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Tuesday 20th Oct 2026: U.S. Stock Futures Edge Higher as Tech Stocks Rebound; Earnings in Focus
● Asian Stock Markets : Nikkei down 1.13%, Shanghai Composite down 0.08% Hang Seng down 1.06% ASX down 0.40%
● Commodities : Gold at $4,162.95 (0.07%) Silver at $57.600 (0.58%), Brent Oil at 109.68 (0.12%), WTI Oil at 98.52 (-0.02%)
● Rates : US 10-year yield at 5.127, UK 10-year yield at 5.4413, Germany 10-year yield at 3.4528
News & Data:● (CAD) Trimmed CPI y/y 1.8% to 1.9% expected
Markets Update:U.S. stock futures edged higher on Monday night after Wall Street posted gains during the regular session, as investors returned to technology stocks following last week’s sharp sell-off.
Dow Jones Industrial Average futures rose 56 points, or 0.1%, while S&P 500…
Tuesday 20th Oct 2026: Technical Outlook and Review
Potential Direction: Bullish
Overall momentum of the chart: Bearish
The price has already bounced from the support area and could continue its short-term bullish recovery toward the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 101.64
Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap support, where renewed buying pressure could emerge and support further upside.
1st support: 100.98
Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap support and a recent breakout area. If price reverses from the pivot, this level could provide the first area of support.
1st resistance: 102.85
Supporting reasons: Identified as a swing-high resistance, which could potentially act as a profit-taking level and cap further upside.
German producer prices hit highest since March 2023 as energy costs soar, fueling inflation worries
- Germany September PPI +1.9% vs +1.5% m/m expected
- Prior +1.1%
- Germany September PPI +6.7% vs +6.2% y/y expected
- Prior +4.6%
The breakdownWell, this marks another solid jump in German producer prices with the annual rate climbing to 6.7% now in September. That marks the strongest year-on-year increase since March 2023, with rising energy prices continuing to be the main culprit.
Looking at the monthly breakdown, energy prices rose by 5.8% in September compared to the month before. So, much of the headline increase can be attributed to that. If you strip out energy prices, German producer prices were only up 0.1% as a whole in September but still some 3.2% higher relative to the same month last year.
The more detailed breakdown shows more…
UK unemployment rate falls to 4.7% as jobs rebound, keeping BOE rate hike bets intact
- UK August ILO unemployment rate 4.7% vs 5.0% expected
- Prior 4.9%
- UK August employment change 102k vs 5k expected
- Prior 67k
- UK August average weekly earnings +3.7% vs +3.8% 3m/y expected
- Prior +3.9%
- UK August average weekly earnings (ex bonus) +3.7% vs +3.6% 3m/y expected
- Prior +3.5%; revised to +3.6%
- UK September payrolls change 13k
- Prior -26k; revised to 1k
Wow. That is quite the contrast from what we saw with the July numbers on employment and unemployment, as well as the drastic revision higher to the payrolls figure for August.
That being said, I just want to firstly warn about the fact that the ONS is still facing data quality issues with their labour force survey (LFS) and it is tough to quantify how much of this may be attributed to that. The…
BOJ reportedly may upgrade inflation forecast, hold rates steady at next week’s meeting
The Reuters report is citing four sources familiar with the BOJ's thinking, in saying that policymakers may slightly upgrade their inflation forecast for the fiscal year 2027 as rising oil prices continue to feed through to consumer prices. However, the central bank is still expected to leave interest rates unchanged at 1.25% on 30 October.
That is not all too surprising after the rate hike back in September. And in fact, traders are also pricing in virtually no chance of another rate hike for next week. As for December though? Well, that is a bit of a different story. Traders are assigning roughly 73% odds of another move in the final month of this year.
And that is what markets should be focusing on, rather than being distracted by the…
General Market Analysis – 20/10/26
US Tech Stocks Rise Ahead of Earnings – Nasdaq Up 1.1%
US equity markets finished mixed yesterday, with technology stocks leading a recovery as concerns surrounding the AI sector eased and investors looked for value ahead of key Q3 earnings reports. The Nasdaq led the gains, jumping 1.11% to close at 26,430, while the S&P 500 advanced 0.41% to finish at 7,690. The Dow Jones Industrial Average struggled to make ground, slipping 0.07% to close at 51,966. Investors remain cautious ahead of another busy period for corporate earnings, although the rebound in technology stocks provided some encouragement following last week’s selling pressure.
US Treasury yields moved sharply higher across the curve, reversing some of last week’s declines…
IC – Europe Fundamental Forecast | 20 October 2026
IC – Europe Fundamental Forecast | 20 October 2026
What happened in the Asia session?
Asian markets were mostly bearish, with technology-related stocks under pressure despite stronger Chinese economic growth. The stronger Chinese data offered some support to the yuan and regional currencies, while the U.S. dollar remained relatively steady and the yen stayed weak near 158.50 per dollar. Oil prices remained above $100 because of Middle Eastern supply risks, while gold faced pressure from higher bond yields.
What does it mean for the European & US sessions?
European and U.S. traders should focus on French political uncertainty, UK wage data, U.S. housing figures, Treasury yields, and rising oil prices. The dollar may benefit from strong…
Macro pulse: France’s debt crisis doesn’t have to get worse to keep hurting the euro
France has been the talk of the town in Europe over the past few weeks, and even more so after the weekend riots that we have just seen. Perhaps the only good news is that we haven't quite seen France's debt troubles spiral into a full-blown crisis. But even if things stay exactly as they are, I would argue that France's problems are still a big risk for the euro.
The French-German 10-year yield spread has widened again to around 147 bps as of yesterday, as investors continue to demand a much higher premium to hold French government debt. Now, that is still just below the key 150 bps threshold from the highs earlier this month. So, it's not to say that the latest developments are leading to another euro area debt crisis just yet.
Having…
The Floor 8 Moves From Launch Into Its Next Phase of Growth
The Floor 8 is entering a new phase of development, building on its launch with an ambition to make trading programs more accessible to eligible traders worldwide.
This next chapter brings together two priorities: accelerating the brand’s growth and strengthening the operational foundations that support the trader experience.
At the center of that strategy is the firm’s 50/50 Evaluation, a model designed to reduce the upfront financial commitment required to begin an evaluation.
A More Accessible Starting Point
The 50/50 Evaluation divides the program fee into two payments. Traders pay half upfront, with the remaining half payable only after successfully completing…
UK August ILO unemployment rate 4.7% vs 5.0% expected
- UK August ILO unemployment rate % vs 5.0% expected
- Prior 4.9%
- UK August employment change k vs 5k expected
- Prior 67k
- UK August average weekly earnings +% vs +3.8% 3m/y expected
- Prior +3.9%
- UK August average weekly earnings +% vs +3.6% 3m/y expected
- Prior +3.5%
- UK September payrolls change k
- Prior -26k
More to come..
This article was written by Justin Low at investinglive.com.Germany September PPI +1.9% vs +1.5% m/m expected
- Germany September PPI +% vs +1.5% m/m expected
- Prior +1.1%
- Germany September PPI +% vs +6.2% y/y expected
- Prior +4.6%
The breakdownMore to come...
What does the data measure?The PPI tracks changes in prices charged by German manufacturers for goods sold domestically. It offers an early indication of inflationary pressures before they potentially reach consumers.
Why does it matter to markets?Higher producer prices can squeeze corporate margins or eventually feed into consumer inflation. That makes the data useful for assessing Germany's inflation outlook and the ECB's interest rate decisions.
How does this fit the broader economic picture?The backdrop is increasingly inflationary and growth-negative, with Germany facing rising energy costs…