423086 November 4, 2025 15:00 ICMarkets Market News
Potential Direction: Bullish
Overall momentum of the chart: Bearish
The price could fall toward the pivot and could make a short-term pullback toward this level before rising again toward the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 99.53
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback support, where renewed buying pressure could emerge to push the price higher.
1st support: 99.13
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback support, indicating a potential area where the price could again stabilize.
1st resistance: 100.10
Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap resistance, indicating a potential area that could halt any further upward movement

Potential Direction: Bearish
Overall momentum of the chart: Bearish
The price has already reacted off the pivot and may continue its bearish move toward the 1st support
Pivot: 1.1542
Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap resistance, where selling pressures could intensify and potentially cap any upward retracement
1st support: 1.1418
Supporting reasons: Identified as a support that is supported by the 181.8% Fibonacci extension and the 161.8% Fibonacci projection, indicating a potential level where the price could stabilize once again.
1st resistance: 1.1603
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback resistance, indicating a potential level that could cap further upward movement.

Potential Direction: Bullish
Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish
The price could see a short-term pullback toward the pivot before continuing its bearish move down toward the 1st support.
Pivot: 177.49
Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap resistance, where selling pressures could intensify and potentially cap any upward retracement.
1st support: 176.45
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback support, indicating a potential area where the price could again stabilize.
1st resistance: 178.80
Supporting reasons: Identified as a swing high resistance that is supported by the 161.8% Fibonacci extension, indicating a potential level that could cap further upward movement.

Potential Direction: Bullish
Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish
The price could see a short-term pullback toward the pivot before rising again toward the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.8749
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback support, where renewed buying pressure could emerge to push the price higher.
1st support: 0.8718
Supporting reasons: Identified as overlap support, indicating a potential area where the price could stabilize once more.
1st resistance: 0.8718
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pulback resistance, indicating a potential level that could cap further upward movement.

Potential Direction: Bearish
Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish
The price could see a short-term pullback toward the pivot before continuing its bearish move down toward the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.3260
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback resistance, where selling pressures could intensify and potentially cap any upward retracement.
1st support: 1.3115
Supporting reasons: Identified as a support that is supported by the 161.8% Fibonacci extension, indicating a potential area where the price could stabilize once more.
1st resistance: 1.3355
Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap resistance, indicating a potential level that could halt further upward movement.

Potential Direction: Bearish
Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish
The price has already reacted off the pivot and may continue its bearish move toward the 1st support
Pivot: 203.200
Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap resistance, where selling pressures could intensify and potentially cap any upward retracement
1st support: 201.71
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback support, indicating a potential level where the price could stabilize once more.
1st resistance: 204.36
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback resistance, indicating a potential level that could halt further upward movement.

Potential Direction: Bullish
Overall momentum of the chart: Bearish
The price could see a short-term pullback toward the pivot before rising again toward the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.8049
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback support, where renewed buying pressure could emerge to push the price higher.
1st support: 0.8009
Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap support, indicating a potential level where the price could stabilize once again.
1st resistance: 0.8130
Supporting reasons: Identified as a resistance that is supported by the 127.2% Fibonacci extension, indicating a potential level that could cap further upward movement.

Potential Direction: Bullish
Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish
The price could see a short-term pullback toward the pivot before rising again toward the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 153.25
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback support, where renewed buying pressure could emerge to push the price higher.
1st support: 151.96
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback support, indicating a strong area where buyers might return, and the price could stabilize once again.
1st resistance: 155.69
Supporting reasons: Identified as a resistance that is supported by the 161.8% Fibonacci extension. This level represents the next key area where upward movement could be capped amid increased selling pressure

Potential Direction: Bullish
Overall momentum of the chart: Bearish
The price could see a short-term pullback toward the pivot before rising again toward the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.4021
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback support, where renewed buying pressure could emerge to push the price higher.
1st support: 1.3970
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback support, indicating a key level where the price could stabilize once more.
1st resistance: 1.4077
Supporting reasons: Identified as a swing high resistance, making it a possible target for bullish advances and a level where some sellers could return to cap gains

Potential Direction: Bullish
Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish
The price could make a short-term pullback toward the pivot before rising again toward the 1st resistance
Pivot: 0.6524
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback support, where renewed buying pressure could emerge to push the price higher.
1st support: 0.6484
Supporting reasons: Identified as a swing low support, this area has provided strong support historically and may attract buying interest for a potential short-term bounce
1st resistance: 0.6590
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback resistance, indicating a potential area that could halt any further upward movement.

Potential Direction: Bearish
Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish
The price could see a short-term pullback toward the pivot before continuing its bearish move down toward the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.5742
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback resistance, where selling pressures could intensify and potentially cap any upward retracement.
1st support: 0.5686
Supporting reasons: Identified as aa swing low support, this area has provided strong support historically and may attract buying interest for a potential short-term bounce
1st resistance: 0.5814
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement, indicating a potential area that could halt any further upward movement.

Potential Direction: Bullish
Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish
The price could see a short-term pullback toward the pivot before rising again toward the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 47,059.94
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback support, indicating a potential area where buying interest could pick up
1st support: 46,447.27
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback support, suggesting a potential area where the price could stabilize once again.
1st resistance: 48,-48.01
Supporting reasons: Identified as a swing high resistance, indicating a potential area that could halt any further upward movement.

Potential Direction: Bearish
Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish
The price could see a short-term pullback toward the pivot before continuing its bearish move down toward the 1st support.
Pivot: 24,227.04
Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap resistance, where selling pressures could intensify and potentially cap any upward retracement.
1st support: 23,714.81
Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, indicating a key level where the price could stabilize once more.
1st resistance: 24,511.47
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback resistance, indicating a potential area that could halt any further upward movement.

Potential Direction: Bullish
Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish
The price is falling toward the pivot and could make a short-term pullback toward this level before rising again toward the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 6,760.21
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback support, indicating a potential area where buying interest could pick up
1st support: 6,696.60
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback support, indicating a potential level where the price could stabilize once again.
1st resistance: 6,922.99
Supporting reasons: Identified as a swing high resistance that is supported by the 161.8% Fibonacci extension, indicating a potential area that could halt any further upward movement.

Potential Direction: Bearish
Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish
The price could see a short-term pullback toward the pivot before continuing its bearish move down toward the 1st support.
Pivot: 107,301.98
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback resistance, where selling pressures could intensify and potentially cap any upward retracement.
1st support: 103,209.31
Supporting reasons: Identified as a support that is supported by the 161.8% Fibonacci extension, indicating a potential level where the price could stabilize once more.
1st resistance: 111,232.24
Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap resistance, indicating a potential area that could halt any further upward movement.

Potential Direction: Bearish
Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish
The price could see a short-term pullback toward the pivot before continuing its bearish move down toward the 1st support.
Pivot: 3,747.70
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback resistance, where selling pressures could intensify and potentially cap any upward retracement.
1st support: 3,520.31
Supporting reasons: Identified as a support that is supported by the 161.8% Fibonacci extension, indicating a potential level where the price could stabilize once more.
1st resistance: 3,919.62
Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap resistance, indicating a potential area that could halt any further upward movement.

Potential Direction: Bullish
Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish
The price has already bounced off the pivot and may continue its bullish move toward the 1st resistance
Pivot: 60.18
Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, where renewed buying pressure could emerge to push the price higher.
1st support: 57.72
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement, indicating a key level where the price could stabilize once more.
1st resistance: 63.15
Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, indicating a potential area that could halt any further upward movement.

Potential Direction: Bearish
Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish
The price could see a short-term pullback toward the pivot before continuing its bearish move down toward the 1st support.
Pivot: 4,053.83
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback resistance, where selling pressures could intensify and potentially cap any upward retracement.
1st support: 3,891.10
Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap support that aligns closely with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection, indicating a key level where the price could stabilize once more.
1st resistance: 4,177.54
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback resistance, indicating a potential area that could halt any further upward movement.

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The post Tuesday 4th November 2025: Technical Outlook and Review first appeared on IC Markets | Official Blog.
423045 November 3, 2025 18:40 ICMarkets Market News
Dear Client,
Please find our updated Trading schedule and general information related to the US Thanksgiving Day on Thursday, 27 November, 2025 and Friday, 28 November, 2025.
Liquidity over the holidays is expected to be particularly thin so please take the necessary precaution to ensure that you are not affected by increased volatility, spreads and intermittent pricing.
All times mentioned below are Platform time (GMT +2).
MT4/MT5:
Precious Metals:

Spot Energies:

Indices:

Metal Futures:

Energy Futures:

Soft Commodities Futures:

Indices Futures:

Bonds Futures:

Equities:

cTrader:
Precious Metals:

Spot Energies:

Indices:

Metal Futures:

Kind regards,
IC Markets Team.
The post US Thanksgiving Day Trading Schedule 2025 first appeared on IC Markets | Official Blog.
423042 November 3, 2025 16:14 ICMarkets Market News
IC Markets – Asia Fundamental Forecast | 03 November 2025
What happened in the U.S. session?
The overnight U.S. session was shaped by better-than-expected tech earnings and ongoing macroeconomic uncertainty, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI continuing to signal a slow manufacturing environment. Tech equities, the U.S. dollar, and safety assets (like Treasuries and gold) were among the most impacted financial instruments. The USD remained sensitive to the ISM Manufacturing PMI and related price indices releases, with currency traders closely watching for signs of further weakness or surprise improvements.
What does it mean for the Asia Session?
Monday, November 3, brings critical data that will set the tone for the week, with US manufacturing PMI and the RBA rate decision taking center stage. The US dollar’s strength, driven by reduced Fed easing expectations, the yen’s weakness from political uncertainty, and the Australian dollar’s bullish stance from inflation surprises, represents the major currency themes. Commodity markets show gold consolidating after record highs, while oil faces structural headwinds from oversupply.
The Dollar Index (DXY)
Key news events today
ISM manufacturing PMI (3:00 pm GMT)
ISM manufacturing prices (3:00 pm GMT)
What can we expect from DXY today?
The US dollar enters November 3 with strong momentum, supported by hawkish Federal Reserve rhetoric, improved geopolitical sentiment following the US-China trade deal, and continued economic resilience. However, notable risks remain, including uncertainty stemming from the ongoing government shutdown, potential manufacturing weakness indicated by sub-50 PMI readings, and elevated positioning that may prompt profit-taking. Today’s manufacturing PMI releases at 9:45 AM and 10:00 AM ET will offer key insights into the economy’s underlying strength and could shape the near-term direction of the dollar.
Central Bank Notes:
Next 24 Hours Bias
Medium Bearish
Gold (XAU)
Key news events today
ISM manufacturing PMI (3:00 pm GMT)
ISM manufacturing prices (3:00 pm GMT)
What can we expect from Gold today?
Gold’s consolidation around $4,000 reflects a market recalibrating after an extraordinary rally, with traders balancing reduced safe-haven demand from improved US-China relations against persistent structural drivers, including central bank buying, Fed policy uncertainty, and long-term debasement concerns. The precious metal faces near-term technical pressure from a strengthening dollar and hawkish Fed rhetoric, but most analysts maintain bullish medium-to-long-term outlooks with targets ranging from $4,500-$5,000 over the next 12-18 months.
Next 24 Hours Bias
Medium Bullish
The Australian Dollar (AUD)
Key news events today
No major news event
What can we expect from AUD today?
The Australian Dollar enters Monday with firm upward momentum supported by strong inflation data, RBA caution on rates, and positive global market sentiment. Rate cuts are now unlikely in the near term, and technical setups favor further AUD/USD gains as long as current inflation and commodity trends persist. AUD/USD climbed above 0.6600 to reach recent three-week highs following the September quarter inflation release, which beat forecasts and reinforced the view that rate cuts are off the table for November and likely December as well.
Central Bank Notes:
Next 24 Hours Bias
Medium Bullish
The Kiwi Dollar (NZD)
Key news events today
No major news event
What can we expect from NZD today?
The NZD faces downward pressure as markets expect further RBNZ rate cuts and labor market weakness, but improving local business sentiment offers some offsetting support. The NZD/USD is projected to remain soft with only temporary rebounds possible, and all eyes are now on upcoming labor data and the RBNZ policy meeting later in the month.
Central Bank Notes:
Next 24 Hours Bias
Weak Bullish
The Japanese Yen (JPY)
Key news events today
No major news events
What can we expect from JPY today?
While inflation data provide a potential reason for BOJ tightening, persistent dovish signals mean the yen remains under downside pressure against the dollar, with any appreciation likely to be gradual and dependent on both BOJ policy evolution and US dollar momentum. The opening of Japanese markets for holiday trading may add some volatility, but underlying trends favor continued yen weakness for now.
Central Bank Notes:
Next 24 Hours Bias
weak Bearish
Oil
Key news events today
No major news event
What can we expect from Oil today?
OPEC+ is increasing output modestly in December but pausing hikes for Q1 2026. Oil prices are below recent averages, heading for a third straight month of declines. Market weakness is driven by oversupply, sluggish demand (especially from China), and persistent geopolitical developments. Near-term price action could see further volatility, with technical support watching the $58–$63 range closely.
Next 24 Hours Bias
Medium Bearish
The post IC Markets – Asia Fundamental Forecast | 03 November 2025 first appeared on IC Markets | Official Blog.
423041 November 3, 2025 16:14 ICMarkets Market News
US Stocks Push Higher into the Weekend – Nasdaq up 0.6%
US stock indices pushed higher again on Friday despite investor concerns about a less dovish Fed, a US data vacuum, and mixed earnings from big tech players. The Dow added 0.09% to 47,562, the S&P finished up 0.26% at 6,840, while the Nasdaq led the way again, closing up 0.61% at 23,724. Treasury yields pulled back, with the 2-year down 3.5 basis points at 3.574%, and the 10-year lost 1.9 basis points to close the week at 4.077%. The dollar, however, continued its rise post the Fed meeting, with the DXY up 0.19% at 99.72. Oil prices rose, with Brent up 0.62% to $64.77 and WTI up 0.68% to $60.98, and further moves are expected today after OPEC+ announced lower production increases than expected in the months ahead due to supply concerns. Gold experienced another choppy day, ultimately closing 0.53% lower at $4,002.92.
Busy Week Again for Traders
Traders are expecting another volatile week ahead with several financial products near all-time levels, geopolitical updates likely, more central bank rate calls, and the likely absence of key US jobs numbers all set to feature. The Bank of England and the Reserve Bank of Australia are both expected to keep rates on hold this week; however, traders are expecting plenty of volatility on forward guidance from both committees. Trade updates are likely again from various jurisdictions, and the US earnings season continues in earnest. All of these factors could combine to drive markets significantly in one direction or the other—or at least keep them very choppy. In addition to the above, the data vacuum in the US is likely to start increasing concerns as we look set to miss another crucial jobs market update, with the government shutdown likely to see Non-Farms, JOLTS Job Openings, and Weekly Unemployment Claims data all delayed or cancelled. Overall, it is very hard to pick one direction for markets at the moment, and we could be trading at very different levels come 5 p.m. in New York on Friday.
Steady Start to the Trading Week
It looks like a steady start to the trading week today, with little dramatic on the geopolitical front over the weekend—for a change—and a relatively quiet calendar ahead of us. Liquidity will be affected in the Asian session today with Japanese markets closed for Culture Day, and traders are expecting a smooth start to the week with little on the calendar to move market momentum. There will be a strong focus on Swiss markets shortly after the London open, with key CPI data due out. The market is expecting a 0.1% decrease in the month-on-month number, and anything further south of this could put pressure on the Swiss National Bank to move to negative rates in the coming months. We are likely to see some data out of the US today, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI (exp. 49.4) and ISM Manufacturing Prices (exp. 62.4) numbers due out shortly after the open. Central bankers are back on the speaking circuit this week, and we hear from Fed members Daly and Cook today, as well as Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem.
The post General Market Analysis – 3/11/25 first appeared on IC Markets | Official Blog.
423037 November 3, 2025 16:06 ICMarkets Market News
IC Markets – Europe Fundamental Forecast | 03 November 2025
What happened in the Asia session?
Today’s Asia session was characterized by a strong US dollar, oil market strength on OPEC+ cuts, and generally cautious risk sentiment in anticipation of major macroeconomic releases and central bank meetings. Currencies most impacted were USD/SGD, AUD/USD, and risk-linked FX, while crude oil and the ASX 200 led moves in commodities and equities. The US dollar extended its strength in Asia, especially against risk-sensitive currencies like the Singapore dollar (USD/SGD climbed past the 1.30 level), as investors responded to continued hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve.
What does it mean for the Europe & US sessions?
The ISM Manufacturing PMI at 3:00 PM ET is today’s headline event, with markets watching for any signs of improvement above the 50 threshold. Seven consecutive months of contraction have weighed on manufacturing sentiment, and today’s data will provide crucial insight into whether the sector is stabilizing. The RBA’s widely expected hold decision tonight will confirm that Australia’s rate-cutting cycle has paused due to sticky inflation. Markets have dramatically repriced expectations following the hot Q3 CPI data.
The Dollar Index (DXY)
Key news events today
ISM manufacturing PMI (3:00 pm GMT)
ISM manufacturing prices (3:00 pm GMT)
What can we expect from DXY today?
The DXY index holds near three-month highs around 99.8 following hawkish Fed rhetoric that reduced December rate cut odds to 63%Fed officials push back: Cleveland Fed’s Hammack and two other regional presidents publicly opposed further rate cuts, citing elevated inflation concerns. Manufacturing data in focus: S&P Global and ISM manufacturing PMIs were released Monday, with expectations of modest improvement, but ISM remaining in contraction territory.
Central Bank Notes:
Next 24 Hours Bias
Weak Bearish
Gold (XAU)
Key news events today
ISM manufacturing PMI (3:00 pm GMT)
ISM manufacturing prices (3:00 pm GMT)
What can we expect from Gold today?
Gold begins the week of November 3, 2025, in consolidation mode around $3,972 per ounce, approximately 9% below its October 20 all-time high of $4,381. The precious metal faces competing pressures: hawkish Federal Reserve commentary has reduced expectations for December rate cuts and strengthened the dollar, while improved US-China trade relations have dampened safe-haven demand. China’s elimination of its gold VAT rebate, effective November 1, adds another near-term headwind by potentially reducing retail buying in a major market.
Next 24 Hours Bias
Medium Bullish
The Euro (EUR)
Key news events today
No major news event
What can we expect from EUR today?
The euro faces multiple headwinds on Monday, November 3, 2025, as it trades near three-month lows around 1.1530-1.1537. Persistent US dollar strength, driven by the Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance and reduced expectations for near-term rate cuts, remains the primary pressure point. While the ECB has maintained rates at accommodative levels and eurozone economic data have modestly exceeded expectations, political uncertainty in France and ongoing trade tensions continue to weigh on sentiment.
Central Bank Notes:
Next 24 Hours Bias
Weak Bearish
The Swiss Franc (CHF)
Key news events today
CPI m/m (7:00 am GMT)
What can we expect from CHF today?
The Swiss franc showed short-term weakness, declining against major currencies over the past week, though it maintains substantial year-to-date gains exceeding 12%. Switzerland’s inflation remains subdued at 0.2% year-on-year, with the SNB holding rates at 0% and projecting continued low inflation. The franc continues to benefit from safe-haven demand driven by geopolitical tensions and global uncertainty, while the SNB’s gold reserves have generated significant profits amid soaring gold prices.
Central Bank Notes:
Next 24 Hours Bias
Weak Bullish
The Pound (GBP)
Key news events today
No major event
What can we expect from GBP today?
The British pound enters this critical week facing multiple headwinds that have pushed it to seven-month lows. A toxic combination of fiscal uncertainty stemming from the upcoming budget, expectations of additional Bank of England rate cuts, deteriorating productivity forecasts adding £20 billion to the fiscal hole, and a strengthening US dollar has created substantial downward pressure on sterling. While recent retail sales data showed unexpected resilience, and inflation has begun to ease slightly, the overall fundamental backdrop remains bearish for the pound in the near term.
Central Bank Notes:
Next 24 Hours Bias
Medium Bearish
The Canadian Dollar (CAD)
Key news events today
BOC Gov Macklem speaks (6:30 pm GMT)
What can we expect from CAD today?
The Canadian Dollar entered November 3, 2025, facing significant headwinds from diverging monetary policies between the Bank of Canada and the Federal Reserve, persistent economic weakness driven by U.S. trade tensions, and structural challenges that limit policy support. While higher oil prices provided some cushion, the USD/CAD pair remained elevated near 1.40, reflecting the CAD’s vulnerability to external shocks and the U.S. dollar’s relative strength. With the BoC signaling a pause in rate cuts and weak economic data continuing to emerge, the Canadian Dollar’s near-term outlook remains cautious, dependent largely on trade policy developments and global commodity price stability
Central Bank Notes:
Next 24 Hours Bias
Weak Bearish
Oil
Key news events today
No major new event
What can we expect from Oil today?
Oil prices rose on Monday, with WTI at $61.34/bbl and Brent at $65.01/bbl, following OPEC+’s decision to increase December production by just 137,000 bpd while pausing all output hikes for Q1 2026. This strategic freeze aims to prevent oversupply during weak seasonal demand, even as global oil inventories swell with a record 1.4 billion barrels at sea. Key developments include US production hitting record highs of 13.644 million bpd, Ukrainian drone strikes damaging Russia’s Tuapse oil terminal, new US sanctions on Rosneft and Lukoil, and potential US-China energy deals involving Alaskan oil and gas. Despite short-term price support from OPEC+ discipline and geopolitical risks, the market faces persistent oversupply concerns with forecasts projecting potential surpluses of up to 4 million bpd in 2026.
Next 24 Hours Bias
Medium Bearish
The post IC Markets – Europe Fundamental Forecast | 03 November 2025 first appeared on IC Markets | Official Blog.
423019 November 3, 2025 16:05 ICMarkets Market News
Potential Direction: Bullish
Overall momentum of the chart: Bearish
The price has already bounced off the pivot and may continue its bullish move toward the 1st resistance
Pivot: 98.59
Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap support, where renewed buying pressure could emerge to push the price higher.
1st support: 96.64
Supporting reasons: Identified as a swing low support, indicating a potential area where the price could again stabilize.
1st resistance: 100.83
Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap resistance that aligns closely with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and the 100% Fibonacci projection, indicating a potential area that could halt any further upward movement

Potential Direction: Bearish
Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish
The price has already reacted off the pivot and may continue its bearish move toward the 1st support
Pivot: 1.1735
Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement, where selling pressures could intensify and potentially cap any upward retracement
1st support: 1.1192
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback support that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci projection and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, indicating a potential level where the price could stabilize once again.
1st resistance: 1.1920
Supporting reasons: Identified as a swing high resistance, indicating a potential level that could cap further upward movement.

Potential Direction: Bullish
Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish
The price has already bounced off the pivot and may continue its bullish move toward the 1st resistance
Pivot: 175.06
Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap support, where renewed buying pressure could emerge to push the price higher.
1st support: 170.43
Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap support, indicating a potential area where the price could again stabilize.
1st resistance: 179.83
Supporting reasons: Identified as a resistance that is supported by the 161.8% Fibonacci extension, indicating a potential level that could cap further upward movement.

Potential Direction: Bullish
Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish
The price could make a short-term pullback toward the pivot before rising again toward the 1st resistance
Pivot: 0.8744
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback support, where renewed buying pressure could emerge to push the price higher.
1st support: 0.8607
Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap support, indicating a potential area where the price could stabilize once more.
1st resistance: 0.8842
Supporting reasons: Identified as a resistance that is supported by the 127.2% Fibonacci extension, indicating a potential level that could cap further upward movement.

Potential Direction: Bearish
Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish
The price could see a short-term pullback toward the pivot before continuing its bearish move down toward the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.3296
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback resistance, where selling pressures could intensify and potentially cap any upward retracement.
1st support: 1.3002
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback support that aligns with the 100% Fibonacci projection, indicating a potential area where the price could stabilize once more.
1st resistance: 1.3740
Supporting reasons: Identified as a swing high resistance, indicating a potential level that could halt further upward movement.

Potential Direction: Bullish
Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish
The price could make a short-term pullback toward the pivot before rising again toward the 1st resistance
Pivot: 199.59
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback support, where renewed buying pressure could emerge to push the price higher.
1st support: 195.51
Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap support, indicating a potential level where the price could stabilize once more.
1st resistance: 205.33
Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap resistance, indicating a potential level that could halt further upward movement.

Potential Direction: Bullish
Overall momentum of the chart: Bearish
The price could make a short-term pullback toward the pivot before rising again toward the 1st resistance
Pivot: 0.7986
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback support, where renewed buying pressure could emerge to push the price higher.
1st support: 0.7872
Supporting reasons: Identified as a swing low support, indicating a potential level where the price could stabilize once again.
1st resistance: 0.8197
Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap resistance that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension, indicating a potential level that could cap further upward movement.

Potential Direction: Bullish
Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish
The price could make a short-term pullback toward the pivot before rising again toward the 1st resistance
Pivot: 151.18
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback support, where renewed buying pressure could emerge to push the price higher.
1st support: 148.83
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback support, indicating a strong area where buyers might return, and the price could stabilize once again.
1st resistance: 156.25
Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap resistance that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension. This level represents the next key area where upward movement could be capped amid increased selling pressure

Potential Direction: Bullish
Overall momentum of the chart: Bearish
The price has already bounced off the pivot and may continue its bullish move toward the 1st resistance
Pivot: 1.3908
Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement, where renewed buying pressure could emerge to push the price higher.
1st support: 1.3742
Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap support, indicating a key level where the price could stabilize once more.
1st resistance: 1.4166
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, making it a possible target for bullish advances and a level where some sellers could return to cap gains

Potential Direction: Bearish
Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish
The price could trigger a bearish breakout of the pivot before continuing its bearish move down toward the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.6532
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback resistance, where selling pressures could intensify and potentially cap any upward retracement.
1st support: 0.6328
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback support that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension, this area has provided strong support historically and may attract buying interest for a potential short-term bounce
1st resistance: 0.6681
Supporting reasons: Identified as a swing high resistance, indicating a potential area that could halt any further upward movement.

Potential Direction: Bearish
Overall momentum of the chart: Bearish
The price could see a short-term pullback toward the pivot before continuing its bearish move down toward the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.5758
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback resistance, where selling pressures could intensify and potentially cap any upward retracement.
1st support: 0.5542
Supporting reasons: Identified as a swing low support that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci projection, this area has provided strong support historically and may attract buying interest for a potential short-term bounce
1st resistance: 0.5847
Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap resistance, indicating a potential area that could halt any further upward movement.

Potential Direction: Bullish
Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish
The price could make a short-term pullback toward the pivot before rising again toward the 1st resistance
Pivot: 46,841.88
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback support, where renewed buying pressure could emerge to push the price higher.
1st support: 45,643.90
Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap support, suggesting a potential area where the price could stabilize once again.
1st resistance: 50,240.06
Supporting reasons: Identified as a resistance that is supported by the 161.8% Fibonacci extension, indicating a potential area that could halt any further upward movement.

Potential Direction: Bullish
Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish
The price could make a short-term pullback toward the pivot before rising again toward the 1st resistance
Pivot: 23,712.00
Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, where renewed buying pressure could emerge to push the price higher.
1st support: 23,145.40
Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap support, indicating a key level where the price could stabilize once more.
1st resistance: 24,624.84
Supporting reasons: Identified as a swing high resistance, indicating a potential area that could halt any further upward movement.

Potential Direction: Bullish
Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish
The price has already bounced off the pivot and may continue its bullish move toward the 1st resistance
Pivot: 6,505.98
Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap support, where renewed buying pressure could emerge to push the price higher.
1st support: 6,141.15
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback support, indicating a potential level where the price could stabilize once again.
1st resistance: 6,978.39
Supporting reasons: Identified as a resistance that is supported by the 161.8% Fibonacci extension, indicating a potential area that could halt any further upward movement.

Potential Direction: Bearish
Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish
The price could see a short-term pullback toward the pivot before continuing its bearish move down toward the 1st support.
Pivot: 117,334.88
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, where selling pressures could intensify and potentially cap any upward retracement.
1st support: 99,932.19
Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement, indicating a potential level where the price could stabilize once more.
1st resistance: 125,853.86
Supporting reasons: Identified as a swing high resistance, indicating a potential area that could halt any further upward movement.

Potential Direction: Bearish
Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish
The price has already reacted off the pivot and may continue its bearish move toward the 1st support
Pivot: 4,232.33
Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement, where selling pressures could intensify and potentially cap any upward retracement
1st support: 3,467.65
Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap support, indicating a potential level where the price could stabilize once more.
1st resistance: 4,846.95
Supporting reasons: Identified as a swing high resistance, indicating a potential area that could halt any further upward movement.

Potential Direction: Bullish
Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish
The price has already bounced off the pivot and may continue its bullish move toward the 1st resistance
Pivot: 60.16
Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap support, where renewed buying pressure could emerge to push the price higher.
1st support: 54.92
Supporting reasons: Identified as a swing low support, indicating a key level where the price could stabilize once more.
1st resistance: 65.95
Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap resistance, indicating a potential area that could halt any further upward movement.

Potential Direction: Bearish
Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish
The price could see a short-term pullback toward the pivot before continuing its bearish move down toward the 1st support.
Pivot: 4,059.16
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback resistance, where selling pressures could intensify and potentially cap any upward retracement.
1st support: 3,504.31
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback support that aligns closely with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement, indicating a key level where the price could stabilize once more.
1st resistance: 4,379.38
Supporting reasons: Identified as a swing resistance, indicating a potential area that could halt any further upward movement.

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The post Monday 3rd November 2025: Technical Outlook and Review first appeared on IC Markets | Official Blog.
423016 November 3, 2025 15:39 ICMarkets Market News
Australian dollar traders are bracing for some volatility tomorrow as the Reserve Bank of Australia delivers its latest rate decision. The timing, as always, adds a little drama: the announcement lands just 30 minutes before the Melbourne Cup, with the press conference following shortly after, keeping market participants glued to screens while the rest of the country tunes in for the race.
The futures market is pricing in an 85% chance that the RBA will leave rates on hold at 3.60%, despite last week’s inflation data coming in hotter than expected. Attention will now turn to the forward guidance in both the statement and the press conference—any shift from previous indications, particularly in the context of the recent CPI print, could trigger meaningful moves in the Aussie.
Technically, the AUD has been range-bound between 0.6400 and 0.6600 in recent months and is trading near the midpoint of that band. With longer-term support and resistance levels tightening, traders are looking for a decisive break. The upside looks favoured if the RBA maintains a more hawkish tone into year-end and the start of next year.
Resistance 2: 0.6688 – September High
Resistance 1: 0.6663 – Trendline Resistance
Support 1: 0.6486 – Trendline Support
Support 2: 0.6438 – October Low

The post Trade the Aussie on the Reserve Bank of Australia’s Interest Rate Decision first appeared on IC Markets | Official Blog.
423015 November 3, 2025 15:39 ICMarkets Market News
Asian stock markets are trading mostly higher on Monday, tracking the positive cues from Wall Street on Friday after a temporary tariff truce between the U.S. and China. The deal, which includes China’s agreement to purchase more U.S. energy and lift export controls on rare earths, has boosted optimism about improved trade ties between the two largest oil consumers. Both U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping agreed to extend the truce during their meeting in South Korea, lowering overall U.S. tariffs on Chinese imports to 47% from 57%.
The Australian market is slightly lower, extending losses from the previous four sessions. The S&P/ASX 200 Index slipped 0.06% to 8,876.80, weighed by weakness in mining and gold stocks, though gains in energy, financial, and tech sectors limited the decline. Among miners, BHP, Fortescue, and Rio Tinto traded flat to lower, while gold miners such as Evolution and Genesis lost nearly 3%. Energy stocks rose, with Beach Energy and Santos up nearly 1%.
Tech stocks led gains, with Block and Zip advancing over 2%. The big four banks also posted solid gains, led by Westpac, up nearly 3%.
Economic data showed Australia’s manufacturing sector contracting in October, with the PMI slipping to 49.7. Building permits, however, surged 12% in September. The Aussie dollar traded at $0.655.
Upcoming Events:
The post Monday 3rd November 2025: Asian Stocks Gain on U.S.–China Tariff Truce; Australian Market Slightly Lower first appeared on IC Markets | Official Blog.
423008 November 3, 2025 15:01 ICMarkets Market News
It was another busy week in financial markets last week, with some key updates from major central banks that included a ‘hawkish cut’ from the Fed, another cut from the Bank of Canada, and ‘holds’ from both the European Central Bank and the Bank of Japan.
Stock markets remained strong despite some mixed earnings reports from some of the biggest companies in the world, while the dollar gained ground after the Fed update.
The U.S. government shutdown and consequent data drought continue into another month tomorrow, and traders who would normally be expecting to see key U.S. jobs numbers in the following days are likely to be disappointed as we progress through the week. Some calendars are still pencilling in releases, although this weekend’s updates from Washington don’t look good for those hoping to see the data.
Consequently, we have left the U.S. numbers off the highlights this week; however, if they do start to be released, there is no doubt that the non-farms and inflation numbers will be a huge focus across the market.
Here is our usual day-by-day breakdown of the major risk events this week:

It is a quiet day to kick off the week, with little on the cards to move the market in the Asian session and, so far, nothing major in terms of geopolitical updates over the weekend. Japanese markets are on holiday, which may affect liquidity; however, traders are expecting a relatively quiet start to the day. Swiss markets will be in focus early in the London session with the key CPI numbers due out. The New York session does see some U.S. data, with ISM Manufacturing and Non-Manufacturing numbers due out, and we also hear from Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem, as well as Fed members Daly and Cook during the session.

Australian markets will be in focus in the Asian session as the RBA again spoils traders’ Melbourne Cup fun and games by announcing the latest cash rate move just half an hour before the big race. The London session sees a couple of updates from ECB President Christine Lagarde, and there is the slight possibility that we may get JOLTS Job Openings numbers once New York opens.

It is New Zealand markets that take centre stage early in the Asian session with key employment numbers due out early in the day. There is nothing major due out for the rest of the session and for the London session as well on Wednesday. The New York session may see the release of the ADP Non-Farms data; however, we will definitely get the ISM Services PMI numbers and Weekly Crude Oil Inventory data later in the day.

It is a quiet Asian session on Thursday with little on the calendar; however, all eyes will be on U.K. markets after the London open with the latest rate call from the Bank of England due out midway through the day. U.S. Weekly Unemployment Claims numbers are still pencilled in, and we will get the Canadian Ivey PMI data. There is a raft of Fed members set to speak during the day as well, including Barr, Williams, Hammack, Waller, Paulson, and Musalem.

Is it non-farms day or not! At the moment, traders are leaning strongly towards the ‘not’ camp; however, if we do get the data, expect extreme volatility around the event. There is little scheduled in either the Asian or London session on Friday, and we will have Canadian employment data close to the New York open, followed by the University of Michigan Preliminary data. However, the jury is still out as to whether we do have the big U.S. employment numbers, with the PCE data also pencilled in on some calendars. If we do, then expect a very busy last session of the week.
The post The Week Ahead – Week Commencing 03 November 2025 first appeared on IC Markets | Official Blog.
422976 October 31, 2025 17:39 ICMarkets Market News

The post Ex-Dividend 3/11/2025 first appeared on IC Markets | Official Blog.
422973 October 31, 2025 16:39 ICMarkets Market News
US Stocks Hit on Mixed Earnings and Fed – Nasdaq Down 1.57%
US stocks took a hit in trading yesterday as mixed earnings reports from big tech players increased concerns about AI spending, and the ‘hawkish cut’ from the Fed continued to weigh. The Dow fell 0.23% to 47,522, but the pain was more pronounced in the S&P, which lost 0.99% to 6,822, and the Nasdaq, which fell 1.57% to 23,581. FX markets continued to digest yesterday’s Fed cut and holds from both the Bank of Japan and the European Central Bank, with the DXY up 0.33% to 99.53. US yields also gained ground again, with the 2-year up 1.1 basis points to 3.609% and the 10-year up 2.1 basis points to 4.097%. Oil markets were relatively steady as traders digested the trade truce between China and the US, with Brent down 0.29% to $64.73 and WTI up 0.15% to $60.57, while gold took off again, jumping 2.4% on the day to close at $4,024.54 an ounce.
USDJPY Back in Focus for Longer-Term FX Players
It has been a busy week again for FX traders, with a raft of major central bank updates hitting the markets for players to digest. Rate moves all went in line with expectations, with both the Bank of Canada and the Fed cutting, and the Bank of Japan and the ECB keeping rates on hold. However, the surprises came in forward guidance from two major banks that now have longer-term interest rate differential players looking for bigger moves in the weeks ahead. The FOMC surprised the market with a much less dovish update on the back of continued inflation issues and a lack of data moving forward (due to the government shutdown), while the Bank of Japan held rates and pulled back on expectations for a rate hike in December, with Governor Kazuo Ueda indicating that he could wait out the impact of new government policy on data for a few months. USDJPY has risen nearly 3% from its low on Wednesday and is now trading near key technical resistance. A break above recent highs just under 154.50 could see the move extend over the next few days and weeks to challenge the annual high of 158.87 set in January this year.
Another Volatile Day Expected for Traders
Traders are expecting to see more moves in the sessions ahead today as the market continues to digest a raft of updates from the past couple of days, as well as some fresh data points. Major central bank moves, trade updates between the US and China, and some big company earnings reports will all be competing in investors’ analysis today, and they should keep traders busy up to the New York 5 p.m. bell. The Asian session sees some key data out of both Japan and China today, with the initial focus on the Tokyo Core CPI data (exp. +2.6% y/y) before focus switches to China for the Manufacturing PMI (exp. 49.6) and Non-Manufacturing PMI (exp. 50.1) numbers. The London session will see the release of the EU’s Flash CPI (exp. +2.1%) and Core Flash CPI (exp. +2.3%) data, with moves expected in the euro around the release. The New York session will see Canadian GDP (exp. 0.0% m/m) data released early in the day before updates from Fed members Logan, Bostic, and Hammack later in the session.
The post General Market Analysis – 31/10/25 first appeared on IC Markets | Official Blog.
422972 October 31, 2025 16:14 ICMarkets Market News
IC Markets – Europe Fundamental Forecast | 31 October 2025
What happened in the Asia session?
The Asia session on October 31, 2025, featured cautious market reactions as investors digested China’s mixed PMI data and steadied Tokyo CPI results, while global sentiment remained tentatively positive following the U.S.-China trade truce. Chinese equities and CNY were the most affected by the data, while Japanese and Australian assets enjoyed mild risk-on interest without major volatility.
What does it mean for the Europe & US sessions?
China’s weak PMI readings signal ongoing economic challenges in the world’s second-largest economy, while the surprise U.S.-China trade breakthrough has injected optimism into risk assets. Central banks have adopted divergent paths—the Fed signals caution on further cuts, the ECB maintains its extended pause, and the BoJ remains dovish despite inflation concerns. Exceptional earnings from tech giants Amazon and Apple have bolstered confidence in the U.S. corporate sector and consumer resilience.
The Dollar Index (DXY)
Key news events today
No major news event
What can we expect from DXY today?
The Dollar is under pressure due to a prolonged U.S. government shutdown, anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts, and the delayed release of major U.S. economic data. However, some safe-haven flows and Fed commentary have led to temporary spurts of USD strength against select currencies, such as the Peso and ZAR, while the market waits for key inflation and employment figures.
Central Bank Notes:
Next 24 Hours Bias
Weak Bearish
Gold (XAU)
Key news events today
No major news event
What can we expect from Gold today?
Gold prices remain volatile today, Friday, with the market showing heightened sensitivity to central bank actions, macroeconomic signals, and ongoing geopolitical uncertainties. Prices continue to hover around the $4,000 level, reflecting a combination of recent bullish rallies fueled by Federal Reserve rate cuts, but technical signals warn of corrective downward pressure as investors react to mixed data and shifting sentiment.
Next 24 Hours Bias
Medium Bullish
The Euro (EUR)
Key news events today
Core CPI flash estimate y/y (10:00 am GMTT)
CPI flash estimate y/y (10:00 am GMT)
What can we expect from EUR today?
Eurozone inflation is stabilizing near ECB targets, allowing the central bank to hold rates steady.The market is digesting modest economic growth and new policy signals, with volatility persisting in major euro currency pairs.Major policy discussions include advancing plans for the digital euro and maintaining fiscal and structural reforms to reinforce competitiveness amid a slow global recovery.
Central Bank Notes:
Next 24 Hours Bias
Weak Bearish
The Swiss Franc (CHF)
Key news events today
No major news event
What can we expect from CHF today?
The Swiss Franc (CHF) is seeing modest downward movement as of Friday, following recent strength throughout October. The most current data shows the CHF trading at 1.077 per euro as of October 30, which represents a very minor decrease of 0.03% from the previous day, but a 1.21% appreciation compared to one year ago. Against the US dollar, the USD/CHF pair has seen some volatility, trading at about 0.8022 with technical forecasts suggesting short-term bearish momentum but hints at a possible bullish correction before likely continuation of the downtrend.
Central Bank Notes:
Next 24 Hours Bias
Weak Bullish
The Pound (GBP)
Key news events today
No major event
What can we expect from GBP today?
The British Pound remains under pressure as UK fiscal and monetary policy uncertainty, combined with a strong US Dollar, drives short-term downward momentum. While some technical forecasts suggest the possibility of a rebound if support levels hold, the overall environment currently favors further GBP/USD weakness. The GBP/USD currency pair is currently in a strong downtrend and trading within a descending channel, with immediate support identified near 1.3100 and resistance around 1.3245.
Central Bank Notes:
Next 24 Hours Bias
Medium Bearish
The Canadian Dollar (CAD)
Key news events today
GDP m/m (12:30 pm GMT)
What can we expect from CAD today?
The Canadian Dollar remains weak as October ends, pressured by stalled GDP growth, risk-averse global sentiment, and lackluster domestic data. The focus today is on Canada’s monthly GDP report, expected at 12:30 pm GMT, which could further influence CAD direction. The USD/CAD pair climbed to 1.3988, with the US Dollar gaining 0.32% against the CAD yesterday, snapping a three-session losing streak. The CAD continues to trade near its 12-week low, and the greenback remains up 3% from its June lows.
Central Bank Notes:
Next 24 Hours Bias
Weak Bearish
Oil
Key news events today
No major new event
What can we expect from Oil today?
The oil market today is pausing its decline amid tight inventories and headline-driven rebounds, but it remains fundamentally weighed down by oversupply and macroeconomic caution. Analysts expect continued volatility, with oversupply predicted to persist into late 2025 and 2026. While sanctions and unexpected drawdowns support prices temporarily, structural headwinds such as weak demand growth and surplus production, especially from OPEC+ and the U.S., are likely to keep oil prices under downward pressure in the coming months.
Next 24 Hours Bias
Medium Bearish
The post IC Markets – Europe Fundamental Forecast | 31 October 2025 first appeared on IC Markets | Official Blog.