Articles

197 | -3.12% | 2 Setups

2724   November 21, 2017 13:17   SwingFish   Trading Room Journal   GOLD • USDJPY

Morning everyone, sorry there is no analysis today, as this post, is not made in realtime.
i had some issues to fix this morning first, and made some very bad choices in trades as well.

as a result:

Log: 197 (regardless of its outcome)
should not be considered as advisable part of this log-series.

07:26 bought GOLD and Sold USDJPY

08:32 Reversed gold to Buy in momentum play

08:34 closed USDJPY with flat hedge and a very small gain

bought and sold serval times on GOLD .. due to conflicting pieces of information, causing a massive Drawdown

11:17 still long with 1281.6 and 1287.72 as Targets

11:26 this was maybe not such a good idea to scale in that heavy into the GOLD Buy,
as the USDollar and the Nikkei starting to go up. putting my position again a big loss.

12:01 reversing Gold to sell.

on a side note: if I had not bite myself into GOLD,
seeing USDSGD open all the time where I missed 3 massive opportunities (2 Short / 1 Long)

somethings telling me this will be a very red day.
changing today’s mission from “making money” to “damage control” and reduce the balance drawdown as much as possible.

21:13 it took almost 9 hours to reach to the breakeven point, and just before I was about to close the deal .. price ran up massively giving me another 1.86% loss in just 15 seconds.

closing up for today with a 3.12% loss. (it can’t get any better from here!)

please note: times /dates shown in Stream, Streenshoots and Blog
in ICT – Indochina Timezone (GMT+7)

W1 Sell USDJPY

2654   November 16, 2017 18:12   AoFX   Forex Signals   USDJPY

USDJPY
Sell ??from current price 112.8
For enhancement Sell ??Limit 113.25 113.60

SL 114.83

TP1 111.90 TP2 111.04 TP3 110.16 TP4 109.53 TP5 108.81 TP6 108..08

A long-term deal, good luck

194 | +3.78% | 6 Setups

2598   November 16, 2017 14:22   SwingFish   Trading Room Journal   AUDUSD • GOLD • USDCHF • USDJPY • USDSGD

08:30 back a bit late from school-run. noticed a 50 pip movement on most AUD Pairs .. well guess i’m a bit late to the party. lets see what Divergences have for us in stock today.

Positive: AUD, GBP, JPY
Negative: CAD, EUR, NZD, CHF

Pair to Watch: AUDCAD (more…)

191 | +3.651% | 3 Setups

2464   November 13, 2017 07:38   SwingFish   Trading Room Journal   GOLD • USDJPY

05:33 Good Monday morning

Today
Positive: NZD, JPY 
Negative: CAD, EUR, GBP

lines go somewhat “flat” .. which is usually an indication for some nice range moves to come up.
however, the Nikkei Index was falling quite heavy .. dragging JPY Pairs down with it.

we not have any Futures data yet, but the USDollarchart has a small gap up .. which usually indicated the price will quickly go up.

05:49 Buy USDJPY

05:53 I noticed the Trendline I drew last Thuesday (channel top) .. this made me doubt the Buy position a little bit and once the price went green place a Hedge Short on USDJPY Locking a 0.113% Floating profit.
since the Futures are not online yet, and the Liquidity is basically not existing.. the spread is very unstable, will hold this for a little while. as the spread will go smaller, mean more profit for me.

06:05 Closing Hedged positions on USDJPY, as momentum builds, gaining 0.12% Profit on the account.

06:09 re-entering USDJPY Buy .. (mainly because the Nikkei price feed went up good)

I think USDJPY will go something around 113.72

06:14 Indices online now .. Scaling in 110% on USDJPY Buy.

06:50 Closing all USDJPY Positions gaining 2.543% .. that is definitely a good start in the week.

Shool-Run Time

### Stopping live Stream Here ###

I may be back streaming later today

09:10 Bought Gold for a Quick Scalp

09:13 Close it with 0.1% gain (probably goes up to 1277 .. but won’t risk it)

13:04 quick catching some falling knife on USDJPY to the Pivot point.
maybe fall more, but the pivot is kind of a safe bet. adding 0.903% to the account

okay I have to admit, the size was kind of large, but if the chance does present itself, you have to take it. without hesitation.

Total Gain Today: 3.651%

189 | +3.957% | 8 Setups

2388   November 9, 2017 16:17   SwingFish   Trading Room Journal   GBPJPY • GOLD • USDJPY

02:44 a VERY Early Thursday Session (i may trade later again, but can’t promise anything as i may be a bit busy today)

02:59Buying USDJPY

03:01Scaling in USDJPY and Buying GOLD for a quick jump up

03:05Close GOLD Trade for a small gain.

03:18Closing USDJPY with a small gain (i had it hedged in between .. so this trade was about preserving Capital)
as the upper trendline was the original Target.

03:39Buying USDJPY again, which was stupid, as the price reached the upper trendline already.

also, the DXY at the vWap and Gold just fall back to the vWap as well.
as a result, Reversed USDJPY to Short (realizing a 1.2% loss) and Bought Gold.

03:47Close USDJPY Sell for a nice Profit.

03:47Close GOLD Buy as well with a small Profit

03:57Buy GBPJPY

03:57 price suddenly dropped on GBPJPY .. so I scaled in 2 times until it bounced off the vWap

04:14Closing all GBPJPY Trades, price surely going all the way to 149.42,
but at this time I will just take the profits and let it be. (feel not so confident)

### Stream Stops here ###

and just as promised .. price went right with the next candle all the way up to the Trendline.

11:14 some mass scalping parallel on GBPUSD, GBPJPY and USDJPY.
only the USDJPY trade worked out .. and paid for all the other hedged trades

USDJPY very likely to fall to the 113.80 area.

11:52 wow that call went down really fast. “113.8 as promised”

Total Gain Today: 3.957%

188 | +3.139% | 4 Setups

2354   November 8, 2017 16:41   SwingFish   Trading Room Journal   GOLD • USDJPY • USDSGD

10:41 Very late again this Wednesday

Today
Positive: JPY, CHF 
Negative: AUD, CAD, NZD
EUR and USD almost Neutral 

10:49 Buying USDSGD

10:51 Hedging USDSGD as we too far from the vWap and Euro appears to be turning.

11:17 Good thing about the hedge.. the US Dollar Index is somewhat very undecided .. it basically can go anywhere from here. we wait for a little while

11:53 i may hold on to the USDSGD hedge a bit longer.

• the Triangle is just 7 pips wide. very hard to find an exit.
• other US-related Pairs moving upwards
• DXY is still below the vWap bouncing along the trendline

12:32 reversing USDSGD Short Hedge realizing 0.48% gain.
the situation is still a bit tricky .. DXY still below vWap

13:02 closing USDSGD buy early, hedge and original trades went out green pushing the account to a 2.7% Gain

14:01 instead of being smart, I was stupid .. and bought the reversal of USDJPY right before Frankfurt opening.
things can change quickly, and they did, hedged about 12 minutes later.

14:25 to make things worse .. reversed the hedge right at the DXY lower trendline.
i either run now into a huge loss or DXY breaks out downwards and we good … very stupid decision indeed.

15:42 closing all USDJPY Trades .. realizing 0.72% loss.

15:10 – 16:35 .. got me into a mess with GOLD.
closing it all out for now with a big loss

16:21 Buying GOLD for upper trendline Target

### Stream Stops here ###

17:59 SwingFish Helper closed all positions at Breakeven point
gaining 4.21% due to massive Positions and Momentum-Slippage.

20:38 Buying USDJPY on the Trendline Bounce,
additional confirmation as DXY did hit the vWap, so a small retracement was very sure, bought in a large position.

20:42 Closing USDJPY gaining another 0.5% Equity.

Total Gain Today: 3.139%

183 | +3.164% | 4 Setups

2166   November 1, 2017 16:02   SwingFish   Trading Room Journal   AUDJPY • CADJPY • GOLD • USDJPY

Wednesday

09:40 good Tuesday Morning.

NZD swang up massive resulting of Yesterdays night-spikes … its still unclear what caused that moe .. but there is some corrections be expected today or tomorrow.

Divergence data
Positive: NZD, GBP
Negative: JPY, CAD

09:42 Buy AUDJPY
quick scalp for 5 pips upwards to the trendline from the M30 Chart

09:56 Buying CADJPY
maybe was not such a great idea .. as the correlation to AUDJPY will basically double the risk

10:09 sell GOLD

10:25 .. no trades closed yet

11:46 scaling out of AUDJPY Buy trade (sell back 92% of the position for a 0.632% Loss)

12:13 Closing CADJPY a tiny bit over breakeven.

12:13 as for AUDJPY Buy … “I’m going down with the ship !!” (at least till the 3€ blows)

12:53 Buy USDJPY

12:58 Scaling in USDJPY Buy with 40%

14:12 Closing AUDJPY Buy once it paid for the scale out

14:14 of course .. 2 minutes later it ran straight into my original TP level leaving a 0.6% gain in the market

15:00 scaling in on USDJPY Buy, that may be a massive mistake as the USDollar Index dramatically dropping, betting on opening volatility to seal the deal.

15.48 Closing GOLD buy trade with 1.9% Loss, as DXY starts to get some traction downwards, Gold may raise quickly.
the Nikkei, however, is still strong so we keep the USDJPY buy trade open. (USDJPY will pay for that one, hopefully)

15:55 Scaling in saved the day, closing all trades with 2.346% gain.

Total Gain Today 3.164%

172 | +1.48% | 4 Setups

1670   October 17, 2017 09:45   SwingFish   Trading Room Journal   EURUSD • USDCHF • USDJPY • USDSGD

05:50 Getting started for a real Quick Session today

divergences do look good for NZD, CHF versus AUD, CAD

today will be a Short Session, as I need some other urgent stuff to attend to.
sorry about that .. I’ll make up for this in the chatroom.

feel free to stop by.

6:04 First Setup is a Tripple set as all 3 had the momentum building up simultaneously

Sell EURUSD

Buy USDCHF

and Buy USDJPY

06:52 exit all trades as the UsDollar Started to swing quite a bit. and I had no vWap confirmation at this point of time
(vWap Reset is with Tokyo Stock Exchange opening, where also UsDollar Futures will come back online)

realizing a 0% loss (no kidding) .. the small EURUSD Gain paid to the cent for the losses

07:12 we have now Volume and UsDollar Data, re-enter all Trades at current price

07:38 Exiting all trades .. realizing 0.804% gain.

• time to make the school run

### Live Stream ends here ###

08:24 quick Scalp upwards on USDSGD adding another 0.68% gain.

calling it a day Total Today: +1.48%

D1 Sell USDJPY

1581   October 13, 2017 15:16   AoFX   Forex Signals   USDJPY

USDJPY Sell ??from current price 112.23
For enhancement Sell ??Limit 112.54 112.77

SL 113.50

TP1 111.45 TP2 110.40 TP3 109.54 TP.4 108.62 TP5 107.57

167 | +2.72% | 5 Setups

1338   October 10, 2017 11:57   SwingFish   Trading Room Journal   GOLD • USDJPY

Tuesday, we have a very heavy Rain-Storm outside right now,
if the live stream is offline suddendly, that means the electricity is out ..

08:50 Short USDJPY, classic reversal, but this may not work out as the Nikkei index is going up

09:40 Long GOLD on the vWap, this could be a long-term trade, but I think ill call it a day early today.so

so let’s see how far we do go

9:45 price dropped back to the vWap .. scaling in with a few Oz

11:20 running out of patience .. thinking of closing out both trades and realize the gain of 1.24%

11:35 patience pays .. well 6 minutes (haha)

### Live Stream Ends here! ###

11:41 Price went back up .. I re-enter short USDJPY, basically trading the same range once again.

11:42 new Setup Buying AUDUSD, which is basically just capturing the USDollar movement that accelerated USDJPY as well.
yes, price did go up further, but this was just a quick scalp so once the micro-range is filled -> OUT.

11:45 scaling in the AUDUSD Long on Gold (also a trade based on the USDollar Reaction with a very close target)

15:30 FOMO Short at the DAX in a 22 Second Trade, was bitching in the Chatroom that there is no pullback on the DAX decline .. so i entered with a market order Short on DE30 (DAX) went to the chatroom and the sec. i turned my head .. the order was gone .. thinking WTF ??
few secounds raealised that the trade was gone in just 20 sec. (so upset this trade is not on Youtube)

closing out the day with 2.72% Gain on 5 Setups

166 | -1.42% | 3 Setups

1302   October 9, 2017 19:42   SwingFish   Trading Room Journal   EURUSD • USDJPY • USDSGD

this was Day 26

Good Monday Morning!

5:55 looks like there is nothing much to expect Today.Starting the Trading Day at 7:35 today.

Japan has Sports day, Thanksgiving in Canada and Columbus day in USA.
meaning like 50% of the world’s Money is asleep today.Starting the Trading Day at 7:35 today.

I’m asleep as well, that’s why the stream is not started yet.

6:02 made a quick probe-trade long EURUSD but doubled it a few times while trying to keep my eyes open.

exit at the Trendline 4.5 pips away. a lucky gain of 0.473%

 ### Live Stream Starts here! ###

8:14 Shorting USDSGD, even that may be a bit tricky as there is no real way out yet how the UDSollar will go,
but Gold went massively (relatively) up .. so i just going for it.

8:25 not really like the development .. USDX is not moving anywhere, gold still on the way up .. exiting the trade with +1

9:23 Long USDJPY .. which turned out not such a good idea

9:24 reversed the hedge to double the Short position on USDJPY in order to pay for the loss.

10:20 it looks like USDJPY going up first .. put a hedge on iam not so convinced yet .. as we still in the channel things may reverse at any time to the original way down.

DXY still not decided where it’s want to go, but it looks like my assumption of this morning will become real.

14:50 Whipsawed myself a few times on USDJPY .. now have a hedge on agter closing a large number of trades to pay for all the losses i generated before.

15:00 putting a hedge on the current USDJPY Trade .. (have to jump out for a bit)

19:44 finally try to get rid of the old hedge .. whipsawed myself, twice .. so we call it a day with a 1.42% Loss.

163 | +0.39% | 2 Setups

1109   October 5, 2017 03:52   SwingFish   Trading Room Journal   EURAUD • USDJPY

this was Day 23

Wednesday ! 5:30 .. nothing better to do …

Live Stream is not started yet .. just cleaning up the charts.
vWap is also not Reset Yet as we are “sort of Pre-Market“.

so I made a Trendline based scalp trial Short Trade on USDJPY

simply expect the price to respect the minor Trendline and the Pivot above, go Short with a Market Order based on just.
i put a smaller risk as normal on it, so i have a manually placed Hedge order above it.

### Live Stream Starts here ###

USDJPY went above my trendline, closing the trade manually with 0.11% loss.

Next on the list: EURAUD, also a Trendline based Short, but this time full size.

Which turned out about 2 minutes after to be incredible Stupid !!
as Sidney came online with a Index Gap down .. slipped my Hedge by 4.5 pips ..
floating loss: -1.43%

Guess what happened to my USDJPY trade about 5 minutes later? 😉

it looks a bit that AUDUSD will go up more .. however, the USDollar Index is stuck at the vWap as well .. so if it pops upwards. the trade can become quickly VERY expensive.

so I place a BUY STOP 2 pips below the double-short (42.000AUD) and a stop for the short order with a 6$ Profit. (planned hedging)

Price Reached the lower Trendline, AUDUSD also at a resistance Line plus DXY going up again.
placing a Hedge Trade with 84.000 AUD Locking the gains.

price did fall further which would have been enough to pay and get some gains, but we do not know these things before. better safe than sorry.

Price keeps falling massively, without the hedge that would have been a 17% gain. trying hard not to do anything stupid now ..

lucky I’m writing this blog, instead of jump on the boat. right after taking the screenshot above, the price started to pull back as expected.

almost 4 Hours has passed now .. the trade is still on .. holding 7.02% Equity .. (i closed 2 other hedges ripped a 8.2% hole in the Account, so as of now I am down -1.1%
Frankfurt Pre-Market had almost no impact at all.. looks like we have to wait a little bit longer.

Closing this Tuesday out with a Gain of 0.39% (Green Zero)