South Korea’s Kospi jumped…

Oil is sitting at an interesting point heading into potential US-Iran talks this week.

Brent crude is hovering just above the $100 mark as traders took some comfort from hopes of diplomatic progress and signs that Saudi crude shipments are recovering from earlier this week. The fact that $100 is even being eyed again tells you how quickly some of the geopolitical premium can come out when the market sees a possible path towards de-escalation.

For me, that makes the next move in oil prices more important than the number itself.

We all know the story about rising oil prices and how that will spill over to broader markets, leading to higher bond yields and complicating things for central banks with regards to inflation.

But what happens if there…